Bundesliga
StuttgartStuttgartLWLLW
Sat, 7 Nov 20267/1117:30UK5°C · Clear
Werder BremenWerder BremenWDDWW

Stuttgart vs Werder Bremen correct score prediction

Based on the Road2Sushi model. Not guaranteed outcomes.

2-1 correct score9.4%
1-1 correct score9%
2-0 correct score7.2%

Model read

No single outcome dominates, read the distribution.

Conviction: Open

Most likely · 9.4%2-1

Correct score

Score distribution: the model probability of each exact score.

Rows = Stuttgart goals, columns = Werder Bremen goals. The most likely scoreline is 2-1 at 9.4%.

The grid is the model's full scoreline distribution, not a single tip, but the shape of every plausible result. Read the heatmap as a map of likelihood, not a prediction of one score.

Most likely scorelines

  1. 2-19.4%
  2. 1-19.0%
  3. 2-07.2%
  4. 3-17.0%
  5. 2-26.2%
  6. 1-06.1%
  7. 1-25.6%
  8. 3-05.3%

Score probability grid

H / A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 3.4% 3.4% 2.5% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1%
1 6.1% 9% 5.6% 2.5% 0.8% 0.2%
2 7.2% 9.4% 6.2% 2.7% 0.9% 0.2%
3 5.3% 7% 4.6% 2% 0.7% 0.2%
4 2.9% 3.9% 2.6% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1%
5 1.3% 1.7% 1.1% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0%

Rows: Stuttgart · Columns: Werder Bremen

Goals distribution

How likely each total number of goals is, according to the model. Every goals market on this page is built from these bars. The 5+ bar covers every result with five goals or more.

3.4%

0

9.5%

1

18.7%

2

21.5%

3

19.0%

4

25.3%

5+

Form & head-to-head

Recent form uses each club’s available results in their stored order. Select a W/D/L result for details.

Head-to-head figures use their own recorded sample. Where individual results are available, the figures and journal cover the same meetings. Missing results are never counted as draws.

StuttgartStuttgartLast 5
L
Loss · 0-1
W
Win · 2-0
L
Loss · 0-1
L
Loss · 2-3
W
Win · 4-2

2 wins · 0 draws · 3 losses

Werder BremenWerder BremenLast 5
W
Win · 3-2
D
Draw · 2-2
D
Draw · 2-2
W
Win · 3-2
W
Win · 2-0

3 wins · 2 draws · 0 losses

W Win
D Draw
L Loss

Head-to-head

Last 5 meetings

1StuttgartStuttgart wins
2Draws
2Werder BremenWerder Bremen wins
3.2Average goals
Date
Home team
Score
Away team
StuttgartStuttgart
1 – 1
Werder BremenWerder Bremen
Werder BremenWerder Bremen
0 – 4
StuttgartStuttgart
StuttgartStuttgart
1 – 2
Werder BremenWerder Bremen
Werder BremenWerder Bremen
2 – 2
StuttgartStuttgart
Werder BremenWerder Bremen
2 – 1
StuttgartStuttgart

Overall model accuracy

We don't yet publish a graded Correct Score-specific track record, so this is our overall accuracy across every 1X2 call, graded out-of-sample, updated daily.

0.0106Calibration error (1X2)
47.8%Top-pick hit rate (1X2)
56,049Matches graded

Predictions & track record updated 1 Nov 2026.

See the full, dated track record

Model analysis: reasoning, key facts and model lenses

Expert AI analysis

The headline read is Most likely · 9.4% at 2-1, its strongest read on the Correct Score market. The goals picture is built on form: Stuttgart have averaged 1.6 scored and 1.4 conceded, Werder Bremen 2.4 and 1.6 over their recent games. That fits an open goals environment: 68.5% for over 2.5 and 87.2% for at least two goals. Their last 5 meetings have averaged 3.2 goals a game. This is a model estimate; validation depends on the market and available sample.

In-depth analysis

On the goals side, the model sees 68.5% for three or more goals and 87.2% for at least two, painting a high-scoring picture. With Stuttgart favoured at 59.7%, a competitive game tends to open up.

We publish the model, not a sure thing. We score every call against the result after the match.

59.7%Favoured: Stuttgart
65.6%Both Teams to Score
68.5%Over 2.5 goals

Model lenses

The same numbers read in different ways by one model. These are not separate tipsters, and none of them is a tip.

The ModelPublished estimate: 2-1 on Correct Score. Validation depends on the market and sample; this percentage is not a measured hit rate.
The TacticianSees an open, higher-tempo game from the 68.5% over 2.5 read.
The ScoutStuttgart are the model’s pick on the result at 59.7%, a lean on probability, never on price.

Players to watch

Published player-market probabilities, shown in kickoff order. Model estimates, not confirmed lineups.

How our football predictions work →

StuttgartStuttgart (1)
Deniz Undav
Watch list
Prediction markets
Model %
Fair odds
Save
To score
33.9%
2.95
1+ shot on target
68.6%
1.46
2+ shots
83.9%
1.19
Per 90 minutes (recent averages)
Shots4.20
On target1.48
Goals0.53
Werder BremenWerder Bremen (1)
Niclas Füllkrug
Watch list
Prediction markets
Model %
Fair odds
Save
To score
22.4%
4.46
1+ shot on target
47.5%
2.11
2+ shots
37.9%
2.64
Per 90 minutes (recent averages)
Shots2.49
On target1.22
Goals0.48

FAQ

What is the most likely score in Stuttgart vs Werder Bremen?
The model's most likely scoreline for Stuttgart vs Werder Bremen is 2-1 at 9.4%.
How is this probability calculated?
The estimate comes from models fitted to recorded match data. Calibration and validation depend on the market, league and available sample; the percentage alone does not establish accuracy or a profitable price.
Is this a betting tip?
This is a model estimate, not a guarantee or a demonstrated profitable edge. Where the required result data is available, saved predictions are graded including misses. An unavailable market result stays ungraded.

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Related

Model estimates; validation depends on the market and available sample. We publish our track record, including the misses. 18+. For information only, not betting advice. If gambling is a problem, visit BeGambleAware.