Süper Lig
CorumCorumLWWLW
Sun, 8 Nov 20268/1113:00UK
FenerbahceFenerbahceWWWLL

Corum vs Fenerbahce corners prediction

Based on the Road2Sushi model. Not guaranteed outcomes.

Under 9.5 cornersBoth teams combined50.3%
Over 9.5 cornersBoth teams combined49.7%

Model read

Close to a coin-flip, barely a lean.

Conviction is how far the model's probability sits from an even 50/50: Strong at 18 points or more, Moderate at 8 points or more, Lean below that.

Conviction: Lean

Over 9.5 corners49.7%

Corners

Model probabilities for this match. Over means more than the stated line; Under means fewer. For example, over 2.5 requires at least 3. These estimates are not bookmaker odds.

The corners market rewards teams that camp in the final third, below are the model total-corner probabilities. More corners are projected for Corum.

Total corners

Both teams combined.

Line Over Under
7.5 corners 73.3% 26.7%
8.5 corners 61.8% 38.2%
9.5 corners 49.7% 50.3%
10.5 corners 38.0% 62.0%
11.5 corners 27.7% 72.3%
12.5 corners 19.3% 80.8%

Who wins the corner count

Corum
48.7%
Level
10.8%
Fenerbahce
40.5%

Team corners lines

Corum

Over 3.5
70.2%
Over 4.5
54.3%
Over 5.5
39.1%

Fenerbahce

Over 3.5
64.8%
Over 4.5
48.1%
Over 5.5
33.0%

Corner handicap

The four handicap lines closest to an even split. The line is Corum's; Fenerbahce gets the opposite line. Half lines have no push.

Corum line Corum Fenerbahce
-1.5 38.1% 61.9%
-0.5 48.7% 51.3%
+0.5 59.5% 40.5%
+1.5 69.6% 30.4%

Corners accuracy

How our Corners calls have actually done, each one scored against the real result on matches the model had never seen.

54.0%Best Corners call, hit rate
0.0096Calibration error
51,077Matches graded

In 21,999 matches we rated like this one (40–50%), Corners actually happened 47.7% of the time.

Predictions & track record updated 3 Nov 2026.

See the full, dated track record

Our last 10 Corners calls

Our most recent Corners calls, each one scored against the result. The model had never seen these matches when it made them. Green means we got it right, red means we got it wrong, and the number is how sure we were.

✓ 52.5%✓ 50.2%✗ 50.6%✓ 56.9%✗ 50.6%✓ 53.7%✗ 51.8%✓ 62.7%✗ 61.2%✓ 61.5%
6 of 10 recent calls hit.
Liverpool vs Arsenal2026-11-01Over 9.5 52.5%Hit
Union Berlin vs FC Koln2026-11-01Under 9.5 50.2%Hit
Ein Frankfurt vs Hamburg2026-11-01Under 9.5 50.6%Miss
Getafe vs Sevilla2026-11-01Under 9.5 56.9%Hit
Santander vs Real Madrid2026-11-01Under 9.5 50.6%Miss
Model analysis: reasoning, key facts and model lenses

Expert AI analysis

Our model lands on Over 9.5 corners at 49.7%, its strongest read on the Corners market. The total-corners ladder runs from 73.3% for over 7.5 to 19.3% for over 12.5, with over 9.5 the closest line to a coin-flip at 49.7%. Head to head on corners, Corum are the model’s pick to win the corner count at 48.7%, with a level count at 10.8%. Read the recorded data and validation context alongside the estimate.

In-depth analysis

By team, Corum over 4.5 corners sits at 54.3% and Fenerbahce at 48.1%. This season Corum have averaged 3.7 corners won a game and Fenerbahce 5.9.

These are the model’s own percentages, not tips. The track record is public, misses included.

49.7%Over 9.5 corners
48.7%Most corners: Corum
54.3%Corum over 4.5 corners
48.1%Fenerbahce over 4.5 corners
50.0%Odd corner total

Model lenses

The same numbers read in different ways by one model. These are not separate tipsters, and none of them is a tip.

The ModelPublished estimate: 49.7% on Corners. Validation depends on the market and sample; this percentage is not a measured hit rate.
The Territory ReaderCorum are the pick to win the corner count at 48.7%, corners follow pressure, and pressure follows the side with the ball in the final third.
The Line SetterThe fairest total line is 9.5 corners: over sits at 49.7%, the closest to a coin-flip on the ladder.
The RealistOver 9.5 is a coin-flip in the model, the honest read is low conviction, no strong lean.
CorumCorum

This season

2026/27 · Recorded results.

FenerbahceFenerbahce
Statistic
Corum
Fenerbahce
corners won per game
3.7
5.9

corners conceded per game
5.7
4.7

Bar scales · Corners per game: 0–10. Each team uses the same scale for each metric.

FAQ

How many corners in Corum vs Fenerbahce?
The model rates over 9.5 total corners at 49.7% for Corum vs Fenerbahce.
Which team will win the corner count in Corum vs Fenerbahce?
The model rates Corum to win the corner count at 48.7%, with a level count at 10.8%.
How many corners do Corum and Fenerbahce average this season?
Corum have won 3.7 corners a game this season and Fenerbahce 5.9.
How is this probability calculated?
The estimate comes from models fitted to recorded match data. Calibration and validation depend on the market, league and available sample; the percentage alone does not establish accuracy or a profitable price.
Is this a betting tip?
This is a model estimate, not a guarantee or a demonstrated profitable edge. Where the required result data is available, saved predictions are graded including misses. An unavailable market result stays ungraded.

More Süper Lig, Corners

Corner predictions today

Related

Model estimates; validation depends on the market and available sample. We publish our track record, including the misses. 18+. For information only, not betting advice. If gambling is a problem, visit BeGambleAware.