Club profile

Nacional fixtures, predictions and stats

Primeira LigaSeason 2026/27

Calibrated model probabilities for every Nacional fixture we currently model. We track 1 upcoming match.

  • 2Upcoming fixtures
  • 1Modelled upcoming matches
  • 49.7%Avg Over 2.5 %
  • 53.2%Avg BTTS %

Nacional next match

Prediction available
Primeira Liga
AroucaAroucaDLDWW
Sun, 1 Nov 20261/1115:30UK
NacionalNacionalLLLLW

Model estimates

Arouca win47.7%
Draw26.4%
Nacional win26%
Full match prediction

Nacional form and stats (2026/27)

Season 2026/27. 9 team matches played, through 2026-10-25.

15Position
7Points
9Played
2-1-6W-D-L
10Goals scored
18Goals conceded
Recent formOldest to newestLLLLW W1

Nacional stats compared with Primeira Liga

Season 2026/27. Compare this club with the league average per team, per game. Differences show above or below the average; higher is not always better.

Results and goals

Points per game

Per game

Nacional
0.78
League average
1.39

Scale: 0 to 2.0 per game

Difference: -0.61 per game

Over 2.5 goals

Share of matches

Nacional
56%
League average
56%

Scale: 0 to 100%

Difference: 0.0 pp

Both teams scored

Share of matches

Nacional
44%
League average
49%

Scale: 0 to 100%

Difference: -5.0 pp

All results and goals figures and samples
Nacional Results and goals in 2026/27
StatisticTeamLeague avgDiff.
Points per gameper game0.789 obs.1.39162 obs.-0.61
Goals scoredper game1.119 obs.1.37162 obs.-0.26
Goals concededper game2.009 obs.1.37162 obs.+0.63
Over 2.5 goals56%9 obs.56%162 obs.0.0 pp
Both teams scored44%9 obs.49%162 obs.-5.0 pp
Clean sheets22%9 obs.28%162 obs.-5.6 pp
Failed to score33%9 obs.28%162 obs.+5.5 pp
First half goals scoredper game0.569 obs.0.60160 obs.-0.04
Second half goals scoredper game0.569 obs.0.77160 obs.-0.21

Chance creation

Shots

Per game

Nacional
11.0
League average
12.4

Scale: 0 to 14.5 per game

Difference: -1.4 per game

Shots on target

Per game

Nacional
3.1
League average
4.1

Scale: 0 to 5.0 per game

Difference: -1.0 per game

All chance creation figures and samples
Nacional Chance creation in 2026/27
StatisticTeamLeague avgDiff.
Shotsper game11.07 obs.12.4148 obs.-1.4
Shots facedper game14.77 obs.12.4148 obs.+2.4
Shots on targetper game3.18 obs.4.1154 obs.-1.0
Shots on target facedper game6.38 obs.4.1154 obs.+2.2
First half shotsper game4.67 obs.5.9148 obs.-1.3
Second half shotsper game6.47 obs.6.5148 obs.-0.1

Corners and discipline

Corners won

Per game

Nacional
4.4
League average
4.4

Scale: 0 to 5.5 per game

Difference: -0.1 per game

Cards received

Per game

Nacional
1.4
League average
2.3

Scale: 0 to 3.0 per game

Difference: -0.9 per game

Fouls committed

Per game

Nacional
11.1
League average
12.8

Scale: 0 to 15.0 per game

Difference: -1.7 per game

All corners and discipline figures and samples
Nacional Corners and discipline in 2026/27
StatisticTeamLeague avgDiff.
Corners wonper game4.48 obs.4.4154 obs.-0.1
Corners concededper game4.88 obs.4.4154 obs.+0.3
Cards receivedper game1.47 obs.2.3108 obs.-0.9
Opponent cardsper game2.37 obs.2.3108 obs.0.0
Yellow cardsper game1.37 obs.2.2142 obs.-0.9
Red cardsper game0.128 obs.0.15118 obs.-0.03
Fouls committedper game11.18 obs.12.8150 obs.-1.7
Fouls sufferedper game12.38 obs.12.8150 obs.-0.5
Home and away splits

5 home matches · 4 away matches. A blank rate means the observed sample or coverage is insufficient. obs. means observed matches.

