Derby · predictions

Calibrated model probabilities for every Derby fixture we currently model. We track 6 upcoming matches, not tips.

6Upcoming matches

47.1%Avg Over 2.5 %

51.7%Avg BTTS %

This season (2026/27)

Season 2026/27 69 matches played · through 2026-09-09

22Position

6Played

1-1-4W-D-L

5-11Goals for-against

4Points

0.67Points / game

0.83Goals scored / game

1.83Goals conceded / game

5.8Corners won / game

2.5Cards / game

67%Over 2.5 rate

33%BTTS rate

17%Clean sheets

Form, oldest to newest: DLWLL L2

Derby vs Birmingham prediction & probabilities (2026-09-12) · Over 1.5 71.8%
West Ham vs Derby prediction & probabilities (2026-09-05) · Over 1.5 74.0%
Portsmouth vs Derby prediction & probabilities (2026-09-01) · Over 1.5 75.4%
Derby vs Swansea prediction & probabilities (2026-08-29) · Over 1.5 73.3%
Derby vs Cardiff prediction & probabilities (2026-08-22) · Over 1.5 74.8%
Charlton vs Derby prediction & probabilities (2026-08-15) · Over 1.5 68.4%

Linked matches have a full prediction page. Schedule from our fixture feed, refreshed daily; kickoff times can move.

We currently model 6 upcoming fixtures involving Derby. Each links to a full page with the calibrated probabilities behind it.

No. These are calibration graded model probabilities, not betting advice. Across these 6 matches the model averages 47.1% for Over 2.5 goals.

Derby are 22nd in the Championship (2026/27) with 4 points from 6 games (1-1-4), goals 5-11, through 2026-09-09.

Derby next play Birmingham at home on Saturday 12 September 2026 in the Championship, according to our fixture feed.

Calibration-graded model probabilities, not tips. See our public track record, including the misses.