AI-Powered Match Intelligence· How our model works· updated 1 Nov 2026

Premier League
BrightonBrightonWWWLW
Sun, 8 Nov 20268/1114:00UK10°C · Clear
BrentfordBrentfordWDLDW

Brighton vs Brentford corners prediction

Based on the Road2Sushi model. Not guaranteed outcomes.

Over 9.5 cornersBoth teams combined52.4%
Under 9.5 cornersBoth teams combined47.6%

Model read

Close to a coin-flip, barely a lean.

Conviction is how far the model's probability sits from an even 50/50: Strong at 18 points or more, Moderate at 8 points or more, Lean below that.

Conviction: Lean

Over 9.5 corners52.4%

Corners

Model probabilities for this match. Over means more than the stated line; Under means fewer. For example, over 2.5 requires at least 3. These estimates are not bookmaker odds.

The corners market rewards teams that camp in the final third, below are the model total-corner probabilities. More corners are projected for Brighton.

Total corners

Both teams combined.

Line Over Under
7.5 corners 74.9% 25.1%
8.5 corners 64.1% 35.9%
9.5 corners 52.4% 47.6%
10.5 corners 41.1% 58.9%
11.5 corners 30.8% 69.2%
12.5 corners 22.1% 77.9%

Who wins the corner count

Brighton
52.7%
Level
10.0%
Brentford
37.3%

Team corners lines

Brighton

Over 3.5
72.9%
Over 4.5
58.4%
Over 5.5
43.9%

Brentford

Over 3.5
62.8%
Over 4.5
46.6%
Over 5.5
32.2%

Corner handicap

The four handicap lines closest to an even split. The line is Brighton's; Brentford gets the opposite line. Half lines have no push.

Brighton line Brighton Brentford
-1.5 42.6% 57.4%
-0.5 52.7% 47.3%
+0.5 62.7% 37.3%
+1.5 71.9% 28.1%
BrightonBrighton

Corner trends

2026/27 · Recorded results. At this venue means Brighton at home and Brentford away. A rate appears only after five matches with the figure, three for the home or away split; a missing value is never zero.

BrentfordBrentford
Statistic
Brighton
Brentford
Corners won per game at this venue
6.3
3.0

Corners conceded per game at this venue
4.8
3.0

First-half corners won per game
2.7
2.1

Second-half corners won per game
3.0
1.7

Matches with more corners than the opponent
57.1%
42.9%

Matches with corner data
7
7

Bar scales · Corners per game: 0–10 · Recorded rate (%): 0–100. Each team uses the same scale for each metric.

Corners accuracy

How our Corners calls have actually done, each one scored against the real result on matches the model had never seen.

54.0%Best Corners call, hit rate
0.0096Calibration error
50,949Matches graded

In 24,029 matches we rated like this one (50–60%), Corners actually happened 54.2% of the time.

Predictions & track record updated 1 Nov 2026.

See the full, dated track record

Our last 10 Corners calls

Our most recent Corners calls, each one scored against the result. The model had never seen these matches when it made them. Green means we got it right, red means we got it wrong, and the number is how sure we were.

✗ 56.0%✗ 59.8%✓ 62.5%✓ 59.6%✓ 61.1%✗ 61.7%✓ 62.6%✓ 60.3%✗ 61.3%✗ 60.6%
5 of 10 recent calls hit.
Frosinone vs Lecce2026-10-29Under 9.5 56.0%Miss
Fiorentina vs Atalanta2026-10-29Under 9.5 59.8%Miss
Milan vs Bologna2026-10-28Under 9.5 62.5%Hit
Parma vs Udinese2026-10-28Under 9.5 59.6%Hit
Venezia vs Inter2026-10-28Under 9.5 61.1%Hit
Model analysis: reasoning, key facts and model lenses

Expert AI analysis

Our model lands on Over 9.5 corners at 52.4%, its strongest read on the Corners market. Line by line, the read runs from 74.9% for over 7.5 to 22.1% for over 12.5, with over 9.5 the closest line to a coin-flip at 52.4%. On the corner count, Brighton are the model’s pick to win the corner count at 52.7%, with a level count at 10.0%. This is a model estimate; validation depends on the market and available sample.

In-depth analysis

Split by side, Brighton over 4.5 corners sits at 58.4% and Brentford at 46.6%. This season Brighton have averaged 5.7 corners won a game and Brentford 3.9.

Every figure here is what the model thinks, not advice. What we are good at is getting the percentage right, not at beating the bookmakers.

52.4%Over 9.5 corners
52.7%Most corners: Brighton
58.4%Brighton over 4.5 corners
46.6%Brentford over 4.5 corners
50.0%Odd corner total

Model lenses

The same numbers read in different ways by one model. These are not separate tipsters, and none of them is a tip.

The ModelPublished estimate: 52.4% on Corners. Validation depends on the market and sample; this percentage is not a measured hit rate.
The Territory ReaderBrighton are the pick to win the corner count at 52.7%, corners follow pressure, and pressure follows the side with the ball in the final third.
The Line SetterThe fairest total line is 9.5 corners: over sits at 52.4%, the closest to a coin-flip on the ladder.
The RealistOver 9.5 is a coin-flip in the model, the honest read is low conviction, no strong lean.
BrightonBrighton

This season

2026/27 · Recorded results.

BrentfordBrentford
Statistic
Brighton
Brentford
corners won per game
5.7
3.9

corners conceded per game
5.0
5.1

Bar scales · Corners per game: 0–10. Each team uses the same scale for each metric.

FAQ

How many corners in Brighton vs Brentford?
The model rates over 9.5 total corners at 52.4% for Brighton vs Brentford.
Which team will win the corner count in Brighton vs Brentford?
The model rates Brighton to win the corner count at 52.7%, with a level count at 10.0%.
How many corners do Brighton and Brentford average this season?
Brighton have won 5.7 corners a game this season and Brentford 3.9.
How is this probability calculated?
The estimate comes from models fitted to recorded match data. Calibration and validation depend on the market, league and available sample; the percentage alone does not establish accuracy or a profitable price.
Is this a betting tip?
This is a model estimate, not a guarantee or a demonstrated profitable edge. Where the required result data is available, saved predictions are graded including misses. An unavailable market result stays ungraded.

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Corner predictions today

Related

Premier LeagueBrighton fixtures and statsBrentford fixtures and statsTrack record

Model estimates; validation depends on the market and available sample. We publish our track record, including the misses. 18+. For information only, not betting advice. If gambling is a problem, visit BeGambleAware.