AI-Powered Match Intelligence· How our model works· updated 31 Oct 2026

Eredivisie
Willem IIWillem IILLLLL
Fri, 6 Nov 20266/1119:00UK
ZwolleZwolleLLLWD

Willem II vs PEC Zwolle corners prediction

Based on the Road2Sushi model. Not guaranteed outcomes.

Over 9.5 cornersBoth teams combined57.9%
Under 9.5 cornersBoth teams combined42.1%

Model read

Close to a coin-flip, barely a lean.

Conviction is how far the model's probability sits from an even 50/50: Strong at 18 points or more, Moderate at 8 points or more, Lean below that.

Conviction: Lean

Over 9.5 corners57.9%

Corners

Model probabilities for this match. Over means more than the stated line; Under means fewer. For example, over 2.5 requires at least 3. These estimates are not bookmaker odds.

The corners market rewards teams that camp in the final third, below are the model total-corner probabilities. More corners are projected for Willem II.

Total corners

Both teams combined.

Line Over Under
7.5 corners 79.3% 20.7%
8.5 corners 69.2% 30.8%
9.5 corners 57.9% 42.1%
10.5 corners 46.4% 53.6%
11.5 corners 35.6% 64.4%
12.5 corners 26.1% 73.9%

Who wins the corner count

Willem II
59.9%
Level
9.3%
Zwolle
30.8%

Team corners lines

Willem II

Over 3.5
79.5%
Over 4.5
66.5%
Over 5.5
52.6%

Zwolle

Over 3.5
60.8%
Over 4.5
44.3%
Over 5.5
29.9%

Corner handicap

The four handicap lines closest to an even split. The line is Willem II's; Zwolle gets the opposite line. Half lines have no push.

Willem II line Willem II Zwolle
-3.5 31.2% 68.8%
-1.5 50.1% 49.9%
-0.5 59.9% 40.1%
+0.5 69.2% 30.8%
Willem IIWillem II

Corner trends

2026/27 · Recorded results. At this venue means Willem II at home and Zwolle away. A rate appears only after five matches with the figure, three for the home or away split; a missing value is never zero.

ZwolleZwolle
Statistic
Willem II
Zwolle
Corners won per game at this venue
5.5
4.0

Corners conceded per game at this venue
4.5
7.8

First-half corners won per game
1.6
1.8

Second-half corners won per game
2.3
2.6

Matches with more corners than the opponent
44.4%
11.1%

Matches with corner data
9
9

Bar scales · Corners per game: 0–10 · Recorded rate (%): 0–100. Each team uses the same scale for each metric.

Corners accuracy

How our Corners calls have actually done, each one scored against the real result on matches the model had never seen.

54.0%Best Corners call, hit rate
0.0096Calibration error
50,949Matches graded

In 24,029 matches we rated like this one (50–60%), Corners actually happened 54.2% of the time.

Predictions & track record updated 31 Oct 2026.

See the full, dated track record

Our last 10 Corners calls

Our most recent Corners calls, each one scored against the result. The model had never seen these matches when it made them. Green means we got it right, red means we got it wrong, and the number is how sure we were.

✗ 56.0%✗ 59.8%✓ 62.5%✓ 59.6%✓ 61.1%✗ 61.7%✓ 62.6%✓ 60.3%✗ 61.3%✗ 60.6%
5 of 10 recent calls hit.
Frosinone vs Lecce2026-10-29Under 9.5 56.0%Miss
Fiorentina vs Atalanta2026-10-29Under 9.5 59.8%Miss
Milan vs Bologna2026-10-28Under 9.5 62.5%Hit
Parma vs Udinese2026-10-28Under 9.5 59.6%Hit
Venezia vs Inter2026-10-28Under 9.5 61.1%Hit
Model analysis: reasoning, key facts and model lenses

Expert AI analysis

Our model lands on Over 9.5 corners at 57.9%, its strongest read on the Corners market. Line by line, the read runs from 79.3% for over 7.5 to 26.1% for over 12.5, with over 10.5 the closest line to a coin-flip at 46.4%. Head to head on corners, Willem II are the model’s pick to win the corner count at 59.9%, with a level count at 9.3%. Read the recorded data and validation context alongside the estimate.

In-depth analysis

For the team lines, Willem II over 4.5 corners sits at 66.5% and Zwolle at 44.3%. This season Willem II have averaged 3.9 corners won a game and Zwolle 4.3.

These are the model’s own percentages, not tips. What we are good at is getting the percentage right, not at beating the bookmakers.

57.9%Over 9.5 corners
59.9%Most corners: Willem II
66.5%Willem II over 4.5 corners
44.3%Zwolle over 4.5 corners
50.0%Odd corner total

Model lenses

The same numbers read in different ways by one model. These are not separate tipsters, and none of them is a tip.

The ModelPublished estimate: 57.9% on Corners. Validation depends on the market and sample; this percentage is not a measured hit rate.
The Territory ReaderWillem II are the pick to win the corner count at 59.9%, corners follow pressure, and pressure follows the side with the ball in the final third.
The Line SetterThe fairest total line is 10.5 corners: over sits at 46.4%, the closest to a coin-flip on the ladder.
Willem IIWillem II

This season

2026/27 · Recorded results.

ZwolleZwolle
Statistic
Willem II
Zwolle
corners won per game
3.9
4.3

corners conceded per game
6.6
7.2

Bar scales · Corners per game: 0–10. Each team uses the same scale for each metric.

FAQ

How many corners in Willem II vs Zwolle?
The model rates over 9.5 total corners at 57.9% for Willem II vs Zwolle.
Which team will win the corner count in Willem II vs Zwolle?
The model rates Willem II to win the corner count at 59.9%, with a level count at 9.3%.
How many corners do Willem II and Zwolle average this season?
Willem II have won 3.9 corners a game this season and Zwolle 4.3.
How is this probability calculated?
The estimate comes from models fitted to recorded match data. Calibration and validation depend on the market, league and available sample; the percentage alone does not establish accuracy or a profitable price.
Is this a betting tip?
This is a model estimate, not a guarantee or a demonstrated profitable edge. Where the required result data is available, saved predictions are graded including misses. An unavailable market result stays ungraded.

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Corner predictions today

Related

EredivisieWillem II fixtures and statsPEC Zwolle fixtures and statsTrack record

Model estimates; validation depends on the market and available sample. We publish our track record, including the misses. 18+. For information only, not betting advice. If gambling is a problem, visit BeGambleAware.