AI-Powered Match Intelligence· How our model works· updated 1 Nov 2026

Eredivisie
For SittardFor SittardWDDWD
Sat, 7 Nov 20267/1115:30UK
TelstarTelstarDLDLL

Fortuna Sittard vs Telstar corners prediction

Based on the Road2Sushi model. Not guaranteed outcomes.

Over 9.5 cornersBoth teams combined60.7%
Under 9.5 cornersBoth teams combined39.3%

Model read

A moderate lean, nothing emphatic.

Conviction is how far the model's probability sits from an even 50/50: Strong at 18 points or more, Moderate at 8 points or more, Lean below that.

Conviction: Moderate

Over 9.5 corners60.7%

Corners

Model probabilities for this match. Over means more than the stated line; Under means fewer. For example, over 2.5 requires at least 3. These estimates are not bookmaker odds.

Corner counts follow pressure and wide play, below are the model total-corner probabilities. It leans to For Sittard.

Total corners

Both teams combined.

Line Over Under
7.5 corners 81.2% 18.9%
8.5 corners 71.6% 28.4%
9.5 corners 60.7% 39.4%
10.5 corners 49.3% 50.7%
11.5 corners 38.4% 61.7%
12.5 corners 28.6% 71.4%

Who wins the corner count

For Sittard
54.2%
Level
9.5%
Telstar
36.3%

Team corners lines

For Sittard

Over 3.5
77.8%
Over 4.5
64.4%
Over 5.5
50.2%

Telstar

Over 3.5
66.7%
Over 4.5
50.9%
Over 5.5
36.2%

Corner handicap

The four handicap lines closest to an even split. The line is For Sittard's; Telstar gets the opposite line. Half lines have no push.

For Sittard line For Sittard Telstar
-1.5 44.6% 55.5%
-0.5 54.2% 45.8%
+0.5 63.7% 36.3%
+1.5 72.4% 27.6%
For SittardFor Sittard

Corner trends

2026/27 · Recorded results. At this venue means For Sittard at home and Telstar away. A rate appears only after five matches with the figure, three for the home or away split; a missing value is never zero.

TelstarTelstar
Statistic
For Sittard
Telstar
Corners won per game at this venue
3.8
3.0

Corners conceded per game at this venue
10.0
7.8

First-half corners won per game
0.6
2.0

Second-half corners won per game
1.7
2.6

Matches with more corners than the opponent
0.0%
40.0%

Matches with corner data
9
10

Bar scales · Corners per game: 0–10 · Recorded rate (%): 0–100. Each team uses the same scale for each metric.

Corners accuracy

How our Corners calls have actually done, each one scored against the real result on matches the model had never seen.

54.0%Best Corners call, hit rate
0.0096Calibration error
50,949Matches graded

In 1,506 matches we rated like this one (60–70%), Corners actually happened 62.8% of the time.

Predictions & track record updated 1 Nov 2026.

See the full, dated track record

Our last 10 Corners calls

Our most recent Corners calls, each one scored against the result. The model had never seen these matches when it made them. Green means we got it right, red means we got it wrong, and the number is how sure we were.

✗ 56.0%✗ 59.8%✓ 62.5%✓ 59.6%✓ 61.1%✗ 61.7%✓ 62.6%✓ 60.3%✗ 61.3%✗ 60.6%
5 of 10 recent calls hit.
Frosinone vs Lecce2026-10-29Under 9.5 56.0%Miss
Fiorentina vs Atalanta2026-10-29Under 9.5 59.8%Miss
Milan vs Bologna2026-10-28Under 9.5 62.5%Hit
Parma vs Udinese2026-10-28Under 9.5 59.6%Hit
Venezia vs Inter2026-10-28Under 9.5 61.1%Hit
Model analysis: reasoning, key facts and model lenses

Expert AI analysis

The model makes Over 9.5 corners at 60.7%, its strongest read on the Corners market. The total-corners ladder runs from 81.2% for over 7.5 to 28.6% for over 12.5, with over 10.5 the closest line to a coin-flip at 49.3%. Head to head on corners, For Sittard are the model’s pick to win the corner count at 54.2%, with a level count at 9.5%. Read the recorded data and validation context alongside the estimate.

In-depth analysis

Split by side, For Sittard over 4.5 corners sits at 64.4% and Telstar at 50.9%. This season For Sittard have averaged 2.2 corners won a game and Telstar 4.6.

We publish the model, not a sure thing. What we are good at is getting the percentage right, not at beating the bookmakers.

60.7%Over 9.5 corners
54.2%Most corners: For Sittard
64.4%For Sittard over 4.5 corners
50.9%Telstar over 4.5 corners
50.0%Odd corner total

Model lenses

The same numbers read in different ways by one model. These are not separate tipsters, and none of them is a tip.

The ModelPublished estimate: 60.7% on Corners. Validation depends on the market and sample; this percentage is not a measured hit rate.
The Territory ReaderFor Sittard are the pick to win the corner count at 54.2%, the count usually goes the way of the side doing the attacking.
The Line SetterThe fairest total line is 10.5 corners: over sits at 49.3%, the closest to a coin-flip on the ladder.
The RealistOver 10.5 is a coin-flip in the model, the honest read is low conviction, no strong lean.
For SittardFor Sittard

This season

2026/27 · Recorded results.

TelstarTelstar
Statistic
For Sittard
Telstar
corners won per game
2.2
4.6

corners conceded per game
8.4
5.8

Bar scales · Corners per game: 0–10. Each team uses the same scale for each metric.

FAQ

How many corners in For Sittard vs Telstar?
The model rates over 9.5 total corners at 60.7% for For Sittard vs Telstar.
Which team will win the corner count in For Sittard vs Telstar?
The model rates For Sittard to win the corner count at 54.2%, with a level count at 9.5%.
How many corners do For Sittard and Telstar average this season?
For Sittard have won 2.2 corners a game this season and Telstar 4.6.
How is this probability calculated?
The estimate comes from models fitted to recorded match data. Calibration and validation depend on the market, league and available sample; the percentage alone does not establish accuracy or a profitable price.
Is this a betting tip?
This is a model estimate, not a guarantee or a demonstrated profitable edge. Where the required result data is available, saved predictions are graded including misses. An unavailable market result stays ungraded.

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Model estimates; validation depends on the market and available sample. We publish our track record, including the misses. 18+. For information only, not betting advice. If gambling is a problem, visit BeGambleAware.