Pro League
Cercle BruggeCercle BruggeLLLDL
Full time1-2Sat, 10 Oct 202610/1015:00UK
AnderlechtAnderlechtLWDWW

Cercle Brugge 1-2 Anderlecht corners: our prediction vs the result

Pre-match model estimates. Based on the Road2Sushi model. Not guaranteed outcomes.

Over 9.5 cornersBoth teams combined57.5%
Under 9.5 cornersBoth teams combined42.5%

Result

Cercle Brugge1-2Anderlecht
10 cornersCercle Brugge 5, Anderlecht 5
Over 9.5

We called Over 9.5 at 57.5% and it landed (10 in the match).

Model read

Close to a coin-flip, barely a lean.

Conviction is how far the model's probability sits from an even 50/50: Strong at 18 points or more, Moderate at 8 points or more, Lean below that.

Conviction: Lean

Over 9.5 corners57.5%

Corners

Model probabilities for this match. Over means more than the stated line; Under means fewer. For example, over 2.5 requires at least 3. These estimates are not bookmaker odds.

The corners market rewards teams that camp in the final third, below are the model total-corner probabilities. It leans to Cercle Brugge.

Total corners

Both teams combined.

Line Over Under
7.5 corners 79.3% 20.7%
8.5 corners 69.0% 31.0%
9.5 corners 57.5% 42.5%
10.5 corners 45.7% 54.3%
11.5 corners 34.7% 65.3%
12.5 corners 25.1% 74.9%

Who wins the corner count

Cercle Brugge
55.1%
Level
10.2%
Anderlecht
34.6%

Team corners lines

Cercle Brugge

Over 3.5
77.9%
Over 4.5
63.8%
Over 5.5
48.8%

Anderlecht

Over 3.5
65.4%
Over 4.5
48.5%
Over 5.5
33.2%

Corner handicap

The four handicap lines closest to an even split. The line is Cercle Brugge's; Anderlecht gets the opposite line. Half lines have no push.

Cercle Brugge line Cercle Brugge Anderlecht
-3.5 25.4% 74.6%
-1.5 44.6% 55.4%
-0.5 55.1% 44.9%
+0.5 65.4% 34.6%

Corners accuracy

How our Corners calls have actually done, each one scored against the real result on matches the model had never seen.

54.0%Best Corners call, hit rate
0.0095Calibration error
50,938Matches graded

In 24,028 matches we rated like this one (50–60%), Corners actually happened 54.2% of the time.

Predictions & track record updated 27 Oct 2026.

See the full, dated track record

Our last 10 Corners calls

Our most recent Corners calls, each one scored against the result. The model had never seen these matches when it made them. Green means we got it right, red means we got it wrong, and the number is how sure we were.

✗ 55.9%✓ 52.1%✓ 53.5%✓ 50.6%✓ 53.9%✗ 51.1%✗ 50.7%✗ 58.3%✓ 55.7%✗ 59.5%
5 of 10 recent calls hit.
Sevilla vs Osasuna2026-10-26Under 9.5 55.9%Miss
Paris SG vs Lyon2026-10-26Over 9.5 52.1%Hit
Santa Clara vs Benfica2026-10-26Under 9.5 53.5%Hit
Besiktas vs Buyuksehyr2026-10-26Under 9.5 50.6%Hit
Rizespor vs Trabzonspor2026-10-26Under 9.5 53.9%Hit
Model analysis: reasoning, key facts and model lenses

Expert AI analysis

Our model lands on Over 9.5 corners at 57.5%, its strongest read on the Corners market. Line by line, the read runs from 79.3% for over 7.5 to 25.1% for over 12.5, with over 10.5 the closest line to a coin-flip at 45.7%. Head to head on corners, Cercle Brugge are the model’s pick to win the corner count at 55.1%, with a level count at 10.2%. Read the recorded data and validation context alongside the estimate.

In-depth analysis

For the team lines, Cercle Brugge over 4.5 corners sits at 63.8% and Anderlecht at 48.5%. This season Cercle Brugge have averaged 7.9 corners won a game and Anderlecht 7.0.

These are the model’s own percentages, not tips. The track record is public, misses included.

57.5%Over 9.5 corners
55.1%Most corners: Cercle Brugge
63.8%Cercle Brugge over 4.5 corners
48.5%Anderlecht over 4.5 corners
50.0%Odd corner total

Model lenses

The same numbers read in different ways by one model. These are not separate tipsters, and none of them is a tip.

The ModelPublished estimate: 57.5% on Corners. Validation depends on the market and sample; this percentage is not a measured hit rate.
The Territory ReaderCercle Brugge are the pick to win the corner count at 55.1%, the count usually goes the way of the side doing the attacking.
The Line SetterThe fairest total line is 10.5 corners: over sits at 45.7%, the closest to a coin-flip on the ladder.
Cercle BruggeCercle Brugge

This season

2026/27 · Recorded results.

AnderlechtAnderlecht
Statistic
Cercle Brugge
Anderlecht
corners won per game
7.9
7.0

corners conceded per game
4.0
3.0

Bar scales · Corners per game: 0–10. Each team uses the same scale for each metric.

FAQ

How many corners in Cercle Brugge vs Anderlecht?
Before kickoff, the model rated over 9.5 total corners at 57.5% for Cercle Brugge vs Anderlecht.
Which team will win the corner count in Cercle Brugge vs Anderlecht?
Before kickoff, the model rated Cercle Brugge to win the corner count at 55.1%, with a level count at 10.2%.
How many corners do Cercle Brugge and Anderlecht average this season?
Cercle Brugge have won 7.9 corners a game this season and Anderlecht 7.0.
How is this probability calculated?
The estimate comes from models fitted to recorded match data. Calibration and validation depend on the market, league and available sample; the percentage alone does not establish accuracy or a profitable price.
Is this a betting tip?
This is a model estimate, not a guarantee or a demonstrated profitable edge. Where the required result data is available, saved predictions are graded including misses. An unavailable market result stays ungraded.

More Pro League, Corners

Corner predictions today

Related

Model estimates; validation depends on the market and available sample. We publish our track record, including the misses. 18+. For information only, not betting advice. If gambling is a problem, visit BeGambleAware.