AI-Powered Match Intelligence· How our model works· updated 1 Nov 2026

Eredivisie
Den HaagDen HaagDDWLL
Sat, 7 Nov 20267/1117:45UK
Sparta RotterdamRotterdamLLDWL

Den Haag vs Sparta Rotterdam corners prediction

Based on the Road2Sushi model. Not guaranteed outcomes.

Over 9.5 cornersBoth teams combined56.5%
Under 9.5 cornersBoth teams combined43.5%

Model read

Close to a coin-flip, barely a lean.

Conviction is how far the model's probability sits from an even 50/50: Strong at 18 points or more, Moderate at 8 points or more, Lean below that.

Conviction: Lean

Over 9.5 corners56.5%

Corners

Model probabilities for this match. Over means more than the stated line; Under means fewer. For example, over 2.5 requires at least 3. These estimates are not bookmaker odds.

Corner counts follow pressure and wide play, below are the model total-corner probabilities. The model edges Den Haag.

Total corners

Both teams combined.

Line Over Under
7.5 corners 78.3% 21.7%
8.5 corners 68.0% 32.0%
9.5 corners 56.5% 43.5%
10.5 corners 45.0% 55.0%
11.5 corners 34.2% 65.8%
12.5 corners 24.9% 75.1%

Who wins the corner count

Den Haag
60.1%
Level
9.3%
Sparta Rotterdam
30.6%

Team corners lines

Den Haag

Over 3.5
79.0%
Over 4.5
65.9%
Over 5.5
51.8%

Sparta Rotterdam

Over 3.5
59.8%
Over 4.5
43.2%
Over 5.5
28.9%

Corner handicap

The four handicap lines closest to an even split. The line is Den Haag's; Sparta Rotterdam gets the opposite line. Half lines have no push.

Den Haag line Den Haag Sparta Rotterdam
-3.5 31.2% 68.8%
-1.5 50.2% 49.8%
-0.5 60.1% 39.9%
+0.5 69.4% 30.6%
Den HaagDen Haag

Corner trends

2026/27 · Recorded results. At this venue means Den Haag at home and Sparta Rotterdam away. A rate appears only after five matches with the figure, three for the home or away split; a missing value is never zero.

Sparta RotterdamSparta Rotterdam
Statistic
Den Haag
Sparta Rotterdam
Corners won per game at this venue
4.0
5.0

Corners conceded per game at this venue
1.8
7.8

First-half corners won per game
2.1
2.8

Second-half corners won per game
1.3
2.9

Matches with more corners than the opponent
44.4%
11.1%

Matches with corner data
9
9

Bar scales · Corners per game: 0–10 · Recorded rate (%): 0–100. Each team uses the same scale for each metric.

Corners accuracy

How our Corners calls have actually done, each one scored against the real result on matches the model had never seen.

54.0%Best Corners call, hit rate
0.0096Calibration error
50,949Matches graded

In 24,029 matches we rated like this one (50–60%), Corners actually happened 54.2% of the time.

Predictions & track record updated 1 Nov 2026.

See the full, dated track record

Our last 10 Corners calls

Our most recent Corners calls, each one scored against the result. The model had never seen these matches when it made them. Green means we got it right, red means we got it wrong, and the number is how sure we were.

✗ 56.0%✗ 59.8%✓ 62.5%✓ 59.6%✓ 61.1%✗ 61.7%✓ 62.6%✓ 60.3%✗ 61.3%✗ 60.6%
5 of 10 recent calls hit.
Frosinone vs Lecce2026-10-29Under 9.5 56.0%Miss
Fiorentina vs Atalanta2026-10-29Under 9.5 59.8%Miss
Milan vs Bologna2026-10-28Under 9.5 62.5%Hit
Parma vs Udinese2026-10-28Under 9.5 59.6%Hit
Venezia vs Inter2026-10-28Under 9.5 61.1%Hit
Model analysis: reasoning, key facts and model lenses

Expert AI analysis

The headline read is Over 9.5 corners at 56.5%, its strongest read on the Corners market. The total-corners ladder runs from 78.3% for over 7.5 to 24.9% for over 12.5, with over 10.5 the closest line to a coin-flip at 45.0%. Between the two sides, Den Haag are the model’s pick to win the corner count at 60.1%, with a level count at 9.3%. Read the recorded data and validation context alongside the estimate.

In-depth analysis

Split by side, Den Haag over 4.5 corners sits at 65.9% and Sparta Rotterdam at 43.2%. This season Den Haag have averaged 3.4 corners won a game and Sparta Rotterdam 5.7.

We publish the model, not a sure thing. We score every call against the result after the match.

56.5%Over 9.5 corners
60.1%Most corners: Den Haag
65.9%Den Haag over 4.5 corners
43.2%Sparta Rotterdam over 4.5 corners
50.0%Odd corner total

Model lenses

The same numbers read in different ways by one model. These are not separate tipsters, and none of them is a tip.

The ModelPublished estimate: 56.5% on Corners. Validation depends on the market and sample; this percentage is not a measured hit rate.
The Territory ReaderDen Haag are the pick to win the corner count at 60.1%, territory tends to follow the side forcing the play.
The Line SetterThe fairest total line is 10.5 corners: over sits at 45.0%, the closest to a coin-flip on the ladder.
Den HaagDen Haag

This season

2026/27 · Recorded results.

Sparta RotterdamSparta Rotterdam
Statistic
Den Haag
Sparta Rotterdam
corners won per game
3.4
5.7

corners conceded per game
5.8
6.9

Bar scales · Corners per game: 0–10. Each team uses the same scale for each metric.

FAQ

How many corners in Den Haag vs Sparta Rotterdam?
The model rates over 9.5 total corners at 56.5% for Den Haag vs Sparta Rotterdam.
Which team will win the corner count in Den Haag vs Sparta Rotterdam?
The model rates Den Haag to win the corner count at 60.1%, with a level count at 9.3%.
How many corners do Den Haag and Sparta Rotterdam average this season?
Den Haag have won 3.4 corners a game this season and Sparta Rotterdam 5.7.
How is this probability calculated?
The estimate comes from models fitted to recorded match data. Calibration and validation depend on the market, league and available sample; the percentage alone does not establish accuracy or a profitable price.
Is this a betting tip?
This is a model estimate, not a guarantee or a demonstrated profitable edge. Where the required result data is available, saved predictions are graded including misses. An unavailable market result stays ungraded.

More Eredivisie, Corners

Willem II vs PEC Zwolle corners predictionFortuna Sittard vs Telstar corners predictionExcelsior vs Go Ahead Eagles corners predictionHeerenveen vs Feyenoord corners predictionTwente vs Ajax corners predictionAZ Alkmaar vs Groningen corners prediction

Corner predictions today

Related

EredivisieDen Haag fixtures and statsSparta Rotterdam fixtures and statsTrack record

Model estimates; validation depends on the market and available sample. We publish our track record, including the misses. 18+. For information only, not betting advice. If gambling is a problem, visit BeGambleAware.