Bundesliga
M'gladbachM'gladbachLLLLW
Sat, 31 Oct 202631/1014:30UK11°C · Clearing
PaderbornPaderbornLWLDW

Borussia Monchengladbach vs Paderborn both teams to score prediction

Based on the Road2Sushi model. Not guaranteed outcomes.

Both teams to score: Yes63.9%
Both teams to score: No36.1%

Model read

A moderate lean, nothing emphatic.

Conviction is how far the model's probability sits from an even 50/50: Strong at 18 points or more, Moderate at 8 points or more, Lean below that.

Conviction: Moderate

Both teams to score · Yes63.9%

Both Teams to Score

YesModel lean63.9%
No36.1%

Related market Over 2.5 goals 64.5%

Recent scoring & conceding

Goals scored and conceded per game over each side's recent matches. The bar runs from 0 to 3.5 goals per game.

M'gladbach scored
1.6
M'gladbach conceded
3.0
Paderborn scored
1.2
Paderborn conceded
1.6

Each team to score

M'gladbach to score86.5%
M'gladbach 2+ goals59.4%
Paderborn to score73.3%
Paderborn 2+ goals38.1%

By half

Both score in 1st half22.0%
Both score in 2nd half26.5%

Goals distribution

How likely each total number of goals is, according to the model. Every goals market on this page is built from these bars. The 5+ bar covers every result with five goals or more.

4.1%

0

11.0%

1

20.4%

2

22.0%

3

18.3%

4

22.2%

5+

Recent trends

How often both teams scored and the match went over 2.5 in each side's recent games.

M'gladbachBTTS 4/5Over 2.5 5/5
PaderbornBTTS 2/5Over 2.5 3/5

Form & head-to-head

Recent form uses each club’s available results in their stored order. Select a W/D/L result for details.

Head-to-head figures use their own recorded sample. Where individual results are available, the figures and journal cover the same meetings. Missing results are never counted as draws.

M'gladbachM'gladbachLast 5
L
Loss · 0-5
L
Loss · 3-4
L
Loss · 1-2
L
Loss · 1-2
W
Win · 3-2

1 win · 0 draws · 4 losses

PaderbornPaderbornLast 5
L
Loss · 0-3
W
Win · 3-1
L
Loss · 0-2
D
Draw · 2-2
W
Win · 1-0

2 wins · 1 draw · 2 losses

W Win
D Draw
L Loss

Head-to-head

Last 4 meetings

4M'gladbachM'gladbach wins
0Draws
0PaderbornPaderborn wins
2.8Average goals
Date
Home team
Score
Away team
PaderbornPaderborn
1 – 3
M'gladbachM'gladbach
M'gladbachM'gladbach
2 – 0
PaderbornPaderborn
M'gladbachM'gladbach
2 – 0
PaderbornPaderborn
PaderbornPaderborn
1 – 2
M'gladbachM'gladbach

Match outlook

PickM'gladbach54.7%
Draw21.4%
Paderborn23.9%

The model leans M'gladbach to win.

See the full prediction

Both Teams to Score accuracy

How our Both Teams to Score calls have actually done, each one scored against the real result on matches the model had never seen.

53.4%Best Both Teams to Score call, hit rate
0.0218Calibration error
72,238Matches graded

In 7,845 matches we rated like this one (60–70%), Both Teams to Score actually happened 58.7% of the time.

Predictions & track record updated 27 Oct 2026.

See the full, dated track record

Our last 10 Both Teams to Score calls

Our most recent Both Teams to Score calls, each one scored against the result. The model had never seen these matches when it made them. Green means we got it right, red means we got it wrong, and the number is how sure we were.

