La Liga
Betis vs 
Osasuna Corners
model probability
Expert AI analysis
The model makes Over 9.5 corners at 46.2%, its strongest read on the Corners market. Across the lines, the model goes from 71.3% for over 7.5 to 17.2% for over 12.5, with over 9.5 the closest line to a coin-flip at 46.9%. Between the two sides, Betis are the model’s pick to win the corner count at 58.4%, with a level count at 10.6%. Calibrated against real results, we show the read, not a sure thing.
Corners
Total corners, every line
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 7.5 corners | 71.3% | 28.7% |
| 8.5 corners | 59.3% | 40.7% |
| 9.5 corners | 46.9% | 53.1% |
| 10.5 corners | 35.3% | 64.7% |
| 11.5 corners | 25.2% | 74.8% |
| 12.5 corners | 17.2% | 82.8% |
Who wins the corner count
Team corner lines
74.7%
59.6%
44.3%
56.1%
38.6%
24.3%
Corner handicap
| Betis line | Betis | Osasuna |
|---|---|---|
| -3.5 | 26.6% | 73.4% |
| -1.5 | 47.2% | 52.8% |
| -0.5 | 58.4% | 41.6% |
| +0.5 | 69.0% | 31.0% |
This season (2026/27)
4.7Betis corners won per game6.3Betis corners conceded per game2.8Osasuna corners won per game4.7Osasuna corners conceded per gameCorner counts follow pressure and wide play, below are the model total-corner probabilities. It leans to Betis.
In-depth analysis
46.9%Over 9.5 corners59.6%Betis over 4.5 corners38.6%Osasuna over 4.5 corners50.0%Odd corner totalBy team, Betis over 4.5 corners sits at 59.6% and Osasuna at 38.6%. This season Betis have averaged 4.7 corners won a game and Osasuna 2.8.
We publish the model, not a sure thing. The track record is public, misses included.
Model lenses
The same numbers read in different ways by one model. These are not separate tipsters, and none of them is a tip.
FAQ
How many corners in Betis vs Osasuna?
The model rates over 9.5 total corners at 46.9% for Betis vs Osasuna.
Which team will win the corner count in Betis vs Osasuna?
The model rates Betis to win the corner count at 58.4%, with a level count at 10.6%.
How many corners do Betis and Osasuna average this season?
Betis have won 4.7 corners a game this season and Osasuna 2.8.
How is this probability calculated?
We fit a goals and markets model (Dixon-Coles plus an xG strength model and an ensemble) on real match data, then calibrate the output against out-of-sample results. It is a calibrated model probability, not an odds-derived tip.
Is this a betting tip?
No – these are calibrated model probabilities, graded against real results. We publish our full track record, including the misses, and never claim to beat the closing market.
Corners accuracy
How our Corners calls have actually done, each one scored against the real result on matches the model had never seen.
In 21,621 matches we rated like this one (40–50%), Corners actually happened 47.7% of the time.
Predictions & track record updated 21 Sep 2026. See the full, dated track record →
Our last 10 Corners calls
Our most recent Corners calls, each one scored against the result. The model had never seen these matches when it made them. Green means we got it right, red means we got it wrong, and the number is how sure we were.
More La Liga, Corners
Related
Model probabilities, calibration-graded, not a tip. We publish our track record, including the misses. 18+. For information only, not betting advice. If gambling is a problem, visit BeGambleAware.
