Calibrated model probabilities for every Paderborn fixture we currently model. We track 1 upcoming match.
- 2Upcoming fixtures
- 1Modelled upcoming matches
- 64.5%Avg Over 2.5 %
- 63.9%Avg BTTS %
Paderborn next match
M'gladbachM'gladbachLLLLW
10°C · Cloudy
PaderbornPaderbornLWLDWModel estimates
Paderborn form and stats (2026/27)
Season 2026/27. 7 team matches played, through 2026-10-24.
Paderborn stats compared with Bundesliga
Season 2026/27. Compare this club with the league average per team, per game. Differences show above or below the average; higher is not always better.
Results and goals
Points per game
Per game
- Paderborn
- 1.14
- League average
- 1.40
Scale: 0 to 2.0 per game
Difference: -0.26 per game
Over 2.5 goals
Share of matches
- Paderborn
- 43%
- League average
- 71%
Scale: 0 to 100%
Difference: -28.5 pp
Both teams scored
Share of matches
- Paderborn
- 29%
- League average
- 57%
Scale: 0 to 100%
Difference: -28.5 pp
All results and goals figures and samples
| Statistic | Team | League avg | Diff. |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points per gameper game | 1.147 obs. | 1.40126 obs. | -0.26 |
| Goals scoredper game | 0.867 obs. | 1.78126 obs. | -0.92 |
| Goals concededper game | 1.297 obs. | 1.78126 obs. | -0.49 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 43%7 obs. | 71%126 obs. | -28.5 pp |
| Both teams scored | 29%7 obs. | 57%126 obs. | -28.5 pp |
| Clean sheets | 29%7 obs. | 25%126 obs. | +3.2 pp |
| Failed to score | 57%7 obs. | 25%126 obs. | +31.7 pp |
| First half goals scoredper game | 0.577 obs. | 0.69126 obs. | -0.12 |
| Second half goals scoredper game | 0.297 obs. | 1.09126 obs. | -0.80 |
Chance creation
xG created
Per game
- Paderborn
- 1.13
- League average
- 1.90
Scale: 0 to 2.5 per game
Difference: -0.77 per game
Shots
Per game
- Paderborn
- 14.0
- League average
- 15.4
Scale: 0 to 18.0 per game
Difference: -1.4 per game
Shots on target
Per game
- Paderborn
- 3.4
- League average
- 5.4
Scale: 0 to 6.5 per game
Difference: -2.0 per game
All chance creation figures and samples
| Statistic | Team | League avg | Diff. |
|---|---|---|---|
| xG createdper game | 1.137 obs. | 1.90126 obs. | -0.77 |
| xG concededper game | 1.897 obs. | 1.90126 obs. | -0.01 |
| Shotsper game | 14.07 obs. | 15.4126 obs. | -1.4 |
| Shots facedper game | 16.97 obs. | 15.4126 obs. | +1.5 |
| Shots on targetper game | 3.47 obs. | 5.4124 obs. | -2.0 |
| Shots on target facedper game | 5.67 obs. | 5.4124 obs. | +0.2 |
| First half shotsper game | 6.17 obs. | 6.4122 obs. | -0.2 |
| Second half shotsper game | 7.77 obs. | 8.9122 obs. | -1.2 |
Corners and discipline
Corners won
Per game
- Paderborn
- 4.6
- League average
- 5.3
Scale: 0 to 6.5 per game
Difference: -0.8 per game
Fouls committed
Per game
- Paderborn
- 10.7
- League average
- 11.3
Scale: 0 to 13.5 per game
Difference: -0.6 per game
All corners and discipline figures and samples
| Statistic | Team | League avg | Diff. |
|---|---|---|---|
| Corners wonper game | 4.67 obs. | 5.3126 obs. | -0.8 |
| Corners concededper game | 5.77 obs. | 5.3126 obs. | +0.4 |
| Yellow cardsper game | 1.37 obs. | 1.8126 obs. | -0.5 |
| Fouls committedper game | 10.77 obs. | 11.3126 obs. | -0.6 |
| Fouls sufferedper game | 11.47 obs. | 11.3126 obs. | +0.1 |
Home and away splits
4 home matches · 3 away matches. A blank rate means the observed sample or coverage is insufficient. obs. means observed matches.
| Statistic | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| Points per gameper game | 1.504 obs. | 0.673 obs. |
| Goals scoredper game | 1.004 obs. | 0.673 obs. |
| Goals concededper game | 1.004 obs. | 1.673 obs. |
| Over 2.5 goals | 25%4 obs. | 67%3 obs. |
| Both teams scored | 25%4 obs. | 33%3 obs. |
| Clean sheets | 25%4 obs. | 33%3 obs. |
| Failed to score | 50%4 obs. | 67%3 obs. |
| First half goals scoredper game | 0.504 obs. | 0.673 obs. |
| Second half goals scoredper game | 0.504 obs. | 0.003 obs. |
| xG createdper game | 1.384 obs. | 0.793 obs. |
| xG concededper game | 1.464 obs. | 2.453 obs. |
| Shotsper game | 16.84 obs. | 10.33 obs. |
| Shots facedper game | 16.34 obs. | 17.73 obs. |
| Shots on targetper game | 5.04 obs. | 1.33 obs. |
| Shots on target facedper game | 4.04 obs. | 7.73 obs. |
| First half shotsper game | 6.04 obs. | 6.33 obs. |
| Second half shotsper game | 10.54 obs. | 4.03 obs. |
| Corners wonper game | 6.04 obs. | 2.73 obs. |
| Corners concededper game | 4.34 obs. | 7.73 obs. |
| Yellow cardsper game | 1.34 obs. | 1.33 obs. |
| Fouls committedper game | 11.04 obs. | 10.33 obs. |
| Fouls sufferedper game | 12.54 obs. | 10.03 obs. |
How to read these stats
Overall rates require at least five observed matches; home and away rates require three and at least 60% coverage. Missing values stay blank. obs. gives each statistic’s observed sample; league samples count team appearances. pp means percentage points. These are season observations, not predictions for the next match.