✓ 50.5%✗ 57.9%✗ 55.0%✗ 58.1%✓ 61.6%✓ 65.1%✓ 51.0%✗ 51.9%✗ 52.7%✗ 56.6%
4 of 10 recent calls hit.
Sevilla vs Osasuna2026-10-26No 50.5%Hit
Paris SG vs Lyon2026-10-26Yes 57.9%Miss
Santa Clara vs Benfica2026-10-26No 55.0%Miss
Besiktas vs Buyuksehyr2026-10-26Yes 58.1%Miss
Rizespor vs Trabzonspor2026-10-26Yes 61.6%Hit
Model analysis: reasoning, key facts and model lenses

Expert AI analysis

The model makes Both teams to score · Yes at 63.9%, its strongest read on the Both Teams to Score market. Recent output points the same way: M'gladbach have averaged 1.6 scored and 3.0 conceded, Paderborn 1.2 and 1.6 over their recent games. That fits an open goals environment: 64.5% for over 2.5 and 84.9% for at least two goals. Their last 4 meetings have averaged 2.8 goals a game. M'gladbach have seen both teams score in 4 of their last 5, Paderborn in 2 of 5. The published percentage is an estimate, not a guarantee or a measured hit rate.

In-depth analysis

On the goals side, the model sees 64.5% for three or more goals and 84.9% for at least two, painting a high-scoring picture. Given M'gladbach favoured at 54.7%, neither side dominating can mean an end-to-end match.

We publish the model, not a sure thing. We score every call against the result after the match.

54.7%Favoured: M'gladbach
63.9%Both Teams to Score
64.5%Over 2.5 goals

Model lenses

The same numbers read in different ways by one model. These are not separate tipsters, and none of them is a tip.

The ModelPublished estimate: 63.9% on Both Teams to Score. Validation depends on the market and sample; this percentage is not a measured hit rate.
The TacticianReads an open, higher-tempo game from the 64.5% over 2.5 read.
The ScoutM'gladbach are the model’s pick on the result at 54.7%, a lean on probability, never on price.
M'gladbachM'gladbach

This season

2026/27 · Recorded results.

PaderbornPaderborn
Statistic
M'gladbach
Paderborn
BTTS rate
71.4%
28.6%

clean sheets
0.0%
28.6%

goals scored per game
1.6
0.9

Bar scales · Recorded rate (%): 0–100 · Goals per game: 0–3. Each team uses the same scale for each metric.

Players to watch

Published player-market probabilities, shown in kickoff order. Model estimates, not confirmed lineups.

How our football predictions work →

M'gladbachM'gladbach (1)
Tim Kleindienst
Watch list
Prediction markets
Model %
Fair odds
Save
To score
29.4%
3.40
1+ shot on target
57.7%
1.73
2+ shots
53.5%
1.87
Per 90 minutes (recent averages)
Shots2.06
On target0.99
Goals0.40
PaderbornPaderborn (1)
Rayan Philippe
Watch list
Prediction markets
Model %
Fair odds
Save
To score
15.9%
6.29
1+ shot on target
41.9%
2.39
2+ shots
38.9%
2.57
Per 90 minutes (recent averages)
Shots3.02
On target1.22
Goals0.39

FAQ

Will both teams score in M'gladbach vs Paderborn?
The model estimates Both Teams to Score at 63.9% for M'gladbach vs Paderborn.
Will M'gladbach score against Paderborn?
The model rates M'gladbach to score at 86.5% and Paderborn to score at 73.3%.
How often have M'gladbach seen both teams score recently?
M'gladbach have seen both teams score in 4 of their last 5, Paderborn in 2 of 5.
How is this probability calculated?
The estimate comes from models fitted to recorded match data. Calibration and validation depend on the market, league and available sample; the percentage alone does not establish accuracy or a profitable price.
Is this a betting tip?
This is a model estimate, not a guarantee or a demonstrated profitable edge. Where the required result data is available, saved predictions are graded including misses. An unavailable market result stays ungraded.

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Model estimates; validation depends on the market and available sample. We publish our track record, including the misses. 18+. For information only, not betting advice. If gambling is a problem, visit BeGambleAware.