Championship predictions
Calibrated model probabilities for the Championship fixtures we currently model. We track 24 upcoming matches.
- 24Upcoming predictions
- 24Teams in league
- 48.5%Model avg Over 2.5
- 52.1%Model avg BTTS
Upcoming Championship predictions
Sheffield UnitedSHUWrexhamWRE
- Home win
- 47.6%
- Draw
- 25.5%
- Away win
- 26.9%
LincolnLINBirminghamBIR
- Home win
- 25.3%
- Draw
- 27.1%
- Away win
- 47.6%
NorwichNORWatfordWAT
- Home win
- 55.4%
- Draw
- 23.8%
- Away win
- 20.8%
StokeSTOPrestonPRE
- Home win
- 50.2%
- Draw
- 26.6%
- Away win
- 23.2%
BoltonBOLBristol CityBRI
- Home win
- 30.9%
- Draw
- 28.6%
- Away win
- 40.4%
BurnleyBURPortsmouthPOR
- Home win
- 31.8%
- Draw
- 28.1%
- Away win
- 40.1%
MiddlesbroughMIDCharltonCHA
- Home win
- 63.9%
- Draw
- 21.6%
- Away win
- 14.5%
MillwallMILDerbyDER
- Home win
- 50.9%
- Draw
- 26.0%
- Away win
- 23.1%
SouthamptonSOUQPRQPR
- Home win
- 56.0%
- Draw
- 22.8%
- Away win
- 21.1%
SwanseaSWABlackburnBLA
- Home win
- 42.7%
- Draw
- 29.0%
- Away win
- 28.3%
West HamWHUWest BromWBA
- Home win
- 28.5%
- Draw
- 28.9%
- Away win
- 42.6%
WolvesWOLCardiffCAR
- Home win
- 42.2%
- Draw
- 27.5%
- Away win
- 30.3%
BlackburnBLAStokeSTO
- Home win
- 42.8%
- Draw
- 29.1%
- Away win
- 28.2%
CharltonCHABoltonBOL
- Home win
- 44.3%
- Draw
- 28.5%
- Away win
- 27.2%
DerbyDERNorwichNOR
- Home win
- 35.6%
- Draw
- 26.4%
- Away win
- 38.0%
PortsmouthPORSwanseaSWA
- Home win
- 39.0%
- Draw
- 28.5%
- Away win
- 32.5%
PrestonPRESheffield UnitedSHU
- Home win
- 29.4%
- Draw
- 26.9%
- Away win
- 43.7%
QPRQPRBurnleyBUR
- Home win
- 57.6%
- Draw
- 23.5%
- Away win
- 18.9%
WatfordWATLincolnLIN
- Home win
- 45.6%
- Draw
- 27.2%
- Away win
- 27.2%
BirminghamBIRMillwallMIL
- Home win
- 43.9%
- Draw
- 27.8%
- Away win
- 28.3%
West BromWBASouthamptonSOU
- Home win
- 31.5%
- Draw
- 27.5%
- Away win
- 40.9%
CardiffCARWest HamWHU
- Home win
- 42.2%
- Draw
- 27.5%
- Away win
- 30.3%
WrexhamWREMiddlesbroughMID
- Home win
- 30.2%
- Draw
- 24.9%
- Away win
- 44.8%
Bristol CityBRIWolvesWOL
- Home win
- 52.8%
- Draw
- 26.2%
- Away win
- 20.9%
Championship score predictions
The most likely correct score in each match. Even the leading scoreline usually has a low probability.
- Sheffield UnitedSHUWrexhamWRE1-1 12.0%
- LincolnLINBirminghamBIR1-1 12.9%
- NorwichNORWatfordWAT1-1 11.3%
- StokeSTOPrestonPRE1-1 12.7%
- BoltonBOLBristol CityBRI1-1 13.6%
- BurnleyBURPortsmouthPOR1-1 13.4%
- MiddlesbroughMIDCharltonCHA2-0 11.6%
- MillwallMILDerbyDER1-1 12.4%
- SouthamptonSOUQPRQPR1-1 10.6%
- SwanseaSWABlackburnBLA1-1 13.6%
Championship table and stats (2026/27)
Season 2026/27. 144 league matches played, through 2026-10-24.
