AI-Powered Match Intelligence· How our model works· updated 27 Oct 2026

Premier League
BrentfordBrentfordDWDLD
Sat, 31 Oct 202631/1015:00UK15°C · Clear
Nottingham ForestNott'm ForestWLLLD

Brentford vs Nottingham Forest corners prediction

Based on the Road2Sushi model. Not guaranteed outcomes.

Over 9.5 cornersBoth teams combined52.1%
Under 9.5 cornersBoth teams combined47.9%

Model read

Close to a coin-flip, barely a lean.

Conviction is how far the model's probability sits from an even 50/50: Strong at 18 points or more, Moderate at 8 points or more, Lean below that.

Conviction: Lean

Over 9.5 corners52.1%

Corners

Model probabilities for this match. Over means more than the stated line; Under means fewer. For example, over 2.5 requires at least 3. These estimates are not bookmaker odds.

The corners market rewards teams that camp in the final third, below are the model total-corner probabilities. The model edges Brentford.

Total corners

Both teams combined.

Line Over Under
7.5 corners 74.6% 25.4%
8.5 corners 63.7% 36.3%
9.5 corners 52.1% 47.9%
10.5 corners 40.7% 59.3%
11.5 corners 30.5% 69.5%
12.5 corners 21.8% 78.2%

Who wins the corner count

Brentford
48.7%
Level
10.1%
Nottingham Forest
41.2%

Team corners lines

Brentford

Over 3.5
70.3%
Over 4.5
55.2%
Over 5.5
40.6%

Nottingham Forest

Over 3.5
65.4%
Over 4.5
49.5%
Over 5.5
35.0%

Corner handicap

The four handicap lines closest to an even split. The line is Brentford's; Nottingham Forest gets the opposite line. Half lines have no push.

Brentford line Brentford Nottingham Forest
-1.5 38.6% 61.4%
-0.5 48.7% 51.3%
+0.5 58.8% 41.2%
+1.5 68.4% 31.6%
BrentfordBrentford

Corner trends

2026/27 · Recorded results. At this venue means Brentford at home and Nottingham Forest away. A rate appears only after five matches with the figure, three for the home or away split; a missing value is never zero.

Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest
Statistic
Brentford
Nottingham Forest
Corners won per game at this venue
4.5
4.8

Corners conceded per game at this venue
6.8
3.5

First-half corners won per game
2.3
2.0

Second-half corners won per game
1.9
2.8

Matches with more corners than the opponent
50.0%
75.0%

Matches with corner data
8
8

Bar scales · Corners per game: 0–10 · Recorded rate (%): 0–100. Each team uses the same scale for each metric.

Corners accuracy

How our Corners calls have actually done, each one scored against the real result on matches the model had never seen.

54.0%Best Corners call, hit rate
0.0095Calibration error
50,938Matches graded

In 24,028 matches we rated like this one (50–60%), Corners actually happened 54.2% of the time.

Predictions & track record updated 27 Oct 2026.

See the full, dated track record

Our last 10 Corners calls

Our most recent Corners calls, each one scored against the result. The model had never seen these matches when it made them. Green means we got it right, red means we got it wrong, and the number is how sure we were.

✗ 55.9%✓ 52.1%✓ 53.5%✓ 50.6%✓ 53.9%✗ 51.1%✗ 50.7%✗ 58.3%✓ 55.7%✗ 59.5%
5 of 10 recent calls hit.
Sevilla vs Osasuna2026-10-26Under 9.5 55.9%Miss
Paris SG vs Lyon2026-10-26Over 9.5 52.1%Hit
Santa Clara vs Benfica2026-10-26Under 9.5 53.5%Hit
Besiktas vs Buyuksehyr2026-10-26Under 9.5 50.6%Hit
Rizespor vs Trabzonspor2026-10-26Under 9.5 53.9%Hit
Model analysis: reasoning, key facts and model lenses

Expert AI analysis

The headline read is Over 9.5 corners at 52.1%, its strongest read on the Corners market. The total-corners ladder runs from 74.6% for over 7.5 to 21.8% for over 12.5, with over 9.5 the closest line to a coin-flip at 52.1%. On the corner count, Brentford are the model’s pick to win the corner count at 48.7%, with a level count at 10.1%. This is a model estimate; validation depends on the market and available sample.

In-depth analysis

By team, Brentford over 4.5 corners sits at 55.2% and Nottingham Forest at 49.5%. This season Brentford have averaged 4.1 corners won a game and Nottingham Forest 4.8.

We publish the model, not a sure thing. We score every call against the result after the match.

52.1%Over 9.5 corners
48.7%Most corners: Brentford
55.2%Brentford over 4.5 corners
49.5%Nottingham Forest over 4.5 corners
50.0%Odd corner total

Model lenses

The same numbers read in different ways by one model. These are not separate tipsters, and none of them is a tip.

The ModelPublished estimate: 52.1% on Corners. Validation depends on the market and sample; this percentage is not a measured hit rate.
The Territory ReaderBrentford are the pick to win the corner count at 48.7%, the count usually goes the way of the side doing the attacking.
The Line SetterThe fairest total line is 9.5 corners: over sits at 52.1%, the closest to a coin-flip on the ladder.
The RealistOver 9.5 is a coin-flip in the model, the honest read is low conviction, no strong lean.
BrentfordBrentford

This season

2026/27 · Recorded results.

Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest
Statistic
Brentford
Nottingham Forest
corners won per game
4.1
4.8

corners conceded per game
5.1
4.3

Bar scales · Corners per game: 0–10. Each team uses the same scale for each metric.

FAQ

How many corners in Brentford vs Nottingham Forest?
The model rates over 9.5 total corners at 52.1% for Brentford vs Nottingham Forest.
Which team will win the corner count in Brentford vs Nottingham Forest?
The model rates Brentford to win the corner count at 48.7%, with a level count at 10.1%.
How many corners do Brentford and Nottingham Forest average this season?
Brentford have won 4.1 corners a game this season and Nottingham Forest 4.8.
How is this probability calculated?
The estimate comes from models fitted to recorded match data. Calibration and validation depend on the market, league and available sample; the percentage alone does not establish accuracy or a profitable price.
Is this a betting tip?
This is a model estimate, not a guarantee or a demonstrated profitable edge. Where the required result data is available, saved predictions are graded including misses. An unavailable market result stays ungraded.

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Corner predictions today

Related

Premier LeagueBrentford fixtures and statsNottingham Forest fixtures and statsTrack record

Model estimates; validation depends on the market and available sample. We publish our track record, including the misses. 18+. For information only, not betting advice. If gambling is a problem, visit BeGambleAware.