AI-Powered Match Intelligence· How our model works· updated 1 Nov 2026

Premier League
ArsenalArsenalWLWWW
Sat, 7 Nov 20267/1115:00UK10°C · Cloudy
HullHullLDLDD

Arsenal vs Hull corners prediction

Based on the Road2Sushi model. Not guaranteed outcomes.

Over 9.5 cornersBoth teams combined51.9%
Under 9.5 cornersBoth teams combined48.1%

Model read

Close to a coin-flip, barely a lean.

Conviction is how far the model's probability sits from an even 50/50: Strong at 18 points or more, Moderate at 8 points or more, Lean below that.

Conviction: Lean

Over 9.5 corners51.9%

Corners

Model probabilities for this match. Over means more than the stated line; Under means fewer. For example, over 2.5 requires at least 3. These estimates are not bookmaker odds.

Corners track territory and shot volume more than the scoreline, below are the model total-corner probabilities. More corners are projected for Arsenal.

Total corners

Both teams combined.

Line Over Under
7.5 corners 74.5% 25.5%
8.5 corners 63.5% 36.5%
9.5 corners 51.9% 48.1%
10.5 corners 40.5% 59.5%
11.5 corners 30.3% 69.7%
12.5 corners 21.7% 78.3%

Who wins the corner count

Arsenal
58.1%
Level
9.7%
Hull
32.2%

Team corners lines

Arsenal

Over 3.5
75.6%
Over 4.5
61.7%
Over 5.5
47.4%

Hull

Over 3.5
58.3%
Over 4.5
41.8%
Over 5.5
27.8%

Corner handicap

The four handicap lines closest to an even split. The line is Arsenal's; Hull gets the opposite line. Half lines have no push.

Arsenal line Arsenal Hull
-3.5 28.8% 71.2%
-1.5 47.9% 52.1%
-0.5 58.1% 41.9%
+0.5 67.8% 32.2%
ArsenalArsenal

Corner trends

2026/27 · Recorded results. At this venue means Arsenal at home and Hull away. A rate appears only after five matches with the figure, three for the home or away split; a missing value is never zero.

HullHull
Statistic
Arsenal
Hull
Corners won per game at this venue
5.0
3.8

Corners conceded per game at this venue
3.0
7.5

First-half corners won per game
2.0
2.1

Second-half corners won per game
3.2
1.6

Matches with more corners than the opponent
66.7%
28.6%

Matches with corner data
6
7

Bar scales · Corners per game: 0–10 · Recorded rate (%): 0–100. Each team uses the same scale for each metric.

Corners accuracy

How our Corners calls have actually done, each one scored against the real result on matches the model had never seen.

54.0%Best Corners call, hit rate
0.0096Calibration error
50,949Matches graded

In 24,029 matches we rated like this one (50–60%), Corners actually happened 54.2% of the time.

Predictions & track record updated 1 Nov 2026.

See the full, dated track record

Our last 10 Corners calls

Our most recent Corners calls, each one scored against the result. The model had never seen these matches when it made them. Green means we got it right, red means we got it wrong, and the number is how sure we were.

✗ 56.0%✗ 59.8%✓ 62.5%✓ 59.6%✓ 61.1%✗ 61.7%✓ 62.6%✓ 60.3%✗ 61.3%✗ 60.6%
5 of 10 recent calls hit.
Frosinone vs Lecce2026-10-29Under 9.5 56.0%Miss
Fiorentina vs Atalanta2026-10-29Under 9.5 59.8%Miss
Milan vs Bologna2026-10-28Under 9.5 62.5%Hit
Parma vs Udinese2026-10-28Under 9.5 59.6%Hit
Venezia vs Inter2026-10-28Under 9.5 61.1%Hit
Model analysis: reasoning, key facts and model lenses

Expert AI analysis

Our model lands on Over 9.5 corners at 51.9%, its strongest read on the Corners market. Line by line, the read runs from 74.5% for over 7.5 to 21.7% for over 12.5, with over 9.5 the closest line to a coin-flip at 51.9%. Head to head on corners, Arsenal are the model’s pick to win the corner count at 58.1%, with a level count at 9.7%. This is a model estimate; validation depends on the market and available sample.

In-depth analysis

Split by side, Arsenal over 4.5 corners sits at 61.7% and Hull at 41.8%. This season Arsenal have averaged 5.2 corners won a game and Hull 3.7.

Every figure here is what the model thinks, not advice. The track record is public, misses included.

51.9%Over 9.5 corners
58.1%Most corners: Arsenal
61.7%Arsenal over 4.5 corners
41.8%Hull over 4.5 corners
50.0%Odd corner total

Model lenses

The same numbers read in different ways by one model. These are not separate tipsters, and none of them is a tip.

The ModelPublished estimate: 51.9% on Corners. Validation depends on the market and sample; this percentage is not a measured hit rate.
The Territory ReaderArsenal are the pick to win the corner count at 58.1%, the count usually goes the way of the side doing the attacking.
The Line SetterThe fairest total line is 9.5 corners: over sits at 51.9%, the closest to a coin-flip on the ladder.
The RealistOver 9.5 is a coin-flip in the model, the honest read is low conviction, no strong lean.
ArsenalArsenal

This season

2026/27 · Recorded results.

HullHull
Statistic
Arsenal
Hull
corners won per game
5.2
3.7

corners conceded per game
4.0
6.6

Bar scales · Corners per game: 0–10. Each team uses the same scale for each metric.

FAQ

How many corners in Arsenal vs Hull?
The model rates over 9.5 total corners at 51.9% for Arsenal vs Hull.
Which team will win the corner count in Arsenal vs Hull?
The model rates Arsenal to win the corner count at 58.1%, with a level count at 9.7%.
How many corners do Arsenal and Hull average this season?
Arsenal have won 5.2 corners a game this season and Hull 3.7.
How is this probability calculated?
The estimate comes from models fitted to recorded match data. Calibration and validation depend on the market, league and available sample; the percentage alone does not establish accuracy or a profitable price.
Is this a betting tip?
This is a model estimate, not a guarantee or a demonstrated profitable edge. Where the required result data is available, saved predictions are graded including misses. An unavailable market result stays ungraded.

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Corner predictions today

Related

Premier LeagueArsenal fixtures and statsHull fixtures and statsTrack record

Model estimates; validation depends on the market and available sample. We publish our track record, including the misses. 18+. For information only, not betting advice. If gambling is a problem, visit BeGambleAware.