Championship standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Middlesbrough | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 27 | 17 | +10 | 25 | DWWDW |
| 2 | Southampton | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 24 | 12 | +12 | 24 | LWWDW |
| 3 | Swansea | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 16 | 13 | +3 | 23 | WWWLL |
| 4 | West Ham | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 32 | 15 | +17 | 22 | DDWWL |
| 5 | Wolves | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 20 | 16 | +4 | 21 | LLWDW |
| 6 | West Brom | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 16 | 13 | +3 | 21 | LLWWD |
| 7 | Birmingham | 12 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 20 | 12 | +8 | 20 | DWWWL |
| 8 | QPR | 12 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 20 | 12 | +8 | 20 | DDWLW |
| 9 | Stoke | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 18 | 16 | +2 | 20 | WWLWD |
| 10 | Blackburn | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 19 | 16 | +3 | 18 | DWWLW |
| 11 | Portsmouth | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 16 | 15 | +1 | 18 | LWWDW |
| 12 | Sheffield United | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 16 | 15 | +1 | 16 | LWLWD |
| 13 | Millwall | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 19 | 20 | -1 | 15 | DWLDL |
| 14 | Bristol City | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 12 | 15 | -3 | 15 | WDLLD |
| 15 | Lincoln | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 20 | -7 | 15 | LLLDW |
| 16 | Cardiff | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 19 | 17 | +2 | 14 | WLWDW |
| 17 | Wrexham | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 15 | 18 | -3 | 14 | WDLWL |
| 18 | Bolton | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 16 | 23 | -7 | 14 | WLWDL |
| 19 | Charlton | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 11 | 18 | -7 | 14 | LDDLL |
| 20 | Norwich | 12 | 4 | 0 | 8 | 20 | 22 | -2 | 12 | LLLLW |
| 21 | Watford | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 10 | 20 | -10 | 11 | LLLWL |
| 22 | Burnley | 12 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 17 | 25 | -8 | 8 | DWDLL |
| 23 | Derby | 12 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 10 | 21 | -11 | 7 | DDLLD |
| 24 | Preston | 12 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 10 | 25 | -15 | 5 | DLLLD |
Per-game team stats (shots, corners, cards, xG) are on the statistics page.
Season match patterns
Over 2.5 goals
Share of matches
- Championship
- 60%
Scale: 0 to 100%
Both teams scored
Share of matches
- Championship
- 63%
Scale: 0 to 100%
Home wins
Share of matches
- Championship
- 40%
Scale: 0 to 100%
Draws
Share of matches
- Championship
- 28%
Scale: 0 to 100%
Away wins
Share of matches
- Championship
- 32%
Scale: 0 to 100%
Stored match analysis
Historical or unresolved fixtures. Final scores are shown only when verified.
- Birmingham 4-0 Preston, 13 Oct
- Wrexham 1-2 West Brom, 13 Oct
- Wolves 1-3 Bolton, 13 Oct
- Millwall 0-1 Swansea, 13 Oct
- Cardiff 5-1 Watford, 13 Oct
- Burnley 2-2 Charlton, 13 Oct
- Bristol City 0-1 Blackburn, 13 Oct
- Southampton 1-0 Portsmouth, 11 Oct
- Watford 0-4 Burnley, 10 Oct
- Preston 0-1 Millwall, 10 Oct
- Sheffield United 3-0 Lincoln, 10 Oct
- Middlesbrough 1-0 Wolves, 10 Oct
- Derby 1-1 Wrexham, 10 Oct
- Bolton 1-2 Stoke, 10 Oct
- Blackburn 2-1 Cardiff, 10 Oct
- Charlton 1-1 Bristol City, 10 Oct
- West Brom 0-1 Birmingham, 10 Oct
- Swansea 2-1 Norwich, 10 Oct
- West Ham 1-1 QPR, 9 Oct
Championship Super 6 style picks: six correct scores
The Championship matches where our score earns the most expected points: 5 for the exact score and 2 for the right result.
