Eredivisie
Willem II vs 
For Sittard Correct Score
Expert AI analysis
The headline read is Most likely · 10.6% at 1-1, its strongest read on the Correct Score market. The goals picture is built on form: Willem II have averaged 1.0 scored and 3.0 conceded, For Sittard 2.0 and 2.4 over their recent games. That fits an open goals environment: 63.6% for over 2.5 and 84.4% for at least two goals. Their last 5 meetings have averaged 1.4 goals a game. These are the model’s own calibrated numbers, not betting advice.
Correct Score
| Scoreline | Probability |
|---|---|
| 1-1 | 10.6% |
| 1-2 | 8.6% |
| 2-1 | 8.0% |
| 2-2 | 6.8% |
| 0-1 | 5.9% |
| 1-0 | 5.5% |
| 0-2 | 5.4% |
| 1-3 | 4.8% |
Score probability grid
| Willem II \ For Sittard | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 4% | 6% | 5% | 3% | 1% | · |
| 1 | 5% | 11% | 9% | 5% | 2% | 1% |
| 2 | 5% | 8% | 7% | 4% | 2% | 1% |
| 3 | 3% | 4% | 4% | 2% | 1% | · |
| 4 | 1% | 2% | 1% | 1% | · | · |
| 5 | · | 1% | · | · | · | · |
Rows = Willem II goals, columns = For Sittard. The most likely scoreline is 1-1 at 10.6%. The grid is the model’s full scoreline distribution, not a single tip, but the shape of every plausible result. Read the heatmap as a map of likelihood, not a prediction of one score.
Goals distribution
The model’s probability for the total number of goals, the shape behind every goals market. The 5+ bar groups every result with five or more goals.
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In-depth analysis
Every figure is the model’s own calibrated read, not advice. The track record is public, misses included.
65.4%Both Teams to Score63.6%Over 2.5 goalsFor the goal environment, the model sees 63.6% for three or more goals and 84.4% for at least two, painting a balanced picture. With For Sittard favoured at 40.3%, neither side dominating can mean an end-to-end match.
Model lenses
Different analytical lenses our model applies to the same calibrated data, not separate tipsters, and never a tip.
Form & head-to-head
Last 5 meetings: Willem II 1 · 2 draws · For Sittard 2 · 1.4 goals/game.
FAQ
What is the most likely score in Willem II vs For Sittard?
The model's most likely scoreline for Willem II vs For Sittard is 1-1 at 10.6%.
How is this probability calculated?
We fit a goals and markets model (Dixon-Coles plus an xG strength model and an ensemble) on real match data, then calibrate the output against out-of-sample results. It is a calibrated model probability, not an odds-derived tip.
Is this a betting tip?
No – these are calibrated model probabilities, graded against real results. We publish our full track record, including the misses, and never claim to beat the closing market.
Overall model accuracy
We don’t yet publish a graded Correct Score-specific track record, so this is our overall accuracy across every 1X2 call, graded out-of-sample, updated daily.
Predictions & track record updated 18 Sep 2026. See the full, dated track record →
More Eredivisie, Correct Score
Related
Model probabilities, calibration-graded, not a tip. We publish our track record, including the misses. 18+. For information only, not betting advice. If gambling is a problem, visit BeGambleAware.
