AI-Powered Match Intelligence· How our model works· updated 27 Oct 2026

Süper Lig
TrabzonsporTrabzonsporLWWWW
Sun, 1 Nov 20261/1113:00UK
GaziantepGaziantepDLLLL

Trabzonspor vs Gaziantep cards prediction

Based on the Road2Sushi model. Not guaranteed outcomes.

Over 3.5 cardsBoth teams combined68.9%
Under 3.5 cardsBoth teams combined31.1%

Model read

A clear lean on the model's numbers.

Conviction is how far the model's probability sits from an even 50/50: Strong at 18 points or more, Moderate at 8 points or more, Lean below that.

Conviction: Strong

Over 3.5 cards68.9%

Cards (bookings)

Model probabilities for this match. Over means more than the stated line; Under means fewer. For example, over 2.5 requires at least 3. These estimates are not bookmaker odds.

Yellow-card estimates use recorded match data; bookmaker settlement rules may differ, these are the model total-booking probabilities for Trabzonspor vs Gaziantep. It tips Gaziantep for the most cards.

Total cards

Both teams combined.

Line Over Under
2.5 cards 84.7% 15.3%
3.5 cards 68.9% 31.1%
4.5 cards 50.4% 49.6%
5.5 cards 33.0% 67.0%

Who picks up more cards

Trabzonspor
30.8%
Level
18.4%
Gaziantep
50.8%

Team cards lines

Trabzonspor

Over 1.5
61.1%
Over 2.5
34.0%

Gaziantep

Over 1.5
73.8%
Over 2.5
48.9%

Card handicap

The four handicap lines closest to an even split. The line is Trabzonspor's; Gaziantep gets the opposite line. Half lines have no push.

Trabzonspor line Trabzonspor Gaziantep
-1.5 16.3% 83.7%
-0.5 30.8% 69.3%
+0.5 49.2% 50.8%
+1.5 67.6% 32.4%

Red card

Any red card21.2%
Trabzonspor red card6.9%
Gaziantep red card15.3%

Fouls

Line Over Under
20.5 fouls 88.6% 11.4%
22.5 fouls 79.4% 20.7%
24.5 fouls 67.1% 32.9%
TrabzonsporTrabzonspor

Card trends

2026/27 · Recorded results. At this venue means Trabzonspor at home and Gaziantep away. A rate appears only after five matches with the figure, three for the home or away split; a missing value is never zero.

GaziantepGaziantep
Statistic
Trabzonspor
Gaziantep
Yellow cards per game
2.1
2.3

First-half yellow cards per game
0.6
0.4

Second-half yellow cards per game
1.5
2.1

Matches with card data
2
2

Bar scales · Cards per game: 0–5. Each team uses the same scale for each metric.

Cards accuracy

How our Cards calls have actually done, each one scored against the real result on matches the model had never seen.

61.4%Best Cards call, hit rate
0.0222Calibration error
50,939Matches graded

In 10,239 matches we rated like this one (60–70%), Cards actually happened 65.7% of the time.

Predictions & track record updated 27 Oct 2026.

See the full, dated track record

Our last 10 Cards calls

Our most recent Cards calls, each one scored against the result. The model had never seen these matches when it made them. Green means we got it right, red means we got it wrong, and the number is how sure we were.

✗ 70.8%✓ 59.6%✓ 74.0%✗ 68.1%✓ 61.1%✓ 73.2%✓ 52.7%✓ 56.5%✗ 50.6%✗ 79.2%
6 of 10 recent calls hit.
Sevilla vs Osasuna2026-10-26Over 3.5 70.8%Miss
Paris SG vs Lyon2026-10-26Under 3.5 59.6%Hit
Santa Clara vs Benfica2026-10-26Over 3.5 74.0%Hit
Besiktas vs Buyuksehyr2026-10-26Over 3.5 68.1%Miss
Rizespor vs Trabzonspor2026-10-26Over 3.5 61.1%Hit
Model analysis: reasoning, key facts and model lenses

Expert AI analysis

Our model lands on Over 3.5 cards at 68.9%, its strongest read on the Cards market. Across the lines, the model goes from 84.7% for over 2.5 to 33.0% for over 5.5, with over 4.5 the closest line to a coin-flip at 50.4%. Between the two sides, Gaziantep are the model’s pick to pick up more cards at 50.8%, with a level count at 18.4%. This is a model estimate; validation depends on the market and available sample.

In-depth analysis

For the team lines, Trabzonspor over 1.5 cards sits at 61.1% and Gaziantep at 73.8%. A red card for either side is rated at 21.2% (Trabzonspor 6.9%, Gaziantep 15.3%).

These are the model’s own percentages, not tips. What we are good at is getting the percentage right, not at beating the bookmakers.

68.9%Over 3.5 cards
21.2%Any red card
50.8%Most cards: Gaziantep
61.1%Trabzonspor over 1.5 cards
73.8%Gaziantep over 1.5 cards
79.4%Over 22.5 fouls

Model lenses

The same numbers read in different ways by one model. These are not separate tipsters, and none of them is a tip.

The ModelPublished estimate: 68.9% on Cards. Validation depends on the market and sample; this percentage is not a measured hit rate.
The FlashpointAny red card is rated at 21.2%, a live risk in this one, and a red changes every card line at once.
The DisciplinarianGaziantep are the pick to collect more cards at 50.8%, bookings follow the side defending under pressure.
The Line SetterThe fairest total line is 4.5 cards: over sits at 50.4%, the closest to a coin-flip on the ladder.
TrabzonsporTrabzonspor

This season

2026/27 · Recorded results.

GaziantepGaziantep
Statistic
Trabzonspor
Gaziantep
fouls per game
10.6
12.2

Bar scales · Fouls per game: 0–20. Each team uses the same scale for each metric.

FAQ

How many cards in Trabzonspor vs Gaziantep?
The model rates over 3.5 total cards at 68.9% for Trabzonspor vs Gaziantep.
Will there be a red card in Trabzonspor vs Gaziantep?
The model rates a red card for either side at 21.2%.
Which team will pick up more cards in Trabzonspor vs Gaziantep?
The model rates Gaziantep to pick up more cards at 50.8%, with a level count at 18.4%.
How is this probability calculated?
The estimate comes from models fitted to recorded match data. Calibration and validation depend on the market, league and available sample; the percentage alone does not establish accuracy or a profitable price.
Is this a betting tip?
This is a model estimate, not a guarantee or a demonstrated profitable edge. Where the required result data is available, saved predictions are graded including misses. An unavailable market result stays ungraded.

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Related

Süper LigTrabzonspor fixtures and statsGaziantep fixtures and statsTrack record

Model estimates; validation depends on the market and available sample. We publish our track record, including the misses. 18+. For information only, not betting advice. If gambling is a problem, visit BeGambleAware.