AI-Powered Match Intelligence· How our model works· updated 27 Oct 2026

Premier League
CoventryCoventryLWWLL
Sat, 31 Oct 202631/1015:00UK11°C · Cloudy
SunderlandSunderlandLLLLD

Coventry vs Sunderland corners prediction

Based on the Road2Sushi model. Not guaranteed outcomes.

Under 9.5 cornersBoth teams combined51.1%
Over 9.5 cornersBoth teams combined48.9%

Model read

Close to a coin-flip, barely a lean.

Conviction is how far the model's probability sits from an even 50/50: Strong at 18 points or more, Moderate at 8 points or more, Lean below that.

Conviction: Lean

Over 9.5 corners48.9%

Corners

Model probabilities for this match. Over means more than the stated line; Under means fewer. For example, over 2.5 requires at least 3. These estimates are not bookmaker odds.

The corners market rewards teams that camp in the final third, below are the model total-corner probabilities. More corners are projected for Coventry.

Total corners

Both teams combined.

Line Over Under
7.5 corners 72.2% 27.9%
8.5 corners 60.8% 39.2%
9.5 corners 48.9% 51.1%
10.5 corners 37.6% 62.4%
11.5 corners 27.6% 72.4%
12.5 corners 19.4% 80.6%

Who wins the corner count

Coventry
52.0%
Level
10.2%
Sunderland
37.8%

Team corners lines

Coventry

Over 3.5
70.8%
Over 4.5
55.7%
Over 5.5
41.1%

Sunderland

Over 3.5
61.1%
Over 4.5
44.8%
Over 5.5
30.5%

Corner handicap

The four handicap lines closest to an even split. The line is Coventry's; Sunderland gets the opposite line. Half lines have no push.

Coventry line Coventry Sunderland
-1.5 41.7% 58.3%
-0.5 52.0% 48.0%
+0.5 62.2% 37.8%
+1.5 71.7% 28.3%
CoventryCoventry

Corner trends

2026/27 · Recorded results. At this venue means Coventry at home and Sunderland away. A rate appears only after five matches with the figure, three for the home or away split; a missing value is never zero.

SunderlandSunderland
Statistic
Coventry
Sunderland
Corners won per game at this venue
4.3
4.0

Corners conceded per game at this venue
4.3
4.5

First-half corners won per game
1.8
2.6

Second-half corners won per game
2.0
1.7

Matches with more corners than the opponent
37.5%
28.6%

Matches with corner data
8
7

Bar scales · Corners per game: 0–10 · Recorded rate (%): 0–100. Each team uses the same scale for each metric.

Corners accuracy

How our Corners calls have actually done, each one scored against the real result on matches the model had never seen.

54.0%Best Corners call, hit rate
0.0095Calibration error
50,938Matches graded

In 21,932 matches we rated like this one (40–50%), Corners actually happened 47.7% of the time.

Predictions & track record updated 27 Oct 2026.

See the full, dated track record

Our last 10 Corners calls

Our most recent Corners calls, each one scored against the result. The model had never seen these matches when it made them. Green means we got it right, red means we got it wrong, and the number is how sure we were.

✗ 55.9%✓ 52.1%✓ 53.5%✓ 50.6%✓ 53.9%✗ 51.1%✗ 50.7%✗ 58.3%✓ 55.7%✗ 59.5%
5 of 10 recent calls hit.
Sevilla vs Osasuna2026-10-26Under 9.5 55.9%Miss
Paris SG vs Lyon2026-10-26Over 9.5 52.1%Hit
Santa Clara vs Benfica2026-10-26Under 9.5 53.5%Hit
Besiktas vs Buyuksehyr2026-10-26Under 9.5 50.6%Hit
Rizespor vs Trabzonspor2026-10-26Under 9.5 53.9%Hit
Model analysis: reasoning, key facts and model lenses

Expert AI analysis

The model makes Over 9.5 corners at 48.9%, its strongest read on the Corners market. Line by line, the read runs from 72.2% for over 7.5 to 19.4% for over 12.5, with over 9.5 the closest line to a coin-flip at 48.9%. On the corner count, Coventry are the model’s pick to win the corner count at 52.0%, with a level count at 10.2%. Read the recorded data and validation context alongside the estimate.

In-depth analysis

For the team lines, Coventry over 4.5 corners sits at 55.7% and Sunderland at 44.8%. This season Coventry have averaged 3.8 corners won a game and Sunderland 4.3.

Every figure here is what the model thinks, not advice. We score every call against the result after the match.

48.9%Over 9.5 corners
52.0%Most corners: Coventry
55.7%Coventry over 4.5 corners
44.8%Sunderland over 4.5 corners
50.0%Odd corner total

Model lenses

The same numbers read in different ways by one model. These are not separate tipsters, and none of them is a tip.

The ModelPublished estimate: 48.9% on Corners. Validation depends on the market and sample; this percentage is not a measured hit rate.
The Territory ReaderCoventry are the pick to win the corner count at 52.0%, the count usually goes the way of the side doing the attacking.
The Line SetterThe fairest total line is 9.5 corners: over sits at 48.9%, the closest to a coin-flip on the ladder.
The RealistOver 9.5 is a coin-flip in the model, the honest read is low conviction, no strong lean.
CoventryCoventry

This season

2026/27 · Recorded results.

SunderlandSunderland
Statistic
Coventry
Sunderland
corners won per game
3.8
4.3

corners conceded per game
4.9
4.6

Bar scales · Corners per game: 0–10. Each team uses the same scale for each metric.

FAQ

How many corners in Coventry vs Sunderland?
The model rates over 9.5 total corners at 48.9% for Coventry vs Sunderland.
Which team will win the corner count in Coventry vs Sunderland?
The model rates Coventry to win the corner count at 52.0%, with a level count at 10.2%.
How many corners do Coventry and Sunderland average this season?
Coventry have won 3.8 corners a game this season and Sunderland 4.3.
How is this probability calculated?
The estimate comes from models fitted to recorded match data. Calibration and validation depend on the market, league and available sample; the percentage alone does not establish accuracy or a profitable price.
Is this a betting tip?
This is a model estimate, not a guarantee or a demonstrated profitable edge. Where the required result data is available, saved predictions are graded including misses. An unavailable market result stays ungraded.

More Premier League, Corners

Chelsea vs Manchester United corners predictionBournemouth vs Leeds corners predictionBrentford vs Nottingham Forest corners predictionHull vs Ipswich corners predictionManchester City vs Brighton corners predictionTottenham vs Crystal Palace corners prediction

Corner predictions today

Related

Premier LeagueCoventry fixtures and statsSunderland fixtures and statsTrack record

Model estimates; validation depends on the market and available sample. We publish our track record, including the misses. 18+. For information only, not betting advice. If gambling is a problem, visit BeGambleAware.