Eredivisie
Willem II vs 
For Sittard Corners
model probability
Expert AI analysis
Our model lands on Over 9.5 corners at 53.7%, its strongest read on the Corners market. The total-corners ladder runs from 78.2% for over 7.5 to 24.7% for over 12.5, with over 10.5 the closest line to a coin-flip at 44.8%. Head to head on corners, Willem II are the model’s pick to win the corner count at 58.4%, with a level count at 9.5%. Calibrated against real results, we show the read, not a sure thing.
Corners
Total corners, every line
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 7.5 corners | 78.2% | 21.8% |
| 8.5 corners | 67.8% | 32.2% |
| 9.5 corners | 56.3% | 43.7% |
| 10.5 corners | 44.8% | 55.2% |
| 11.5 corners | 34.0% | 66.0% |
| 12.5 corners | 24.7% | 75.3% |
Who wins the corner count
Team corner lines
78.1%
64.7%
50.4%
61.1%
44.6%
30.2%
Corner handicap
| Willem II line | Willem II | For Sittard |
|---|---|---|
| -3.5 | 29.5% | 70.5% |
| -1.5 | 48.4% | 51.6% |
| -0.5 | 58.4% | 41.6% |
| +0.5 | 67.9% | 32.1% |
This season (2026/27)
3.8Willem II corners won per game7.7Willem II corners conceded per game2.0For Sittard corners won per game8.5For Sittard corners conceded per gameThe corners market rewards teams that camp in the final third, below are the model total-corner probabilities. More corners are projected for Willem II.
In-depth analysis
56.3%Over 9.5 corners64.7%Willem II over 4.5 corners44.6%For Sittard over 4.5 corners50.0%Odd corner totalSplit by side, Willem II over 4.5 corners sits at 64.7% and For Sittard at 44.6%. This season Willem II have averaged 3.8 corners won a game and For Sittard 2.0.
We publish the model, not a sure thing. We grade every call after the match.
Model lenses
Different analytical lenses our model applies to the same calibrated data, not separate tipsters, and never a tip.
FAQ
How many corners in Willem II vs For Sittard?
The model rates over 9.5 total corners at 56.3% for Willem II vs For Sittard.
Which team will win the corner count in Willem II vs For Sittard?
The model rates Willem II to win the corner count at 58.4%, with a level count at 9.5%.
How many corners do Willem II and For Sittard average this season?
Willem II have won 3.8 corners a game this season and For Sittard 2.0.
How is this probability calculated?
We fit a goals and markets model (Dixon-Coles plus an xG strength model and an ensemble) on real match data, then calibrate the output against out-of-sample results. It is a calibrated model probability, not an odds-derived tip.
Is this a betting tip?
No – these are calibrated model probabilities, graded against real results. We publish our full track record, including the misses, and never claim to beat the closing market.
Corners accuracy
How our Corners calls have actually performed, graded out-of-sample against real results.
In 23,762 matches we rated like this one (50–60%), Corners actually happened 54.2% of the time.
Predictions & track record updated 18 Sep 2026. See the full, dated track record →
Our last 10 Corners calls
The model’s most recent graded Corners predictions, out-of-sample. Green means the call hit, red means it missed. The number is the model confidence on each.
More Eredivisie, Corners
Related
Model probabilities, calibration-graded, not a tip. We publish our track record, including the misses. 18+. For information only, not betting advice. If gambling is a problem, visit BeGambleAware.
