AI-Powered Match Intelligence· How our model works· updated 31 Oct 2026

Süper Lig
SamsunsporSamsunsporLLLLL
Sat, 7 Nov 20267/1113:00UK
KonyasporKonyasporDDLWL

Samsunspor vs Konyaspor corners prediction

Based on the Road2Sushi model. Not guaranteed outcomes.

Under 9.5 cornersBoth teams combined52.7%
Over 9.5 cornersBoth teams combined47.3%

Model read

Close to a coin-flip, barely a lean.

Conviction is how far the model's probability sits from an even 50/50: Strong at 18 points or more, Moderate at 8 points or more, Lean below that.

Conviction: Lean

Over 9.5 corners47.3%

Corners

Model probabilities for this match. Over means more than the stated line; Under means fewer. For example, over 2.5 requires at least 3. These estimates are not bookmaker odds.

Corner counts follow pressure and wide play, below are the model total-corner probabilities. The model edges Samsunspor.

Total corners

Both teams combined.

Line Over Under
7.5 corners 71.4% 28.6%
8.5 corners 59.5% 40.5%
9.5 corners 47.3% 52.7%
10.5 corners 35.7% 64.3%
11.5 corners 25.7% 74.3%
12.5 corners 17.6% 82.4%

Who wins the corner count

Samsunspor
55.3%
Level
10.6%
Konyaspor
34.1%

Team corners lines

Samsunspor

Over 3.5
72.9%
Over 4.5
57.6%
Over 5.5
42.3%

Konyaspor

Over 3.5
58.5%
Over 4.5
41.3%
Over 5.5
26.8%

Corner handicap

The four handicap lines closest to an even split. The line is Samsunspor's; Konyaspor gets the opposite line. Half lines have no push.

Samsunspor line Samsunspor Konyaspor
-3.5 24.6% 75.4%
-1.5 44.3% 55.7%
-0.5 55.3% 44.7%
+0.5 65.9% 34.1%
SamsunsporSamsunspor

Corner trends

2026/27 · Recorded results. At this venue means Samsunspor at home and Konyaspor away. A rate appears only after five matches with the figure, three for the home or away split; a missing value is never zero.

KonyasporKonyaspor
Statistic
Samsunspor
Konyaspor
Corners won per game at this venue
5.5
3.0

Corners conceded per game at this venue
5.3
6.0

First-half corners won per game
2.1
1.3

Second-half corners won per game
2.6
1.3

Matches with more corners than the opponent
37.5%
0.0%

Matches with corner data
8
8

Bar scales · Corners per game: 0–10 · Recorded rate (%): 0–100. Each team uses the same scale for each metric.

Corners accuracy

How our Corners calls have actually done, each one scored against the real result on matches the model had never seen.

54.0%Best Corners call, hit rate
0.0096Calibration error
50,949Matches graded

In 21,935 matches we rated like this one (40–50%), Corners actually happened 47.7% of the time.

Predictions & track record updated 31 Oct 2026.

See the full, dated track record

Our last 10 Corners calls

Our most recent Corners calls, each one scored against the result. The model had never seen these matches when it made them. Green means we got it right, red means we got it wrong, and the number is how sure we were.

✗ 56.0%✗ 59.8%✓ 62.5%✓ 59.6%✓ 61.1%✗ 61.7%✓ 62.6%✓ 60.3%✗ 61.3%✗ 60.6%
5 of 10 recent calls hit.
Frosinone vs Lecce2026-10-29Under 9.5 56.0%Miss
Fiorentina vs Atalanta2026-10-29Under 9.5 59.8%Miss
Milan vs Bologna2026-10-28Under 9.5 62.5%Hit
Parma vs Udinese2026-10-28Under 9.5 59.6%Hit
Venezia vs Inter2026-10-28Under 9.5 61.1%Hit
Model analysis: reasoning, key facts and model lenses

Expert AI analysis

The model makes Over 9.5 corners at 47.3%, its strongest read on the Corners market. Across the lines, the model goes from 71.4% for over 7.5 to 17.6% for over 12.5, with over 9.5 the closest line to a coin-flip at 47.3%. On the corner count, Samsunspor are the model’s pick to win the corner count at 55.3%, with a level count at 10.6%. Read the recorded data and validation context alongside the estimate.

In-depth analysis

Split by side, Samsunspor over 4.5 corners sits at 57.6% and Konyaspor at 41.3%. This season Samsunspor have averaged 4.8 corners won a game and Konyaspor 2.5.

These are the model’s own percentages, not tips. We score every call against the result after the match.

47.3%Over 9.5 corners
55.3%Most corners: Samsunspor
57.6%Samsunspor over 4.5 corners
41.3%Konyaspor over 4.5 corners
50.0%Odd corner total

Model lenses

The same numbers read in different ways by one model. These are not separate tipsters, and none of them is a tip.

The ModelPublished estimate: 47.3% on Corners. Validation depends on the market and sample; this percentage is not a measured hit rate.
The Territory ReaderSamsunspor are the pick to win the corner count at 55.3%, corners follow pressure, and pressure follows the side with the ball in the final third.
The Line SetterThe fairest total line is 9.5 corners: over sits at 47.3%, the closest to a coin-flip on the ladder.
The RealistOver 9.5 is a coin-flip in the model, the honest read is low conviction, no strong lean.
SamsunsporSamsunspor

This season

2026/27 · Recorded results.

KonyasporKonyaspor
Statistic
Samsunspor
Konyaspor
corners won per game
4.8
2.5

corners conceded per game
5.9
5.9

Bar scales · Corners per game: 0–10. Each team uses the same scale for each metric.

FAQ

How many corners in Samsunspor vs Konyaspor?
The model rates over 9.5 total corners at 47.3% for Samsunspor vs Konyaspor.
Which team will win the corner count in Samsunspor vs Konyaspor?
The model rates Samsunspor to win the corner count at 55.3%, with a level count at 10.6%.
How many corners do Samsunspor and Konyaspor average this season?
Samsunspor have won 4.8 corners a game this season and Konyaspor 2.5.
How is this probability calculated?
The estimate comes from models fitted to recorded match data. Calibration and validation depend on the market, league and available sample; the percentage alone does not establish accuracy or a profitable price.
Is this a betting tip?
This is a model estimate, not a guarantee or a demonstrated profitable edge. Where the required result data is available, saved predictions are graded including misses. An unavailable market result stays ungraded.

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Corner predictions today

Related

Süper LigSamsunspor fixtures and statsKonyaspor fixtures and statsTrack record

Model estimates; validation depends on the market and available sample. We publish our track record, including the misses. 18+. For information only, not betting advice. If gambling is a problem, visit BeGambleAware.