Premier League
BournemouthBournemouthDDDLL
Full time2-0Sun, 18 Oct 202618/1014:00UK13°C · Cloudy
SunderlandSunderlandWDLLL

Bournemouth 2-0 Sunderland both teams to score: our prediction vs the result

Pre-match model estimates. Based on the Road2Sushi model. Not guaranteed outcomes.

Both teams to score: Yes55.1%
Both teams to score: No44.9%

Result

Bournemouth2-0Sunderland
1 goals before half-timeBournemouth 1, Sunderland 0
YesYes

We called Yes at 55.1% and it missed. We called Yes at 69.2% and it landed (1 in the match).

Model read

Close to a coin-flip, barely a lean.

Conviction is how far the model's probability sits from an even 50/50: Strong at 18 points or more, Moderate at 8 points or more, Lean below that.

Conviction: Lean

Both teams to score · Yes55.1%

Both Teams to Score

YesModel lean55.1%
No44.9%

Related market Over 2.5 goals 52.6%

Recent scoring & conceding

Goals scored and conceded per game over each side's recent matches. The bar runs from 0 to 3.5 goals per game.

Bournemouth scored
1.2
Bournemouth conceded
2.2
Sunderland scored
1.0
Sunderland conceded
2.0

Each team to score

Bournemouth to score81.0%
Bournemouth 2+ goals49.5%
Sunderland to score67.3%
Sunderland 2+ goals30.7%

By half

Both score in 1st half17.1%
Both score in 2nd half30.6%

Goals distribution

How likely each total number of goals is, according to the model. Every goals market on this page is built from these bars. The 5+ bar covers every result with five goals or more.

6.8%

0

16.1%

1

24.5%

2

22.2%

3

15.5%

4

14.1%

5+

Recent trends

How often both teams scored and the match went over 2.5 in each side's recent games.

BournemouthBTTS 4/5Over 2.5 3/5
SunderlandBTTS 2/5Over 2.5 1/5

Form & head-to-head

Recent form uses each club’s available results in their stored order. Select a W/D/L result for details.

Head-to-head figures use their own recorded sample. Where individual results are available, the figures and journal cover the same meetings. Missing results are never counted as draws.

BournemouthBournemouthLast 5
D
Draw · 1-1
D
Draw · 2-2
D
Draw · 2-2
L
Loss · 0-1
L
Loss · 1-5

0 wins · 3 draws · 2 losses

SunderlandSunderlandLast 5
W
Win · 1-0
D
Draw · 1-1
L
Loss · 0-2
L
Loss · 3-5
L
Loss · 0-2

1 win · 1 draw · 3 losses

W Win
D Draw
L Loss

Head-to-head

Last 5 meetings

1BournemouthBournemouth wins
2Draws
2SunderlandSunderland wins
2.6Average goals
Date
Home team
Score
Away team
BournemouthBournemouth
1 – 1
SunderlandSunderland
SunderlandSunderland
3 – 2
BournemouthBournemouth
SunderlandSunderland
0 – 1
BournemouthBournemouth
BournemouthBournemouth
1 – 2
SunderlandSunderland
SunderlandSunderland
1 – 1
BournemouthBournemouth

Match outlook

PickBournemouth51.6%
Draw24.3%
Sunderland24.0%

The model leans Bournemouth to win.

See the full prediction

Both Teams to Score accuracy

How our Both Teams to Score calls have actually done, each one scored against the real result on matches the model had never seen.

53.4%Best Both Teams to Score call, hit rate
0.0218Calibration error
72,238Matches graded

In 34,661 matches we rated like this one (50–60%), Both Teams to Score actually happened 54.3% of the time.

Predictions & track record updated 27 Oct 2026.

See the full, dated track record

Our last 10 Both Teams to Score calls

Our most recent Both Teams to Score calls, each one scored against the result. The model had never seen these matches when it made them. Green means we got it right, red means we got it wrong, and the number is how sure we were.

