AI-Powered Match Intelligence· How our model works· updated 1 Nov 2026

Ligue 1
AuxerreAuxerreWWLWD
Sat, 7 Nov 20267/1116:15UK11°C · Clearing
Paris FCParis FCDWLWL

Auxerre vs Paris FC corners prediction

Based on the Road2Sushi model. Not guaranteed outcomes.

Under 9.5 cornersBoth teams combined50.4%
Over 9.5 cornersBoth teams combined49.6%

Model read

Close to a coin-flip, barely a lean.

Conviction is how far the model's probability sits from an even 50/50: Strong at 18 points or more, Moderate at 8 points or more, Lean below that.

Conviction: Lean

Over 9.5 corners49.6%

Corners

Model probabilities for this match. Over means more than the stated line; Under means fewer. For example, over 2.5 requires at least 3. These estimates are not bookmaker odds.

Corners track territory and shot volume more than the scoreline, below are the model total-corner probabilities. The model edges Auxerre.

Total corners

Both teams combined.

Line Over Under
7.5 corners 73.1% 26.9%
8.5 corners 61.6% 38.4%
9.5 corners 49.6% 50.4%
10.5 corners 38.0% 62.0%
11.5 corners 27.8% 72.2%
12.5 corners 19.4% 80.6%

Who wins the corner count

Auxerre
55.4%
Level
10.5%
Paris FC
34.2%

Team corners lines

Auxerre

Over 3.5
73.9%
Over 4.5
58.9%
Over 5.5
43.8%

Paris FC

Over 3.5
59.9%
Over 4.5
42.8%
Over 5.5
28.2%

Corner handicap

The four handicap lines closest to an even split. The line is Auxerre's; Paris FC gets the opposite line. Half lines have no push.

Auxerre line Auxerre Paris FC
-3.5 25.0% 75.0%
-1.5 44.5% 55.5%
-0.5 55.4% 44.7%
+0.5 65.8% 34.2%
AuxerreAuxerre

Corner trends

2026/27 · Recorded results. At this venue means Auxerre at home and Paris FC away. A rate appears only after five matches with the figure, three for the home or away split; a missing value is never zero.

Paris FCParis FC
Statistic
Auxerre
Paris FC
Corners won per game at this venue
6.0
5.0

Corners conceded per game at this venue
7.0
4.7

First-half corners won per game
2.7
1.9

Second-half corners won per game
2.9
2.0

Matches with more corners than the opponent
28.6%
42.9%

Matches with corner data
7
7

Bar scales · Corners per game: 0–10 · Recorded rate (%): 0–100. Each team uses the same scale for each metric.

Corners accuracy

How our Corners calls have actually done, each one scored against the real result on matches the model had never seen.

54.0%Best Corners call, hit rate
0.0096Calibration error
50,949Matches graded

In 21,935 matches we rated like this one (40–50%), Corners actually happened 47.7% of the time.

Predictions & track record updated 1 Nov 2026.

See the full, dated track record

Our last 10 Corners calls

Our most recent Corners calls, each one scored against the result. The model had never seen these matches when it made them. Green means we got it right, red means we got it wrong, and the number is how sure we were.

✗ 56.0%✗ 59.8%✓ 62.5%✓ 59.6%✓ 61.1%✗ 61.7%✓ 62.6%✓ 60.3%✗ 61.3%✗ 60.6%
5 of 10 recent calls hit.
Frosinone vs Lecce2026-10-29Under 9.5 56.0%Miss
Fiorentina vs Atalanta2026-10-29Under 9.5 59.8%Miss
Milan vs Bologna2026-10-28Under 9.5 62.5%Hit
Parma vs Udinese2026-10-28Under 9.5 59.6%Hit
Venezia vs Inter2026-10-28Under 9.5 61.1%Hit
Model analysis: reasoning, key facts and model lenses

Expert AI analysis

Our model lands on Over 9.5 corners at 49.6%, its strongest read on the Corners market. The total-corners ladder runs from 73.1% for over 7.5 to 19.4% for over 12.5, with over 9.5 the closest line to a coin-flip at 49.6%. Head to head on corners, Auxerre are the model’s pick to win the corner count at 55.4%, with a level count at 10.5%. Read the recorded data and validation context alongside the estimate.

In-depth analysis

Split by side, Auxerre over 4.5 corners sits at 58.9% and Paris FC at 42.8%. This season Auxerre have averaged 5.6 corners won a game and Paris FC 3.9.

49.6%Over 9.5 corners
55.4%Most corners: Auxerre
58.9%Auxerre over 4.5 corners
42.8%Paris FC over 4.5 corners
50.0%Odd corner total

We publish the model, not a sure thing. The track record is public, misses included.

Model lenses

The same numbers read in different ways by one model. These are not separate tipsters, and none of them is a tip.

The ModelPublished estimate: 49.6% on Corners. Validation depends on the market and sample; this percentage is not a measured hit rate.
The Territory ReaderAuxerre are the pick to win the corner count at 55.4%, the count usually goes the way of the side doing the attacking.
The Line SetterThe fairest total line is 9.5 corners: over sits at 49.6%, the closest to a coin-flip on the ladder.
The RealistOver 9.5 is a coin-flip in the model, the honest read is low conviction, no strong lean.
AuxerreAuxerre

This season

2026/27 · Recorded results.

Paris FCParis FC
Statistic
Auxerre
Paris FC
corners won per game
5.6
3.9

corners conceded per game
7.6
3.6

Bar scales · Corners per game: 0–10. Each team uses the same scale for each metric.

FAQ

How many corners in Auxerre vs Paris FC?
The model rates over 9.5 total corners at 49.6% for Auxerre vs Paris FC.
Which team will win the corner count in Auxerre vs Paris FC?
The model rates Auxerre to win the corner count at 55.4%, with a level count at 10.5%.
How many corners do Auxerre and Paris FC average this season?
Auxerre have won 5.6 corners a game this season and Paris FC 3.9.
How is this probability calculated?
The estimate comes from models fitted to recorded match data. Calibration and validation depend on the market, league and available sample; the percentage alone does not establish accuracy or a profitable price.
Is this a betting tip?
This is a model estimate, not a guarantee or a demonstrated profitable edge. Where the required result data is available, saved predictions are graded including misses. An unavailable market result stays ungraded.

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Ligue 1Auxerre fixtures and statsParis FC fixtures and statsTrack record

Model estimates; validation depends on the market and available sample. We publish our track record, including the misses. 18+. For information only, not betting advice. If gambling is a problem, visit BeGambleAware.