Eredivisie
Feyenoord vs 
Utrecht Corners
model probability
Expert AI analysis
The model makes Over 9.5 corners at 54.4%, its strongest read on the Corners market. Across the lines, the model goes from 78.7% for over 7.5 to 25.4% for over 12.5, with over 10.5 the closest line to a coin-flip at 45.6%. On the corner count, Feyenoord are the model’s pick to win the corner count at 58.6%, with a level count at 9.4%. It is a calibrated model probability, graded out-of-sample, not a tip.
Corners
Total corners, every line
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 7.5 corners | 78.7% | 21.3% |
| 8.5 corners | 68.5% | 31.5% |
| 9.5 corners | 57.1% | 42.9% |
| 10.5 corners | 45.6% | 54.4% |
| 11.5 corners | 34.8% | 65.2% |
| 12.5 corners | 25.4% | 74.6% |
Who wins the corner count
Team corner lines
78.5%
65.3%
51.1%
61.4%
44.9%
30.5%
Corner handicap
| Feyenoord line | Feyenoord | Utrecht |
|---|---|---|
| -3.5 | 29.8% | 70.2% |
| -1.5 | 48.7% | 51.3% |
| -0.5 | 58.6% | 41.4% |
| +0.5 | 68.1% | 32.0% |
This season (2026/27)
6.2Feyenoord corners won per game3.8Feyenoord corners conceded per game3.3Utrecht corners won per game7.0Utrecht corners conceded per gameThe corners market rewards teams that camp in the final third, below are the model total-corner probabilities. The model edges Feyenoord.
In-depth analysis
These are calibrated model probabilities, not tips. The track record is public, misses included.
57.1%Over 9.5 corners65.3%Feyenoord over 4.5 corners44.9%Utrecht over 4.5 corners50.0%Odd corner totalFor the team lines, Feyenoord over 4.5 corners sits at 65.3% and Utrecht at 44.9%. This season Feyenoord have averaged 6.2 corners won a game and Utrecht 3.3.
Model lenses
Different analytical lenses our model applies to the same calibrated data, not separate tipsters, and never a tip.
FAQ
How many corners in Feyenoord vs Utrecht?
The model rates over 9.5 total corners at 57.1% for Feyenoord vs Utrecht.
Which team will win the corner count in Feyenoord vs Utrecht?
The model rates Feyenoord to win the corner count at 58.6%, with a level count at 9.4%.
How many corners do Feyenoord and Utrecht average this season?
Feyenoord have won 6.2 corners a game this season and Utrecht 3.3.
How is this probability calculated?
We fit a goals and markets model (Dixon-Coles plus an xG strength model and an ensemble) on real match data, then calibrate the output against out-of-sample results. It is a calibrated model probability, not an odds-derived tip.
Is this a betting tip?
No – these are calibrated model probabilities, graded against real results. We publish our full track record, including the misses, and never claim to beat the closing market.
Corners accuracy
How our Corners calls have actually performed, graded out-of-sample against real results.
In 23,762 matches we rated like this one (50–60%), Corners actually happened 54.2% of the time.
Predictions & track record updated 18 Sep 2026. See the full, dated track record →
Our last 10 Corners calls
The model’s most recent graded Corners predictions, out-of-sample. Green means the call hit, red means it missed. The number is the model confidence on each.
More Eredivisie, Corners
Related
Model probabilities, calibration-graded, not a tip. We publish our track record, including the misses. 18+. For information only, not betting advice. If gambling is a problem, visit BeGambleAware.
