EredivisieADO Den Haag vs 
Cambuur Correct Score
Expert AI analysis
Our model lands on Most likely · 11.0% at 1-1, its strongest read on the Correct Score market. That fits an open goals environment: 61.8% for over 2.5 and 83.3% for at least two goals. These are the model’s own calibrated numbers, not betting advice.
Correct Score
| Scoreline | Probability |
|---|---|
| 1-1 | 11.0% |
| 2-1 | 8.8% |
| 1-2 | 7.8% |
| 2-2 | 6.6% |
| 1-0 | 6.4% |
| 2-0 | 5.9% |
| 0-1 | 5.7% |
| 3-1 | 5.0% |
Score probability grid
| ADO Den Haag \ Cambuur | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 5% | 6% | 5% | 2% | 1% | · |
| 1 | 6% | 11% | 8% | 4% | 1% | · |
| 2 | 6% | 9% | 7% | 3% | 1% | · |
| 3 | 3% | 5% | 4% | 2% | 1% | · |
| 4 | 1% | 2% | 2% | 1% | · | · |
| 5 | · | 1% | 1% | · | · | · |
Rows = ADO Den Haag goals, columns = Cambuur. The most likely scoreline is 1-1 at 11.0%. No exact score is ever truly likely; the value is in the full distribution the model assigns. Read the heatmap as a map of likelihood, not a prediction of one score.
Goals distribution
The model’s probability for the total number of goals, the shape behind every goals market. The 5+ bar groups every result with five or more goals.
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In-depth analysis
63.9%Both Teams to Score61.8%Over 2.5 goalsOn the goals side, the model sees 61.8% for three or more goals and 83.3% for at least two, painting a balanced picture. Given ADO Den Haag favoured at 41.7%, a competitive game tends to open up.
We publish the model, not a sure thing. We grade every call after the match.
Model lenses
Different analytical lenses our model applies to the same calibrated data, not separate tipsters, and never a tip.
Form & head-to-head
FAQ
What is the most likely score in ADO Den Haag vs Cambuur?
The model's most likely scoreline for ADO Den Haag vs Cambuur is 1-1 at 11.0%.
How is this probability calculated?
We fit a goals and markets model (Dixon-Coles plus an xG strength model and an ensemble) on real match data, then calibrate the output against out-of-sample results. It is a calibrated model probability, not an odds-derived tip.
Is this a betting tip?
No – these are calibrated model probabilities, graded against real results. We publish our full track record, including the misses, and never claim to beat the closing market.
Overall model accuracy
We don’t yet publish a graded Correct Score-specific track record, so this is our overall accuracy across every 1X2 call, graded out-of-sample, updated daily.
Predictions & track record updated 18 Sep 2026. See the full, dated track record →
More Eredivisie, Correct Score
Related
Model probabilities, calibration-graded, not a tip. We publish our track record, including the misses. 18+. For information only, not betting advice. If gambling is a problem, visit BeGambleAware.