Home and away season statistics
StatisticHomeAway
Points per gameper game1.205 obs.0.254 obs.
Goals scoredper game1.205 obs.1.004 obs.
Goals concededper game2.005 obs.2.004 obs.
Over 2.5 goals60%5 obs.50%4 obs.
Both teams scored40%5 obs.50%4 obs.
Clean sheets40%5 obs.0%4 obs.
Failed to score20%5 obs.50%4 obs.
First half goals scoredper game0.405 obs.0.754 obs.
Second half goals scoredper game0.805 obs.0.254 obs.
Shotsper game15.03 obs.8.04 obs.
Shots facedper game10.33 obs.18.04 obs.
Shots on targetper game3.54 obs.2.84 obs.
Shots on target facedper game5.84 obs.6.84 obs.
First half shotsper game5.03 obs.4.34 obs.
Second half shotsper game10.03 obs.3.84 obs.
Corners wonper game5.04 obs.3.84 obs.
Corners concededper game2.54 obs.7.04 obs.
Cards receivedper game2.03 obs.1.04 obs.
Opponent cardsper game2.33 obs.2.34 obs.
Yellow cardsper game1.73 obs.1.04 obs.
Red cardsper game0.254 obs.0.004 obs.
Fouls committedper game10.84 obs.11.54 obs.
Fouls sufferedper game12.04 obs.12.54 obs.
How to read these stats

Overall rates require at least five observed matches; home and away rates require three and at least 60% coverage. Missing values stay blank. obs. gives each statistic’s observed sample; league samples count team appearances. pp means percentage points. These are season observations, not predictions for the next match.

Nacional recent results

Verified scores in the published results feed, newest first. Scores are shown from Nacional’s perspective.

Published coverage does not include player season totals and current injury reports for this club yet. An absent injury report does not mean a fully fit squad. Verified data appears here when the source provides it.

Nacional recent verified results
OpponentDateVenueScoreResult
Sp BragaHome1-0Win

Primeira Liga table

Primeira Liga table
#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1Porto9900214+1727WWWWW
2Benfica9711268+1822WWLWW
3Sp Lisbon95312111+1018WDDWL
4Santa Clara9531136+718WWDWL
5Arouca9522127+517DLDWW
6Academico Viseu95221311+217WWWWW
7Gil Vicente942387+114LDWWL
8Alverca93241313011LWWWL
9Sp Braga9324911-211WDLLL
10Moreirense93241116-511LWDLW
11Famalicao92431411+310DDWLW
12Estrela92431417-310WDLLL
13Guimaraes9225101008DLDLW
14Maritimo9225919-108LLDLL
15Nacional92161018-87LLLLW
16Casa Pia9216517-127DLWLW
17Rio Ave9216821-137LDLWL
18Estoril9027515-102DLLLL

Nacional predictions

Nacional results and match archive

Historical or unresolved fixtures. Final scores are shown only when verified.

Nacional fixtures

Linked matches have a full prediction page. Schedule from our fixture feed, refreshed daily; kickoff times can move.

Showing 2 of 2 upcoming team fixtures.

Frequently asked questions

How many Nacional matches are predicted?

We currently model 1 upcoming fixture involving Nacional. Each links to a full page with the calibrated probabilities behind it.

Are these Nacional tips?

No. These are calibration graded model probabilities, not betting advice. On this one match the model averages 49.7% for Over 2.5 goals.

Where are Nacional in the Primeira Liga table?

Nacional are 15th in the Primeira Liga (2026/27) with 7 points from 9 games (2-1-6), goals 10-18, through 2026-10-26.

Who do Nacional play next?

Nacional next play Arouca away on Sunday 1 November 2026 in the Primeira Liga, according to our fixture feed.

Calibration-graded model probabilities, not tips. See our public track record, including the misses.