Ligue 1
AngersAngersWLLDL
Sun, 8 Nov 20268/1116:15UK10°C · Cloudy
NiceNiceWWLWW

Angers vs Nice corners prediction

Based on the Road2Sushi model. Not guaranteed outcomes.

Under 9.5 cornersBoth teams combined51.2%
Over 9.5 cornersBoth teams combined48.8%

Model read

Close to a coin-flip, barely a lean.

Conviction is how far the model's probability sits from an even 50/50: Strong at 18 points or more, Moderate at 8 points or more, Lean below that.

Conviction: Lean

Over 9.5 corners48.8%

Corners

Model probabilities for this match. Over means more than the stated line; Under means fewer. For example, over 2.5 requires at least 3. These estimates are not bookmaker odds.

Corners track territory and shot volume more than the scoreline, below are the model total-corner probabilities. The model edges Angers.

Total corners

Both teams combined.

Line Over Under
7.5 corners 72.4% 27.6%
8.5 corners 60.9% 39.1%
9.5 corners 48.8% 51.2%
10.5 corners 37.4% 62.6%
11.5 corners 27.3% 72.7%
12.5 corners 19.0% 81.0%

Who wins the corner count

Angers
47.2%
Level
10.8%
Nice
41.9%

Team corners lines

Angers

Over 3.5
68.7%
Over 4.5
52.7%
Over 5.5
37.5%

Nice

Over 3.5
65.1%
Over 4.5
48.6%
Over 5.5
33.7%

Corner handicap

The four handicap lines closest to an even split. The line is Angers's; Nice gets the opposite line. Half lines have no push.

Angers line Angers Nice
-1.5 36.7% 63.3%
-0.5 47.2% 52.8%
+0.5 58.1% 41.9%
+1.5 68.3% 31.7%

Corners accuracy

How our Corners calls have actually done, each one scored against the real result on matches the model had never seen.

54.0%Best Corners call, hit rate
0.0096Calibration error
51,077Matches graded

In 21,999 matches we rated like this one (40–50%), Corners actually happened 47.7% of the time.

Predictions & track record updated 2 Nov 2026.

See the full, dated track record

Our last 10 Corners calls

Our most recent Corners calls, each one scored against the result. The model had never seen these matches when it made them. Green means we got it right, red means we got it wrong, and the number is how sure we were.

✓ 52.5%✓ 50.2%✗ 50.6%✓ 56.9%✗ 50.6%✓ 53.7%✗ 51.8%✓ 62.7%✗ 61.2%✓ 61.5%
6 of 10 recent calls hit.
Liverpool vs Arsenal2026-11-01Over 9.5 52.5%Hit
Union Berlin vs FC Koln2026-11-01Under 9.5 50.2%Hit
Ein Frankfurt vs Hamburg2026-11-01Under 9.5 50.6%Miss
Getafe vs Sevilla2026-11-01Under 9.5 56.9%Hit
Santander vs Real Madrid2026-11-01Under 9.5 50.6%Miss
Model analysis: reasoning, key facts and model lenses

Expert AI analysis

Our model lands on Over 9.5 corners at 48.8%, its strongest read on the Corners market. The total-corners ladder runs from 72.4% for over 7.5 to 19.0% for over 12.5, with over 9.5 the closest line to a coin-flip at 48.8%. Head to head on corners, Angers are the model’s pick to win the corner count at 47.2%, with a level count at 10.8%. Read the recorded data and validation context alongside the estimate.

In-depth analysis

For the team lines, Angers over 4.5 corners sits at 52.7% and Nice at 48.6%. This season Angers have averaged 6.4 corners won a game and Nice 5.7.

Every figure here is what the model thinks, not advice. What we are good at is getting the percentage right, not at beating the bookmakers.

48.8%Over 9.5 corners
47.2%Most corners: Angers
52.7%Angers over 4.5 corners
48.6%Nice over 4.5 corners
50.0%Odd corner total

Model lenses

The same numbers read in different ways by one model. These are not separate tipsters, and none of them is a tip.

The ModelPublished estimate: 48.8% on Corners. Validation depends on the market and sample; this percentage is not a measured hit rate.
The Territory ReaderAngers are the pick to win the corner count at 47.2%, territory tends to follow the side forcing the play.
The Line SetterThe fairest total line is 9.5 corners: over sits at 48.8%, the closest to a coin-flip on the ladder.
The RealistOver 9.5 is a coin-flip in the model, the honest read is low conviction, no strong lean.
AngersAngers

This season

2026/27 · Recorded results.

NiceNice
Statistic
Angers
Nice
corners won per game
6.4
5.7

corners conceded per game
5.7
3.0

Bar scales · Corners per game: 0–10. Each team uses the same scale for each metric.

FAQ

How many corners in Angers vs Nice?
The model rates over 9.5 total corners at 48.8% for Angers vs Nice.
Which team will win the corner count in Angers vs Nice?
The model rates Angers to win the corner count at 47.2%, with a level count at 10.8%.
How many corners do Angers and Nice average this season?
Angers have won 6.4 corners a game this season and Nice 5.7.
How is this probability calculated?
The estimate comes from models fitted to recorded match data. Calibration and validation depend on the market, league and available sample; the percentage alone does not establish accuracy or a profitable price.
Is this a betting tip?
This is a model estimate, not a guarantee or a demonstrated profitable edge. Where the required result data is available, saved predictions are graded including misses. An unavailable market result stays ungraded.

More Ligue 1, Corners

Corner predictions today

Related

Model estimates; validation depends on the market and available sample. We publish our track record, including the misses. 18+. For information only, not betting advice. If gambling is a problem, visit BeGambleAware.