AI-Powered Match Intelligence· How our model works· updated 27 Oct 2026

Süper Lig
GenclerbirligiGenclerbirligiLLDLL
Mon, 2 Nov 20262/1117:00UK
AlanyasporAlanyasporDWDLL

Genclerbirligi vs Alanyaspor cards prediction

Based on the Road2Sushi model. Not guaranteed outcomes.

Over 3.5 cardsBoth teams combined63.5%
Under 3.5 cardsBoth teams combined36.5%

Model read

A moderate lean, nothing emphatic.

Conviction is how far the model's probability sits from an even 50/50: Strong at 18 points or more, Moderate at 8 points or more, Lean below that.

Conviction: Moderate

Over 3.5 cards63.5%

Cards (bookings)

Model probabilities for this match. Over means more than the stated line; Under means fewer. For example, over 2.5 requires at least 3. These estimates are not bookmaker odds.

Yellow-card estimates use recorded match data; bookmaker settlement rules may differ, these are the model total-booking probabilities for Genclerbirligi vs Alanyaspor. Slightly more cards are projected for Alanyaspor for the most cards.

Total cards

Both teams combined.

Line Over Under
2.5 cards 81.1% 18.9%
3.5 cards 63.5% 36.5%
4.5 cards 44.2% 55.8%
5.5 cards 27.4% 72.6%

Who picks up more cards

Genclerbirligi
36.9%
Level
19.7%
Alanyaspor
43.4%

Team cards lines

Genclerbirligi

Over 1.5
61.9%
Over 2.5
34.9%

Alanyaspor

Over 1.5
66.2%
Over 2.5
39.6%

Card handicap

The four handicap lines closest to an even split. The line is Genclerbirligi's; Alanyaspor gets the opposite line. Half lines have no push.

Genclerbirligi line Genclerbirligi Alanyaspor
-1.5 20.3% 79.7%
-0.5 36.9% 63.1%
+0.5 56.6% 43.4%
+1.5 74.5% 25.5%

Red card

Any red card8.4%
Genclerbirligi red card5.9%
Alanyaspor red card2.6%

Fouls

Line Over Under
20.5 fouls 85.3% 14.7%
22.5 fouls 74.5% 25.5%
24.5 fouls 61.0% 39.0%

Recent referees

The referees each side has met most this season, with cards per game overall and for that team. This history does not establish who officiates this match. The main match page shows a saved match referee when available.

Team Referee Games Cards/g Team cards/g
Genclerbirligi U. Ozturk 2 7.0 3.5

Swipe to see all referee stats →

GenclerbirligiGenclerbirligi

Card trends

2026/27 · Recorded results. At this venue means Genclerbirligi at home and Alanyaspor away. A rate appears only after five matches with the figure, three for the home or away split; a missing value is never zero.

AlanyasporAlanyaspor
Statistic
Genclerbirligi
Alanyaspor
Yellow cards per game
1.9
1.6

First-half yellow cards per game
0.8
0.0

Second-half yellow cards per game
1.4
1.4

Matches with card data
0
0

Bar scales · Cards per game: 0–5. Each team uses the same scale for each metric.

Cards accuracy

How our Cards calls have actually done, each one scored against the real result on matches the model had never seen.

61.4%Best Cards call, hit rate
0.0222Calibration error
50,939Matches graded

In 10,239 matches we rated like this one (60–70%), Cards actually happened 65.7% of the time.

Predictions & track record updated 27 Oct 2026.

See the full, dated track record

Our last 10 Cards calls

Our most recent Cards calls, each one scored against the result. The model had never seen these matches when it made them. Green means we got it right, red means we got it wrong, and the number is how sure we were.

✗ 70.8%✓ 59.6%✓ 74.0%✗ 68.1%✓ 61.1%✓ 73.2%✓ 52.7%✓ 56.5%✗ 50.6%✗ 79.2%
6 of 10 recent calls hit.
Sevilla vs Osasuna2026-10-26Over 3.5 70.8%Miss
Paris SG vs Lyon2026-10-26Under 3.5 59.6%Hit
Santa Clara vs Benfica2026-10-26Over 3.5 74.0%Hit
Besiktas vs Buyuksehyr2026-10-26Over 3.5 68.1%Miss
Rizespor vs Trabzonspor2026-10-26Over 3.5 61.1%Hit
Model analysis: reasoning, key facts and model lenses

Expert AI analysis

The headline read is Over 3.5 cards at 63.5%, its strongest read on the Cards market. The total-cards ladder runs from 81.1% for over 2.5 to 27.4% for over 5.5, with over 4.5 the closest line to a coin-flip at 44.2%. Head to head on cards, Alanyaspor are the model’s pick to pick up more cards at 43.4%, with a level count at 19.7%. The published percentage is an estimate, not a guarantee or a measured hit rate.

In-depth analysis

By team, Genclerbirligi over 1.5 cards sits at 61.9% and Alanyaspor at 66.2%. A red card for either side is rated at 8.4% (Genclerbirligi 5.9%, Alanyaspor 2.6%). Genclerbirligi’s most frequent referee this season, U. Ozturk, has averaged 7.0 cards a game across 2 of their matches; the appointment for this game is not known before kickoff.

Every figure here is what the model thinks, not advice. What we are good at is getting the percentage right, not at beating the bookmakers.

63.5%Over 3.5 cards
8.4%Any red card
43.4%Most cards: Alanyaspor
61.9%Genclerbirligi over 1.5 cards
66.2%Alanyaspor over 1.5 cards
74.5%Over 22.5 fouls

Model lenses

The same numbers read in different ways by one model. These are not separate tipsters, and none of them is a tip.

The ModelPublished estimate: 63.5% on Cards. Validation depends on the market and sample; this percentage is not a measured hit rate.
The Referee WatcherU. Ozturk, Genclerbirligi’s most frequent referee this season, averages 7.0 cards a game. These historical averages do not identify this match’s referee.
The FlashpointAny red card is rated at 8.4%, unlikely, and priced as such.
The DisciplinarianAlanyaspor are the pick to collect more cards at 43.4%, bookings follow the side defending under pressure.
GenclerbirligiGenclerbirligi

This season

2026/27 · Recorded results.

AlanyasporAlanyaspor
Statistic
Genclerbirligi
Alanyaspor
fouls per game
13.1
13.2

Bar scales · Fouls per game: 0–20. Each team uses the same scale for each metric.

FAQ

How many cards in Genclerbirligi vs Alanyaspor?
The model rates over 3.5 total cards at 63.5% for Genclerbirligi vs Alanyaspor.
Will there be a red card in Genclerbirligi vs Alanyaspor?
The model rates a red card for either side at 8.4%.
Which team will pick up more cards in Genclerbirligi vs Alanyaspor?
The model rates Alanyaspor to pick up more cards at 43.4%, with a level count at 19.7%.
How is this probability calculated?
The estimate comes from models fitted to recorded match data. Calibration and validation depend on the market, league and available sample; the percentage alone does not establish accuracy or a profitable price.
Is this a betting tip?
This is a model estimate, not a guarantee or a demonstrated profitable edge. Where the required result data is available, saved predictions are graded including misses. An unavailable market result stays ungraded.

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Süper LigGenclerbirligi fixtures and statsAlanyaspor fixtures and statsTrack record

Model estimates; validation depends on the market and available sample. We publish our track record, including the misses. 18+. For information only, not betting advice. If gambling is a problem, visit BeGambleAware.