Süper Lig
CorumCorumLWWLW
Sun, 8 Nov 20268/1113:00UK
FenerbahceFenerbahceWWWLL

Corum vs Fenerbahce correct score prediction

Based on the Road2Sushi model. Not guaranteed outcomes.

1-2 correct score9.8%
1-1 correct score9.5%
0-2 correct score9.1%

Model read

No single outcome dominates, read the distribution.

Conviction: Open

Most likely · 9.8%1-2

Correct score

Score distribution: the model probability of each exact score.

Rows = Corum goals, columns = Fenerbahce goals. The most likely scoreline is 1-2 at 9.8%.

Rather than one score, the model spreads probability across the whole grid, that distribution is the real signal. Read the heatmap as a map of likelihood, not a prediction of one score.

Most likely scorelines

  1. 1-29.8%
  2. 1-19.5%
  3. 0-29.1%
  4. 0-17.9%
  5. 1-37.1%
  6. 0-36.6%
  7. 2-25.3%
  8. 2-14.9%

Score probability grid

H / A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 4.3% 7.9% 9.1% 6.6% 3.6% 1.6%
1 3.7% 9.5% 9.8% 7.1% 3.9% 1.7%
2 2.3% 4.9% 5.3% 3.9% 2.1% 0.9%
3 0.8% 1.8% 1.9% 1.4% 0.8% 0.3%
4 0.2% 0.5% 0.5% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%

Rows: Corum · Columns: Fenerbahce

Goals distribution

How likely each total number of goals is, according to the model. Every goals market on this page is built from these bars. The 5+ bar covers every result with five goals or more.

4.3%

0

11.6%

1

20.8%

2

22.2%

3

18.1%

4

20.6%

5+

Form & head-to-head

Recent form uses each club’s available results in their stored order. Select a W/D/L result for details.

Head-to-head figures use their own recorded sample. Where individual results are available, the figures and journal cover the same meetings. Missing results are never counted as draws.

CorumCorumLast 5
L
Loss · 1-2
W
Win · 3-0
W
Win · 2-1
L
Loss · 0-2
W
Win · 3-1

3 wins · 0 draws · 2 losses

FenerbahceFenerbahceLast 5
W
Win · 8-0
W
Win · 3-0
W
Win · 3-0
L
Loss · 1-2
L
Loss · 1-2

3 wins · 0 draws · 2 losses

W Win
D Draw
L Loss

Head-to-head

No recorded head-to-head results available.

Overall model accuracy

We don't yet publish a graded Correct Score-specific track record, so this is our overall accuracy across every 1X2 call, graded out-of-sample, updated daily.

0.0102Calibration error (1X2)
47.8%Top-pick hit rate (1X2)
56,177Matches graded

Predictions & track record updated 3 Nov 2026.

See the full, dated track record

Model analysis: reasoning, key facts and model lenses

Expert AI analysis

The model makes Most likely · 9.8% at 1-2, its strongest read on the Correct Score market. It is driven by both attacks and defences: Corum have averaged 1.8 scored and 1.2 conceded, Fenerbahce 3.2 and 0.8 over their recent games. That fits an open goals environment: 63.4% for over 2.5 and 84.2% for at least two goals. The published percentage is an estimate, not a guarantee or a measured hit rate.

In-depth analysis

Looking at totals, the model sees 63.4% for three or more goals and 84.2% for at least two, painting a high-scoring picture. Given Fenerbahce favoured at 61.9%, they may control possession and keep things tighter.

These are the model’s own percentages, not tips. What we are good at is getting the percentage right, not at beating the bookmakers.

61.9%Favoured: Fenerbahce
59.2%Both Teams to Score
63.4%Over 2.5 goals

Model lenses

The same numbers read in different ways by one model. These are not separate tipsters, and none of them is a tip.

The ModelPublished estimate: 1-2 on Correct Score. Validation depends on the market and sample; this percentage is not a measured hit rate.
The TacticianReads an open, higher-tempo game from the 63.4% over 2.5 read.
The ScoutFenerbahce are the model’s pick on the result at 61.9%, a lean on probability, never on price.

FAQ

What is the most likely score in Corum vs Fenerbahce?
The model's most likely scoreline for Corum vs Fenerbahce is 1-2 at 9.8%.
How is this probability calculated?
The estimate comes from models fitted to recorded match data. Calibration and validation depend on the market, league and available sample; the percentage alone does not establish accuracy or a profitable price.
Is this a betting tip?
This is a model estimate, not a guarantee or a demonstrated profitable edge. Where the required result data is available, saved predictions are graded including misses. An unavailable market result stays ungraded.

More Süper Lig, Correct Score

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Related

Model estimates; validation depends on the market and available sample. We publish our track record, including the misses. 18+. For information only, not betting advice. If gambling is a problem, visit BeGambleAware.