Bundesliga
FreiburgFreiburgWWWWD
Full time2-1Sun, 11 Oct 202611/1016:30UK14°C · Cloudy
Schalke 04Schalke 04LLDWD

Freiburg 2-1 Schalke 04 both teams to score: our prediction vs the result

Pre-match model estimates. Based on the Road2Sushi model. Not guaranteed outcomes.

Both teams to score: Yes58.5%
Both teams to score: No41.5%

Result

Freiburg2-1Schalke 04
2 goals before half-timeFreiburg 1, Schalke 04 1
YesYes

We called Yes at 58.5% and it landed. We called Yes at 65.2% and it landed (2 in the match).

Model read

A moderate lean, nothing emphatic.

Conviction is how far the model's probability sits from an even 50/50: Strong at 18 points or more, Moderate at 8 points or more, Lean below that.

Conviction: Moderate

Both teams to score · Yes58.5%

Both Teams to Score

YesModel lean58.5%
No41.5%

Related market Over 2.5 goals 63.7%

Recent scoring & conceding

Goals scored and conceded per game over each side's recent matches. The bar runs from 0 to 3.5 goals per game.

Freiburg scored
3.2
Freiburg conceded
0.8
Schalke 04 scored
1.0
Schalke 04 conceded
1.6

Each team to score

Freiburg to score89.3%
Freiburg 2+ goals65.3%
Schalke 04 to score65.0%
Schalke 04 2+ goals28.3%

By half

Both score in 1st half15.9%
Both score in 2nd half30.5%

Goals distribution

How likely each total number of goals is, according to the model. Every goals market on this page is built from these bars. The 5+ bar covers every result with five goals or more.

4.2%

0

11.5%

1

20.6%

2

22.1%

3

18.1%

4

20.7%

5+

Recent trends

How often both teams scored and the match went over 2.5 in each side's recent games.

FreiburgBTTS 3/5Over 2.5 4/5
Schalke 04BTTS 2/5Over 2.5 3/5

Form & head-to-head

Recent form uses each club’s available results in their stored order. Select a W/D/L result for details.

Head-to-head figures use their own recorded sample. Where individual results are available, the figures and journal cover the same meetings. Missing results are never counted as draws.

FreiburgFreiburgLast 5
W
Win · 4-1
W
Win · 4-1
W
Win · 1-0
W
Win · 5-0
D
Draw · 2-2

4 wins · 1 draw · 0 losses

Schalke 04Schalke 04Last 5
L
Loss · 2-4
L
Loss · 0-3
D
Draw · 0-0
W
Win · 3-1
D
Draw · 0-0

1 win · 2 draws · 2 losses

W Win
D Draw
L Loss

Head-to-head

Last 5 meetings

5FreiburgFreiburg wins
0Draws
0Schalke 04Schalke 04 wins
3.2Average goals
Date
Home team
Score
Away team
FreiburgFreiburg
4 – 0
Schalke 04Schalke 04
Schalke 04Schalke 04
0 – 2
FreiburgFreiburg
FreiburgFreiburg
4 – 0
Schalke 04Schalke 04
Schalke 04Schalke 04
0 – 2
FreiburgFreiburg
FreiburgFreiburg
4 – 0
Schalke 04Schalke 04

Match outlook

PickFreiburg68.0%
Draw16.8%
Schalke 0415.2%

The model leans Freiburg to win.

See the full prediction

Both Teams to Score accuracy

How our Both Teams to Score calls have actually done, each one scored against the real result on matches the model had never seen.

53.4%Best Both Teams to Score call, hit rate
0.0218Calibration error
72,238Matches graded

In 34,661 matches we rated like this one (50–60%), Both Teams to Score actually happened 54.3% of the time.

Predictions & track record updated 27 Oct 2026.

See the full, dated track record

Our last 10 Both Teams to Score calls

Our most recent Both Teams to Score calls, each one scored against the result. The model had never seen these matches when it made them. Green means we got it right, red means we got it wrong, and the number is how sure we were.

✓ 50.5%✗ 57.9%✗ 55.0%✗ 58.1%✓ 61.6%✓ 65.1%✓ 51.0%✗ 51.9%✗ 52.7%✗ 56.6%
4 of 10 recent calls hit.
Sevilla vs Osasuna2026-10-26No 50.5%Hit
Paris SG vs Lyon2026-10-26Yes 57.9%Miss
Santa Clara vs Benfica2026-10-26No 55.0%Miss
Besiktas vs Buyuksehyr2026-10-26Yes 58.1%Miss
Rizespor vs Trabzonspor2026-10-26Yes 61.6%Hit
Model analysis: reasoning, key facts and model lenses

Expert AI analysis

The headline read is Both teams to score · Yes at 58.5%, its strongest read on the Both Teams to Score market. Recent output points the same way: Freiburg have averaged 3.2 scored and 0.8 conceded, Schalke 04 1.0 and 1.6 over their recent games. That fits an open goals environment: 63.7% for over 2.5 and 84.4% for at least two goals. Their last 5 meetings have averaged 3.2 goals a game. Freiburg have seen both teams score in 3 of their last 5, Schalke 04 in 2 of 5. Read the recorded data and validation context alongside the estimate.

In-depth analysis

Looking at totals, the model sees 63.7% for three or more goals and 84.4% for at least two, painting a high-scoring picture. With Freiburg favoured at 68.0%, a one-sided game can cap the goals at one end.

Every figure here is what the model thinks, not advice. What we are good at is getting the percentage right, not at beating the bookmakers.

68.0%Favoured: Freiburg
58.5%Both Teams to Score
63.7%Over 2.5 goals

Model lenses

The same numbers read in different ways by one model. These are not separate tipsters, and none of them is a tip.

The ModelPublished estimate: 58.5% on Both Teams to Score. Validation depends on the market and sample; this percentage is not a measured hit rate.
The TacticianSees an open, higher-tempo game from the 63.7% over 2.5 read.
The ScoutFreiburg are the model’s pick on the result at 68.0%, a lean on probability, never on price.

Players to watch

Published player-market probabilities, shown in kickoff order. Model estimates, not confirmed lineups.

How our football predictions work →

FreiburgFreiburg (1)
Igor Matanovic
Watch list
Prediction markets
Model %
Fair odds
Save
To score
26.3%
3.80
1+ shot on target
46.7%
2.14
2+ shots
45.6%
2.19
Per 90 minutes (recent averages)
Shots3.19
On target1.30
Goals0.63
Schalke 04Schalke 04 (1)
Junior Adamu
Watch list
Prediction markets
Model %
Fair odds
Save
To score
3.0%
33.33
1+ shot on target
33.1%
3.02
2+ shots
36.2%
2.76
Per 90 minutes (recent averages)
Shots2.05
On target0.65
Goals0.05

FAQ

Did both teams score in Freiburg vs Schalke 04?
We rated Both Teams to Score at 58.5%. Both teams scored, final score 2-1.
How is this probability calculated?
The estimate comes from models fitted to recorded match data. Calibration and validation depend on the market, league and available sample; the percentage alone does not establish accuracy or a profitable price.
Is this a betting tip?
This is a model estimate, not a guarantee or a demonstrated profitable edge. Where the required result data is available, saved predictions are graded including misses. An unavailable market result stays ungraded.

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Related

Model estimates; validation depends on the market and available sample. We publish our track record, including the misses. 18+. For information only, not betting advice. If gambling is a problem, visit BeGambleAware.