Paderborn player stats
Season 2026/27 totals from Understat. Players meeting the published playing-time sample; this is not the full squad.
Showing 1–22 of 22 players. Search covers all 22 records.
| Player | Apps | Minutes | Goals | xG | xA | Shots | On target |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nahuel Nicolas Noll | 7 | 630 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.04 | 0 | 0 |
| Santiago Castañeda | 7 | 630 | 1 | 0.89 | 0.39 | 11 | 5 |
| Tjark Scheller | 7 | 626 | 0 | 0.19 | 0.24 | 2 | 0 |
| Laurin Curda | 7 | 610 | 0 | 0.58 | 1.98 | 9 | 1 |
| Raphael Obermair | 7 | 603 | 0 | 0.63 | 0.56 | 9 | 3 |
| Jano ter Horst | 7 | 598 | 0 | 0.14 | 0.17 | 3 | 0 |
| Mattes Hansen | 7 | 590 | 0 | 0.05 | 0.15 | 3 | 0 |
| Laurin Ulrich | 7 | 541 | 0 | 0.40 | 0.94 | 9 | 0 |
| Gabriel Vidovic | 7 | 537 | 0 | 0.28 | 0.16 | 6 | 0 |
| Stefano Marino | 7 | 437 | 2 | 1.10 | 0.12 | 10 | 4 |
| Marvin Pieringer | 7 | 420 | 0 | 0.95 | 0.48 | 9 | 1 |
| Steffen Tigges | 7 | 288 | 2 | 1.69 | 0.62 | 15 | 4 |
| Rayan Philippe | 6 | 129 | 1 | 0.86 | 0.20 | 7 | 3 |
| Tom Baack | 4 | 96 | 0 | 0.01 | 0.47 | 1 | 0 |
| Jonah Sticker | 5 | 54 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.31 | 0 | 0 |
| Felix Götze | 3 | 44 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.10 | 0 | 0 |
| Oliver Batista Meier | 3 | 44 | 0 | 0.14 | 0.01 | 2 | 0 |
| Clemens Lippmann | 2 | 21 | 0 | 0.02 | 0.00 | 1 | 0 |
| Ruben Müller | 1 | 15 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Luka Djuric | 1 | 10 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Sven Michel | 1 | 8 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Niklas Mohr | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 |
Paderborn recent results
Verified scores in the published results feed, newest first. Scores are shown from Paderborn’s perspective.
Published coverage does not include current injury reports for this club yet. An absent injury report does not mean a fully fit squad. Verified data appears here when the source provides it.
| Opponent | Date | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hamburg | Home | 1-0 | Win |
Bundesliga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bayern Munich | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 25 | 6 | +19 | 17 | WWDWW |
| 2 | Dortmund | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 12 | 4 | +8 | 17 | WWDDW |
| 3 | Freiburg | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 16 | 9 | +7 | 13 | WDWLL |
| 4 | Leverkusen | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 16 | 12 | +4 | 13 | DWWWL |
| 5 | RB Leipzig | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 20 | 11 | +9 | 12 | WLWLW |
| 6 | Werder Bremen | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 15 | 14 | +1 | 12 | DWDDW |
| 7 | Mainz | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 16 | 13 | +3 | 10 | LWLWL |
| 8 | Elversberg | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 15 | -3 | 10 | LDLWL |
| 9 | Augsburg | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 17 | 13 | +4 | 9 | DLDLD |
| 10 | Hoffenheim | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 14 | 0 | 9 | WLLWW |
| 11 | Hamburg | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 16 | -10 | 9 | LWWWL |
| 12 | FC Koln | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 11 | -3 | 8 | DLWLD |
| 13 | Paderborn | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 9 | -3 | 8 | LWLDW |
| 14 | Ein Frankfurt | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 17 | -7 | 8 | WDLWL |
| 15 | Stuttgart | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 10 | 13 | -3 | 6 | LLWLL |
| 16 | Schalke 04 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 7 | -3 | 6 | WDLLD |
| 17 | Union Berlin | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 18 | -12 | 6 | LLWDD |
| 18 | M'gladbach | 7 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 11 | 22 | -11 | 3 | LLLLW |
Paderborn predictions
Paderborn results and match archive
Historical or unresolved fixtures. Final scores are shown only when verified.
Paderborn fixtures
Linked matches have a full prediction page. Schedule from our fixture feed, refreshed daily; kickoff times can move.
Showing 2 of 2 upcoming team fixtures.
- Sat 31 Oct 2026
- 14:30 UKat M'gladbach (A)Bundesliga
- Sat 7 Nov 2026
- 14:30 UKvs Ein Frankfurt (H)Bundesliga
Frequently asked questions
How many Paderborn matches are predicted?
We currently model 1 upcoming fixture involving Paderborn. Each links to a full page with the calibrated probabilities behind it.
Are these Paderborn tips?
No. These are calibration graded model probabilities, not betting advice. On this one match the model averages 64.5% for Over 2.5 goals.
Where are Paderborn in the Bundesliga table?
Paderborn are 13th in the Bundesliga (2026/27) with 8 points from 7 games (2-2-3), goals 6-9, through 2026-10-25.
Who do Paderborn play next?
Paderborn next play M'gladbach away on Saturday 31 October 2026 in the Bundesliga, according to our fixture feed.
Calibration-graded model probabilities, not tips. See our public track record, including the misses.