- 1Middlesbrough vs CharltonAlso the most likely score · All scores2-011.6% exact1.63 exp. pts
- 2QPR vs BurnleyMost likely 1-1 (11.2%) · All scores1-010.4% exact1.46 exp. pts
- 3Bristol City vs WolvesMost likely 1-1 (12.4%) · All scores1-012.4% exact1.43 exp. pts
- 4Southampton vs QPRMost likely 1-1 (10.6%) · All scores2-19.9% exact1.42 exp. pts
- 5Norwich vs WatfordMost likely 1-1 (11.3%) · All scores2-19.9% exact1.40 exp. pts
- 6Stoke vs PrestonMost likely 1-1 (12.7%) · All scores1-011.7% exact1.35 exp. pts
An exact score is always unlikely: the strongest one here has a 12.4% chance. All Premier League and EFL scores for the round are on our Super 6 predictions page.
Championship referees
Matches in the Championship since 2025/26, with career yellow cards per game from completed matches. We never publish referee appointments for upcoming matches unless an official source confirms them.
- Josh Smith33 matches3.76
- Matt Donohue31 matches3.82
- Andrew Kitchen31 matches2.93
- Gavin Ward30 matches3.36
- Tom Nield30 matches3.25
- Anthony Backhouse30 matches3.60
- Lewis Smith30 matches3.64
- Stephen Martin29 matches3.14
- Adam Herczeg29 matches3.42
- David Webb28 matches2.80
- Oliver Langford27 matches3.24
- John Busby26 matches3.36
Championship fixtures
Linked matches have a full prediction page. Schedule from our fixture feed, refreshed daily; kickoff times can move.
Showing 36 of 36 upcoming league fixtures.
- Fri 30 Oct 2026
- 20:00 UKSheffield UnitedSHUWrexhamWRE
- Sat 31 Oct 2026
- 12:30 UKLincolnLINBirminghamBIR
- 12:30 UKNorwichNORWatfordWAT
- 12:30 UKStokeSTOPrestonPRE
- 15:00 UKBoltonBOLBristol CityBRI
- 15:00 UKBurnleyBURPortsmouthPOR
- 15:00 UKMiddlesbroughMIDCharltonCHA
- 15:00 UKMillwallMILDerbyDER
- 15:00 UKSouthamptonSOUQPRQPR
- 15:00 UKSwanseaSWABlackburnBLA
- 15:00 UKWest HamWHUWest BromWBA
- 15:00 UKWolvesWOLCardiffCAR
- Tue 3 Nov 2026
- 19:45 UKBlackburnBLAStokeSTO
- 19:45 UKCharltonCHABoltonBOL
- 19:45 UKDerbyDERNorwichNOR
- 19:45 UKPortsmouthPORSwanseaSWA
- 19:45 UKPrestonPRESheffield UnitedSHU
- 19:45 UKQPRQPRBurnleyBUR
- 19:45 UKWatfordWATLincolnLIN
- 20:00 UKBirminghamBIRMillwallMIL
- 20:00 UKWest BromWBASouthamptonSOU
- Wed 4 Nov 2026
- 19:45 UKCardiffCARWest HamWHU
- 19:45 UKWrexhamWREMiddlesbroughMID
- 20:00 UKBristol CityBRIWolvesWOL
- Fri 6 Nov 2026
- 20:00 UKDerbyDERBoltonBOL
- Sat 7 Nov 2026
- 12:30 UKBristol CityBRINorwichNOR
- 12:30 UKPortsmouthPORStokeSTO
- 12:30 UKWrexhamWREWolvesWOL
- 15:00 UKBirminghamBIRSwanseaSWA
- 15:00 UKBlackburnBLAWest HamWHU
- 15:00 UKCardiffCARBurnleyBUR
- 15:00 UKCharltonCHASheffield UnitedSHU
- 15:00 UKPrestonPRESouthamptonSOU
- 15:00 UKQPRQPRLincolnLIN
- 15:00 UKWatfordWATMiddlesbroughMID
- 15:00 UKWest BromWBAMillwallMIL
Frequently asked questions
How many Championship matches are predicted?
We currently model 24 upcoming fixtures across 24 teams. Each links to a full page with the calibrated probabilities behind it.
Are these Championship tips?
No. These are calibration graded model probabilities, not betting advice. Across these 24 matches the model averages 48.5% for Over 2.5 goals.
Who is top of the Championship?
Middlesbrough lead the Championship (2026/27) with 25 points from 12 games, through 2026-10-24.
How many goals per game in the Championship this season?
The Championship is averaging 2.89 goals per match, with 60% of matches going over 2.5 goals across 144 matches played.
Calibration-graded model probabilities, not tips. See our public track record, including the misses.
