Bundesliga
Union BerlinUnion BerlinWDLLL
Full time1-0Sat, 10 Oct 202610/1014:30UK16°C · Cloudy
ElversbergElversbergWWLD

Union Berlin 1-0 Elversberg both teams to score: our prediction vs the result

Pre-match model estimates. Based on the Road2Sushi model. Not guaranteed outcomes.

Both teams to score: Yes62.4%
Both teams to score: No37.6%

Result

Union Berlin1-0Elversberg
0 goals before half-timeUnion Berlin 0, Elversberg 0
YesYes

We called Yes at 62.4% and it missed. We called Yes at 75.0% and it missed (0 in the match).

Model read

A moderate lean, nothing emphatic.

Conviction is how far the model's probability sits from an even 50/50: Strong at 18 points or more, Moderate at 8 points or more, Lean below that.

Conviction: Moderate

Both teams to score · Yes62.4%

Both Teams to Score

YesModel lean62.4%
No37.6%

Related market Over 2.5 goals 61.5%

Recent scoring & conceding

Goals scored and conceded per game over each side's recent matches. The bar runs from 0 to 3.5 goals per game.

Union Berlin scored
1.6
Union Berlin conceded
3.4
Elversberg scored
2.0
Elversberg conceded
1.8

Each team to score

Union Berlin to score84.1%
Union Berlin 2+ goals54.8%
Elversberg to score73.7%
Elversberg 2+ goals38.6%

By half

Both score in 1st half24.1%
Both score in 2nd half40.1%

Goals distribution

How likely each total number of goals is, according to the model. Every goals market on this page is built from these bars. The 5+ bar covers every result with five goals or more.

4.7%

0

12.3%

1

21.6%

2

22.3%

3

17.7%

4

20.1%

5+

Recent trends

How often both teams scored and the match went over 2.5 in each side's recent games.

Union BerlinBTTS 2/5Over 2.5 5/5
ElversbergBTTS 3/4Over 2.5 3/4

Form & head-to-head

Recent form uses each club’s available results in their stored order. Select a W/D/L result for details.

Head-to-head figures use their own recorded sample. Where individual results are available, the figures and journal cover the same meetings. Missing results are never counted as draws.

Union BerlinUnion BerlinLast 5
W
Win · 4-0
D
Draw · 3-3
L
Loss · 0-4
L
Loss · 1-3
L
Loss · 0-7

1 win · 1 draw · 3 losses

ElversbergElversbergLast 4
W
Win · 3-2
W
Win · 4-3
L
Loss · 1-2
D
Draw · 0-0

2 wins · 1 draw · 1 loss

W Win
D Draw
L Loss

Head-to-head

No recorded head-to-head results available.

Match outlook

PickUnion Berlin50.0%
Draw23.3%
Elversberg26.7%

The model leans Union Berlin to win.

See the full prediction

Both Teams to Score accuracy

How our Both Teams to Score calls have actually done, each one scored against the real result on matches the model had never seen.

53.4%Best Both Teams to Score call, hit rate
0.0218Calibration error
72,238Matches graded

In 7,845 matches we rated like this one (60–70%), Both Teams to Score actually happened 58.7% of the time.

Predictions & track record updated 27 Oct 2026.

See the full, dated track record

Our last 10 Both Teams to Score calls

Our most recent Both Teams to Score calls, each one scored against the result. The model had never seen these matches when it made them. Green means we got it right, red means we got it wrong, and the number is how sure we were.

✓ 50.5%✗ 57.9%✗ 55.0%✗ 58.1%✓ 61.6%✓ 65.1%✓ 51.0%✗ 51.9%✗ 52.7%✗ 56.6%
4 of 10 recent calls hit.
Sevilla vs Osasuna2026-10-26No 50.5%Hit
Paris SG vs Lyon2026-10-26Yes 57.9%Miss
Santa Clara vs Benfica2026-10-26No 55.0%Miss
Besiktas vs Buyuksehyr2026-10-26Yes 58.1%Miss
Rizespor vs Trabzonspor2026-10-26Yes 61.6%Hit
Model analysis: reasoning, key facts and model lenses

Expert AI analysis

Our model lands on Both teams to score · Yes at 62.4%, its strongest read on the Both Teams to Score market. Recent output points the same way: Union Berlin have averaged 1.6 scored and 3.4 conceded, Elversberg 2.0 and 1.8 over their recent games. That fits an open goals environment: 61.5% for over 2.5 and 83.1% for at least two goals. Union Berlin have seen both teams score in 2 of their last 5, Elversberg in 3 of 4. Read the recorded data and validation context alongside the estimate.

In-depth analysis

On the goals side, the model sees 61.5% for three or more goals and 83.1% for at least two, painting a balanced picture. Given Union Berlin favoured at 50.0%, a close contest often produces chances at both ends.

Every figure here is what the model thinks, not advice. We score every call against the result after the match.

50.0%Favoured: Union Berlin
62.4%Both Teams to Score
61.5%Over 2.5 goals

Model lenses

The same numbers read in different ways by one model. These are not separate tipsters, and none of them is a tip.

The ModelPublished estimate: 62.4% on Both Teams to Score. Validation depends on the market and sample; this percentage is not a measured hit rate.
The TacticianReads an open, higher-tempo game from the 61.5% over 2.5 read.
The ScoutUnion Berlin are the model’s pick on the result at 50.0%, context for how the goals may flow.

Players to watch

Published player-market probabilities, shown in kickoff order. Model estimates, not confirmed lineups.

How our football predictions work →

Union BerlinUnion Berlin (1)
Tim Skarke
Watch list
Prediction markets
Model %
Fair odds
Save
To score
5.6%
17.86
1+ shot on target
28.7%
3.48
2+ shots
14.9%
6.71
Per 90 minutes (recent averages)
Shots1.99
On target0.99
Goals0.17

FAQ

Did both teams score in Union Berlin vs Elversberg?
We rated Both Teams to Score at 62.4%. Both teams did not both score, final score 1-0.
How is this probability calculated?
The estimate comes from models fitted to recorded match data. Calibration and validation depend on the market, league and available sample; the percentage alone does not establish accuracy or a profitable price.
Is this a betting tip?
This is a model estimate, not a guarantee or a demonstrated profitable edge. Where the required result data is available, saved predictions are graded including misses. An unavailable market result stays ungraded.

More Bundesliga, Both Teams to Score

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Related

Model estimates; validation depends on the market and available sample. We publish our track record, including the misses. 18+. For information only, not betting advice. If gambling is a problem, visit BeGambleAware.