AI-Powered Match Intelligence· How our model works· updated 31 Oct 2026

Süper Lig
EyupsporEyupsporLLLLL
Sat, 7 Nov 20267/1110:30UK
KocaelisporKocaelisporLWLLW

Eyupspor vs Kocaelispor cards prediction

Based on the Road2Sushi model. Not guaranteed outcomes.

Over 3.5 cardsBoth teams combined58.2%
Under 3.5 cardsBoth teams combined41.8%

Model read

A moderate lean, nothing emphatic.

Conviction is how far the model's probability sits from an even 50/50: Strong at 18 points or more, Moderate at 8 points or more, Lean below that.

Conviction: Moderate

Over 3.5 cards58.2%

Cards (bookings)

Model probabilities for this match. Over means more than the stated line; Under means fewer. For example, over 2.5 requires at least 3. These estimates are not bookmaker odds.

Yellow-card estimates use recorded match data; bookmaker settlement rules may differ, these are the model total-booking probabilities for Eyupspor vs Kocaelispor. The model leans toward Kocaelispor for the most cards.

Total cards

Both teams combined.

Line Over Under
2.5 cards 77.3% 22.7%
3.5 cards 58.2% 41.8%
4.5 cards 38.6% 61.4%
5.5 cards 22.7% 77.3%

Who picks up more cards

Eyupspor
37.0%
Level
20.4%
Kocaelispor
42.5%

Team cards lines

Eyupspor

Over 1.5
58.5%
Over 2.5
31.4%

Kocaelispor

Over 1.5
62.3%
Over 2.5
35.3%

Card handicap

The four handicap lines closest to an even split. The line is Eyupspor's; Kocaelispor gets the opposite line. Half lines have no push.

Eyupspor line Eyupspor Kocaelispor
-1.5 19.9% 80.1%
-0.5 37.0% 63.0%
+0.5 57.5% 42.5%
+1.5 75.8% 24.2%

Red card

Any red card15.4%
Eyupspor red card9.9%
Kocaelispor red card6.2%

Fouls

Line Over Under
20.5 fouls 90.2% 9.8%
22.5 fouls 81.8% 18.3%
24.5 fouls 70.2% 29.8%
EyupsporEyupspor

Card trends

2026/27 · Recorded results. At this venue means Eyupspor at home and Kocaelispor away. A rate appears only after five matches with the figure, three for the home or away split; a missing value is never zero.

KocaelisporKocaelispor
Statistic
Eyupspor
Kocaelispor
Cards per game at this venue
1.0
·

Opponent cards per game at this venue
2.7
·

Yellow cards per game
1.5
1.8

First-half yellow cards per game
0.7
0.9

Second-half yellow cards per game
1.0
0.6

Matches with card data
4
1

Bar scales · Cards per game: 0–5. Each team uses the same scale for each metric.

Cards accuracy

How our Cards calls have actually done, each one scored against the real result on matches the model had never seen.

61.4%Best Cards call, hit rate
0.0222Calibration error
50,950Matches graded

In 11,340 matches we rated like this one (50–60%), Cards actually happened 55.8% of the time.

Predictions & track record updated 31 Oct 2026.

See the full, dated track record

Our last 10 Cards calls

Our most recent Cards calls, each one scored against the result. The model had never seen these matches when it made them. Green means we got it right, red means we got it wrong, and the number is how sure we were.

✓ 50.6%✗ 50.7%✗ 51.1%✓ 52.0%✓ 54.1%✓ 50.1%✓ 54.7%✗ 63.6%✗ 51.1%✗ 52.8%
5 of 10 recent calls hit.
Frosinone vs Lecce2026-10-29Under 3.5 50.6%Hit
Fiorentina vs Atalanta2026-10-29Under 3.5 50.7%Miss
Milan vs Bologna2026-10-28Over 3.5 51.1%Miss
Parma vs Udinese2026-10-28Under 3.5 52.0%Hit
Venezia vs Inter2026-10-28Under 3.5 54.1%Hit
Model analysis: reasoning, key facts and model lenses

Expert AI analysis

The model makes Over 3.5 cards at 58.2%, its strongest read on the Cards market. Line by line, the read runs from 77.3% for over 2.5 to 22.7% for over 5.5, with over 3.5 the closest line to a coin-flip at 58.2%. Head to head on cards, Kocaelispor are the model’s pick to pick up more cards at 42.5%, with a level count at 20.4%. The published percentage is an estimate, not a guarantee or a measured hit rate.

In-depth analysis

For the team lines, Eyupspor over 1.5 cards sits at 58.5% and Kocaelispor at 62.3%. A red card for either side is rated at 15.4% (Eyupspor 9.9%, Kocaelispor 6.2%).

These are the model’s own percentages, not tips. We score every call against the result after the match.

58.2%Over 3.5 cards
15.4%Any red card
42.5%Most cards: Kocaelispor
58.5%Eyupspor over 1.5 cards
62.3%Kocaelispor over 1.5 cards
81.8%Over 22.5 fouls

Model lenses

The same numbers read in different ways by one model. These are not separate tipsters, and none of them is a tip.

The ModelPublished estimate: 58.2% on Cards. Validation depends on the market and sample; this percentage is not a measured hit rate.
The FlashpointAny red card is rated at 15.4%, unlikely, and priced as such.
The DisciplinarianKocaelispor are the pick to collect more cards at 42.5%, the side chasing the game tends to foul more.
The Line SetterThe fairest total line is 3.5 cards: over sits at 58.2%, the closest to a coin-flip on the ladder.
EyupsporEyupspor

This season

2026/27 · Recorded results.

KocaelisporKocaelispor
Statistic
Eyupspor
Kocaelispor
fouls per game
10.9
12.3

Bar scales · Fouls per game: 0–20. Each team uses the same scale for each metric.

FAQ

How many cards in Eyupspor vs Kocaelispor?
The model rates over 3.5 total cards at 58.2% for Eyupspor vs Kocaelispor.
Will there be a red card in Eyupspor vs Kocaelispor?
The model rates a red card for either side at 15.4%.
Which team will pick up more cards in Eyupspor vs Kocaelispor?
The model rates Kocaelispor to pick up more cards at 42.5%, with a level count at 20.4%.
How is this probability calculated?
The estimate comes from models fitted to recorded match data. Calibration and validation depend on the market, league and available sample; the percentage alone does not establish accuracy or a profitable price.
Is this a betting tip?
This is a model estimate, not a guarantee or a demonstrated profitable edge. Where the required result data is available, saved predictions are graded including misses. An unavailable market result stays ungraded.

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Süper LigEyupspor fixtures and statsKocaelispor fixtures and statsTrack record

Model estimates; validation depends on the market and available sample. We publish our track record, including the misses. 18+. For information only, not betting advice. If gambling is a problem, visit BeGambleAware.