Süper Lig
EyupsporEyupsporLLLLL
Sat, 7 Nov 20267/1110:30UK
KocaelisporKocaelisporLWLLW

Eyupspor vs Kocaelispor corners prediction

Based on the Road2Sushi model. Not guaranteed outcomes.

Under 9.5 cornersBoth teams combined55%
Over 9.5 cornersBoth teams combined45%

Model read

Close to a coin-flip, barely a lean.

Conviction is how far the model's probability sits from an even 50/50: Strong at 18 points or more, Moderate at 8 points or more, Lean below that.

Conviction: Lean

Over 9.5 corners45.0%

Corners

Model probabilities for this match. Over means more than the stated line; Under means fewer. For example, over 2.5 requires at least 3. These estimates are not bookmaker odds.

Corner counts follow pressure and wide play, below are the model total-corner probabilities. More corners are projected for Eyupspor.

Total corners

Both teams combined.

Line Over Under
7.5 corners 69.5% 30.5%
8.5 corners 57.4% 42.6%
9.5 corners 45.0% 55.0%
10.5 corners 33.6% 66.4%
11.5 corners 23.8% 76.2%
12.5 corners 16.1% 83.9%

Who wins the corner count

Eyupspor
51.2%
Level
11.0%
Kocaelispor
37.8%

Team corners lines

Eyupspor

Over 3.5
69.3%
Over 4.5
53.2%
Over 5.5
38.0%

Kocaelispor

Over 3.5
60.1%
Over 4.5
43.0%
Over 5.5
28.3%

Corner handicap

The four handicap lines closest to an even split. The line is Eyupspor's; Kocaelispor gets the opposite line. Half lines have no push.

Eyupspor line Eyupspor Kocaelispor
-1.5 40.2% 59.9%
-0.5 51.2% 48.8%
+0.5 62.2% 37.8%
+1.5 72.3% 27.8%

Corners accuracy

How our Corners calls have actually done, each one scored against the real result on matches the model had never seen.

54.0%Best Corners call, hit rate
0.0096Calibration error
50,949Matches graded

In 21,935 matches we rated like this one (40–50%), Corners actually happened 47.7% of the time.

Predictions & track record updated 31 Oct 2026.

See the full, dated track record

Our last 10 Corners calls

Our most recent Corners calls, each one scored against the result. The model had never seen these matches when it made them. Green means we got it right, red means we got it wrong, and the number is how sure we were.

✗ 56.0%✗ 59.8%✓ 62.5%✓ 59.6%✓ 61.1%✗ 61.7%✓ 62.6%✓ 60.3%✗ 61.3%✗ 60.6%
5 of 10 recent calls hit.
Frosinone vs Lecce2026-10-29Under 9.5 56.0%Miss
Fiorentina vs Atalanta2026-10-29Under 9.5 59.8%Miss
Milan vs Bologna2026-10-28Under 9.5 62.5%Hit
Parma vs Udinese2026-10-28Under 9.5 59.6%Hit
Venezia vs Inter2026-10-28Under 9.5 61.1%Hit
Model analysis: reasoning, key facts and model lenses

Expert AI analysis

Our model lands on Over 9.5 corners at 45.0%, its strongest read on the Corners market. Across the lines, the model goes from 69.5% for over 7.5 to 16.1% for over 12.5, with over 9.5 the closest line to a coin-flip at 45.0%. Between the two sides, Eyupspor are the model’s pick to win the corner count at 51.2%, with a level count at 11.0%. Read the recorded data and validation context alongside the estimate.

In-depth analysis

By team, Eyupspor over 4.5 corners sits at 53.2% and Kocaelispor at 43.0%. This season Eyupspor have averaged 3.6 corners won a game and Kocaelispor 4.0.

These are the model’s own percentages, not tips. What we are good at is getting the percentage right, not at beating the bookmakers.

45.0%Over 9.5 corners
51.2%Most corners: Eyupspor
53.2%Eyupspor over 4.5 corners
43.0%Kocaelispor over 4.5 corners
50.0%Odd corner total

Model lenses

The same numbers read in different ways by one model. These are not separate tipsters, and none of them is a tip.

The ModelPublished estimate: 45.0% on Corners. Validation depends on the market and sample; this percentage is not a measured hit rate.
The Territory ReaderEyupspor are the pick to win the corner count at 51.2%, territory tends to follow the side forcing the play.
The Line SetterThe fairest total line is 9.5 corners: over sits at 45.0%, the closest to a coin-flip on the ladder.
EyupsporEyupspor

This season

2026/27 · Recorded results.

KocaelisporKocaelispor
Statistic
Eyupspor
Kocaelispor
corners won per game
3.6
4.0

corners conceded per game
5.0
5.6

Bar scales · Corners per game: 0–10. Each team uses the same scale for each metric.

FAQ

How many corners in Eyupspor vs Kocaelispor?
The model rates over 9.5 total corners at 45.0% for Eyupspor vs Kocaelispor.
Which team will win the corner count in Eyupspor vs Kocaelispor?
The model rates Eyupspor to win the corner count at 51.2%, with a level count at 11.0%.
How many corners do Eyupspor and Kocaelispor average this season?
Eyupspor have won 3.6 corners a game this season and Kocaelispor 4.0.
How is this probability calculated?
The estimate comes from models fitted to recorded match data. Calibration and validation depend on the market, league and available sample; the percentage alone does not establish accuracy or a profitable price.
Is this a betting tip?
This is a model estimate, not a guarantee or a demonstrated profitable edge. Where the required result data is available, saved predictions are graded including misses. An unavailable market result stays ungraded.

More Süper Lig, Corners

Corner predictions today

Related

Model estimates; validation depends on the market and available sample. We publish our track record, including the misses. 18+. For information only, not betting advice. If gambling is a problem, visit BeGambleAware.