✓ 50.5%✗ 57.9%✗ 55.0%✗ 58.1%✓ 61.6%✓ 65.1%✓ 51.0%✗ 51.9%✗ 52.7%✗ 56.6%
4 of 10 recent calls hit.
Sevilla vs Osasuna2026-10-26No 50.5%Hit
Paris SG vs Lyon2026-10-26Yes 57.9%Miss
Santa Clara vs Benfica2026-10-26No 55.0%Miss
Besiktas vs Buyuksehyr2026-10-26Yes 58.1%Miss
Rizespor vs Trabzonspor2026-10-26Yes 61.6%Hit
Model analysis: reasoning, key facts and model lenses

Expert AI analysis

The headline read is Both teams to score · Yes at 55.1%, its strongest read on the Both Teams to Score market. It is driven by both attacks and defences: Bournemouth have averaged 1.2 scored and 2.2 conceded, Sunderland 1.0 and 2.0 over their recent games. That fits a balanced goals environment: 52.6% for over 2.5 and 77.1% for at least two goals. Their last 5 meetings have averaged 2.6 goals a game. Bournemouth have seen both teams score in 4 of their last 5, Sunderland in 2 of 5. The published percentage is an estimate, not a guarantee or a measured hit rate.

In-depth analysis

Looking at totals, the model sees 52.6% for three or more goals and 77.1% for at least two, painting a balanced picture. With Bournemouth favoured at 51.6%, a competitive game tends to open up.

We publish the model, not a sure thing. What we are good at is getting the percentage right, not at beating the bookmakers.

51.6%Favoured: Bournemouth
55.1%Both Teams to Score
52.6%Over 2.5 goals

Model lenses

The same numbers read in different ways by one model. These are not separate tipsters, and none of them is a tip.

The ModelPublished estimate: 55.1% on Both Teams to Score. Validation depends on the market and sample; this percentage is not a measured hit rate.
The TacticianSees a balanced game from the 52.6% over 2.5 read.
The ScoutBournemouth are the model’s pick on the result at 51.6%, game state shapes how this market plays out.
The RealistThis one sits near a coin-flip, the honest read is low conviction, no strong lean.
BournemouthBournemouth

This season

2026/27 · Recorded results.

SunderlandSunderland
Statistic
Bournemouth
Sunderland
BTTS rate
83.3%
50.0%

clean sheets
0.0%
16.7%

goals scored per game
1.2
1.0

Bar scales · Recorded rate (%): 0–100 · Goals per game: 0–3. Each team uses the same scale for each metric.

Players to watch

Published player-market probabilities, shown in kickoff order. Model estimates, not confirmed lineups.

How our football predictions work →

BournemouthBournemouth (1)
David Brooks
Watch list
Prediction markets
Model %
Fair odds
Save
To score
4.5%
22.22
1+ shot on target
32.3%
3.10
2+ shots
31.6%
3.16
Per 90 minutes (recent averages)
Shots2.98
On target1.02
Goals0.12
SunderlandSunderland (1)
Wilson Isidor
Watch list
Prediction markets
Model %
Fair odds
Save
To score
8.7%
11.49
1+ shot on target
21.1%
4.74
2+ shots
14.1%
7.09
Per 90 minutes (recent averages)
Shots3.38
On target1.22
Goals0.47

FAQ

Did both teams score in Bournemouth vs Sunderland?
We rated Both Teams to Score at 55.1%. Both teams did not both score, final score 2-0.
How is this probability calculated?
The estimate comes from models fitted to recorded match data. Calibration and validation depend on the market, league and available sample; the percentage alone does not establish accuracy or a profitable price.
Is this a betting tip?
This is a model estimate, not a guarantee or a demonstrated profitable edge. Where the required result data is available, saved predictions are graded including misses. An unavailable market result stays ungraded.

More Premier League, Both Teams to Score

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Model estimates; validation depends on the market and available sample. We publish our track record, including the misses. 18+. For information only, not betting advice. If gambling is a problem, visit BeGambleAware.