Pro League
Cercle BruggeCercle BruggeLLLDL
Full time1-2Sat, 10 Oct 202610/1015:00UK
AnderlechtAnderlechtLWDWW

Cercle Brugge 1-2 Anderlecht correct score: our prediction vs the result

Pre-match model estimates. Based on the Road2Sushi model. Not guaranteed outcomes.

1-1 correct score11.8%
2-1 correct score8.5%
1-2 correct score8.3%

Result

Cercle Brugge1-2Anderlecht

Final score 1-2. The model gave that exact scoreline 8.3%.

Model read

No single outcome dominates, read the distribution.

Conviction: Open

Most likely · 11.8%1-1

Correct score

Score distribution: the model probability of each exact score.

Rows = Cercle Brugge goals, columns = Anderlecht goals. The most likely scoreline is 1-1 at 11.8%.

No exact score is ever truly likely; the value is in the full distribution the model assigns. The brightest cells are where the match is most likely to land.

Most likely scorelines

  1. 1-111.8%
  2. 2-18.5%
  3. 1-28.3%
  4. 1-07.1%
  5. 0-16.9%
  6. 2-26.3%
  7. 2-05.8%
  8. 0-05.6%

Score probability grid

H / A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 5.6% 6.9% 5.5% 2.7% 1% 0.3%
1 7.1% 11.8% 8.3% 4% 1.5% 0.4%
2 5.8% 8.5% 6.3% 3.1% 1.1% 0.3%
3 2.9% 4.3% 3.2% 1.5% 0.6% 0.2%
4 1.1% 1.6% 1.2% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1%
5 0.3% 0.5% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%

Rows: Cercle Brugge · Columns: Anderlecht

Goals distribution

How likely each total number of goals is, according to the model. Every goals market on this page is built from these bars. The 5+ bar covers every result with five goals or more.

5.6%

0

14.0%

1

23.1%

2

22.4%

3

16.7%

4

17.3%

5+

Form & head-to-head

Recent form uses each club’s available results in their stored order. Select a W/D/L result for details.

Head-to-head figures use their own recorded sample. Where individual results are available, the figures and journal cover the same meetings. Missing results are never counted as draws.

Cercle BruggeCercle BruggeLast 5
L
Loss · 0-1
L
Loss · 0-1
L
Loss · 0-3
D
Draw · 1-1
L
Loss · 2-3

0 wins · 1 draw · 4 losses

AnderlechtAnderlechtLast 5
L
Loss · 0-3
W
Win · 1-0
D
Draw · 0-0
W
Win · 1-0
W
Win · 3-0

3 wins · 1 draw · 1 loss

W Win
D Draw
L Loss

Head-to-head

Last 5 meetings

1Cercle BruggeCercle Brugge wins
1Draws
3AnderlechtAnderlecht wins
3.4Average goals
Date
Home team
Score
Away team
AnderlechtAnderlecht
2 – 3
Cercle BruggeCercle Brugge
Cercle BruggeCercle Brugge
0 – 2
AnderlechtAnderlecht
AnderlechtAnderlecht
3 – 0
Cercle BruggeCercle Brugge
Cercle BruggeCercle Brugge
0 – 5
AnderlechtAnderlecht
Cercle BruggeCercle Brugge
1 – 1
AnderlechtAnderlecht

Overall model accuracy

We don't yet publish a graded Correct Score-specific track record, so this is our overall accuracy across every 1X2 call, graded out-of-sample, updated daily.

0.0106Calibration error (1X2)
47.7%Top-pick hit rate (1X2)
56,038Matches graded

Predictions & track record updated 27 Oct 2026.

See the full, dated track record

Model analysis: reasoning, key facts and model lenses

Expert AI analysis

Our model lands on Most likely · 11.8% at 1-1, its strongest read on the Correct Score market. Recent output points the same way: Cercle Brugge have averaged 0.6 scored and 1.8 conceded, Anderlecht 1.0 and 0.6 over their recent games. That fits an open goals environment: 57.3% for over 2.5 and 80.4% for at least two goals. Their last 5 meetings have averaged 3.4 goals a game. Read the recorded data and validation context alongside the estimate.

In-depth analysis

Looking at totals, the model sees 57.3% for three or more goals and 80.4% for at least two, painting a balanced picture. With Cercle Brugge favoured at 38.3%, a close contest often produces chances at both ends.

We publish the model, not a sure thing. We score every call against the result after the match.

38.3%Favoured: Cercle Brugge
60.6%Both Teams to Score
57.3%Over 2.5 goals

Model lenses

The same numbers read in different ways by one model. These are not separate tipsters, and none of them is a tip.

The ModelPublished estimate: 1-1 on Correct Score. Validation depends on the market and sample; this percentage is not a measured hit rate.
The TacticianSees an open, higher-tempo game from the 57.3% over 2.5 read.
The ScoutCercle Brugge are the model’s pick on the result at 38.3%, context for how the goals may flow.

FAQ

What was the score in Cercle Brugge vs Anderlecht?
Cercle Brugge vs Anderlecht finished 1-2. The model's most likely scoreline was 1-1 at 11.8%; it gave the actual 1-2 a 8.3% chance.
How is this probability calculated?
The estimate comes from models fitted to recorded match data. Calibration and validation depend on the market, league and available sample; the percentage alone does not establish accuracy or a profitable price.
Is this a betting tip?
This is a model estimate, not a guarantee or a demonstrated profitable edge. Where the required result data is available, saved predictions are graded including misses. An unavailable market result stays ungraded.

More Pro League, Correct Score

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Related

Model estimates; validation depends on the market and available sample. We publish our track record, including the misses. 18+. For information only, not betting advice. If gambling is a problem, visit BeGambleAware.