AI-Powered Match Intelligence· How our model works· updated 2 Nov 2026

Premier League
FulhamFulhamDLWWD
Sat, 7 Nov 20267/1115:00UK11°C · Cloudy
NewcastleNewcastleLWLLW

Fulham vs Newcastle corners prediction

Based on the Road2Sushi model. Not guaranteed outcomes.

Over 9.5 cornersBoth teams combined56.2%
Under 9.5 cornersBoth teams combined43.8%

Model read

Close to a coin-flip, barely a lean.

Conviction is how far the model's probability sits from an even 50/50: Strong at 18 points or more, Moderate at 8 points or more, Lean below that.

Conviction: Lean

Over 9.5 corners56.2%

Corners

Model probabilities for this match. Over means more than the stated line; Under means fewer. For example, over 2.5 requires at least 3. These estimates are not bookmaker odds.

Corner counts follow pressure and wide play, below are the model total-corner probabilities. It leans to Fulham.

Total corners

Both teams combined.

Line Over Under
7.5 corners 77.8% 22.2%
8.5 corners 67.5% 32.5%
9.5 corners 56.2% 43.8%
10.5 corners 44.8% 55.2%
11.5 corners 34.2% 65.8%
12.5 corners 25.0% 75.0%

Who wins the corner count

Fulham
50.1%
Level
9.9%
Newcastle
40.0%

Team corners lines

Fulham

Over 3.5
73.4%
Over 4.5
58.9%
Over 5.5
44.4%

Newcastle

Over 3.5
66.9%
Over 4.5
51.2%
Over 5.5
36.6%

Corner handicap

The four handicap lines closest to an even split. The line is Fulham's; Newcastle gets the opposite line. Half lines have no push.

Fulham line Fulham Newcastle
-1.5 40.3% 59.8%
-0.5 50.1% 49.9%
+0.5 60.0% 40.0%
+1.5 69.3% 30.7%
FulhamFulham

Corner trends

2026/27 · Recorded results. At this venue means Fulham at home and Newcastle away. A rate appears only after five matches with the figure, three for the home or away split; a missing value is never zero.

NewcastleNewcastle
Statistic
Fulham
Newcastle
Corners won per game at this venue
6.5
6.0

Corners conceded per game at this venue
5.0
5.3

First-half corners won per game
3.0
2.6

Second-half corners won per game
3.1
2.0

Matches with more corners than the opponent
85.7%
28.6%

Matches with corner data
7
7

Bar scales · Corners per game: 0–10 · Recorded rate (%): 0–100. Each team uses the same scale for each metric.

Corners accuracy

How our Corners calls have actually done, each one scored against the real result on matches the model had never seen.

54.0%Best Corners call, hit rate
0.0096Calibration error
51,077Matches graded

In 24,084 matches we rated like this one (50–60%), Corners actually happened 54.2% of the time.

Predictions & track record updated 2 Nov 2026.

See the full, dated track record

Our last 10 Corners calls

Our most recent Corners calls, each one scored against the result. The model had never seen these matches when it made them. Green means we got it right, red means we got it wrong, and the number is how sure we were.

✓ 52.5%✓ 50.2%✗ 50.6%✓ 56.9%✗ 50.6%✓ 53.7%✗ 51.8%✓ 62.7%✗ 61.2%✓ 61.5%
6 of 10 recent calls hit.
Liverpool vs Arsenal2026-11-01Over 9.5 52.5%Hit
Union Berlin vs FC Koln2026-11-01Under 9.5 50.2%Hit
Ein Frankfurt vs Hamburg2026-11-01Under 9.5 50.6%Miss
Getafe vs Sevilla2026-11-01Under 9.5 56.9%Hit
Santander vs Real Madrid2026-11-01Under 9.5 50.6%Miss
Model analysis: reasoning, key facts and model lenses

Expert AI analysis

The headline read is Over 9.5 corners at 56.2%, its strongest read on the Corners market. Line by line, the read runs from 77.8% for over 7.5 to 25.0% for over 12.5, with over 10.5 the closest line to a coin-flip at 44.8%. Head to head on corners, Fulham are the model’s pick to win the corner count at 50.1%, with a level count at 9.9%. The published percentage is an estimate, not a guarantee or a measured hit rate.

In-depth analysis

For the team lines, Fulham over 4.5 corners sits at 58.9% and Newcastle at 51.2%. This season Fulham have averaged 6.1 corners won a game and Newcastle 4.6.

These are the model’s own percentages, not tips. The track record is public, misses included.

56.2%Over 9.5 corners
50.1%Most corners: Fulham
58.9%Fulham over 4.5 corners
51.2%Newcastle over 4.5 corners
50.0%Odd corner total

Model lenses

The same numbers read in different ways by one model. These are not separate tipsters, and none of them is a tip.

The ModelPublished estimate: 56.2% on Corners. Validation depends on the market and sample; this percentage is not a measured hit rate.
The Territory ReaderFulham are the pick to win the corner count at 50.1%, territory tends to follow the side forcing the play.
The Line SetterThe fairest total line is 10.5 corners: over sits at 44.8%, the closest to a coin-flip on the ladder.
FulhamFulham

This season

2026/27 · Recorded results.

NewcastleNewcastle
Statistic
Fulham
Newcastle
corners won per game
6.1
4.6

corners conceded per game
4.3
5.3

Bar scales · Corners per game: 0–10. Each team uses the same scale for each metric.

FAQ

How many corners in Fulham vs Newcastle?
The model rates over 9.5 total corners at 56.2% for Fulham vs Newcastle.
Which team will win the corner count in Fulham vs Newcastle?
The model rates Fulham to win the corner count at 50.1%, with a level count at 9.9%.
How many corners do Fulham and Newcastle average this season?
Fulham have won 6.1 corners a game this season and Newcastle 4.6.
How is this probability calculated?
The estimate comes from models fitted to recorded match data. Calibration and validation depend on the market, league and available sample; the percentage alone does not establish accuracy or a profitable price.
Is this a betting tip?
This is a model estimate, not a guarantee or a demonstrated profitable edge. Where the required result data is available, saved predictions are graded including misses. An unavailable market result stays ungraded.

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Corner predictions today

Related

Premier LeagueFulham fixtures and statsNewcastle fixtures and statsTrack record

Model estimates; validation depends on the market and available sample. We publish our track record, including the misses. 18+. For information only, not betting advice. If gambling is a problem, visit BeGambleAware.