Bundesliga
PaderbornPaderbornLWLDW
Sat, 7 Nov 20267/1114:30UK8°C · Clear
Ein FrankfurtEin FrankfurtWDLWL

Paderborn vs Eintracht Frankfurt correct score prediction

Based on the Road2Sushi model. Not guaranteed outcomes.

1-1 correct score10.5%
1-2 correct score8.4%
2-1 correct score8.2%

Model read

No single outcome dominates, read the distribution.

Conviction: Open

Most likely · 10.5%1-1

Correct score

Score distribution: the model probability of each exact score.

Rows = Paderborn goals, columns = Ein Frankfurt goals. The most likely scoreline is 1-1 at 10.5%.

The grid is the model's full scoreline distribution, not a single tip, but the shape of every plausible result. Darker cells carry more probability.

Most likely scorelines

  1. 1-110.5%
  2. 1-28.4%
  3. 2-18.2%
  4. 2-26.9%
  5. 0-15.6%
  6. 1-05.5%
  7. 0-25.1%
  8. 2-04.9%

Score probability grid

H / A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 4.1% 5.6% 5.1% 2.8% 1.2% 0.4%
1 5.5% 10.5% 8.4% 4.7% 2% 0.7%
2 4.9% 8.2% 6.9% 3.8% 1.6% 0.5%
3 2.7% 4.5% 3.8% 2.1% 0.9% 0.3%
4 1.1% 1.8% 1.5% 0.9% 0.4% 0.1%
5 0.4% 0.6% 0.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%

Rows: Paderborn · Columns: Ein Frankfurt

Goals distribution

How likely each total number of goals is, according to the model. Every goals market on this page is built from these bars. The 5+ bar covers every result with five goals or more.

4.1%

0

11.1%

1

20.5%

2

22.0%

3

18.3%

4

22.6%

5+

Form & head-to-head

Recent form uses each club’s available results in their stored order. Select a W/D/L result for details.

Head-to-head figures use their own recorded sample. Where individual results are available, the figures and journal cover the same meetings. Missing results are never counted as draws.

PaderbornPaderbornLast 5
L
Loss · 0-3
W
Win · 3-1
L
Loss · 0-2
D
Draw · 2-2
W
Win · 1-0

2 wins · 1 draw · 2 losses

Ein FrankfurtEin FrankfurtLast 5
W
Win · 3-1
D
Draw · 2-2
L
Loss · 0-6
W
Win · 1-0
L
Loss · 0-1

2 wins · 1 draw · 2 losses

W Win
D Draw
L Loss

Head-to-head

Last 4 meetings

2PaderbornPaderborn wins
0Draws
2Ein FrankfurtEin Frankfurt wins
4.0Average goals
Date
Home team
Score
Away team
Ein FrankfurtEin Frankfurt
3 – 2
PaderbornPaderborn
PaderbornPaderborn
2 – 1
Ein FrankfurtEin Frankfurt
Ein FrankfurtEin Frankfurt
4 – 0
PaderbornPaderborn
PaderbornPaderborn
3 – 1
Ein FrankfurtEin Frankfurt

Overall model accuracy

We don't yet publish a graded Correct Score-specific track record, so this is our overall accuracy across every 1X2 call, graded out-of-sample, updated daily.

0.0106Calibration error (1X2)
47.8%Top-pick hit rate (1X2)
56,049Matches graded

Predictions & track record updated 31 Oct 2026.

See the full, dated track record

Model analysis: reasoning, key facts and model lenses

Expert AI analysis

The model makes Most likely · 10.5% at 1-1, its strongest read on the Correct Score market. The goals picture is built on form: Paderborn have averaged 1.2 scored and 1.6 conceded, Ein Frankfurt 1.2 and 2.0 over their recent games. That fits an open goals environment: 64.4% for over 2.5 and 84.8% for at least two goals. Their last 4 meetings have averaged 4.0 goals a game. The published percentage is an estimate, not a guarantee or a measured hit rate.

In-depth analysis

On the goals side, the model sees 64.4% for three or more goals and 84.8% for at least two, painting a high-scoring picture. Given Ein Frankfurt favoured at 38.8%, a competitive game tends to open up.

These are the model’s own percentages, not tips. What we are good at is getting the percentage right, not at beating the bookmakers.

38.8%Favoured: Ein Frankfurt
66.0%Both Teams to Score
64.4%Over 2.5 goals

Model lenses

The same numbers read in different ways by one model. These are not separate tipsters, and none of them is a tip.

The ModelPublished estimate: 1-1 on Correct Score. Validation depends on the market and sample; this percentage is not a measured hit rate.
The TacticianReads an open, higher-tempo game from the 64.4% over 2.5 read.
The ScoutEin Frankfurt are the model’s pick on the result at 38.8%, context for how the goals may flow.

Players to watch

Published player-market probabilities, shown in kickoff order. Model estimates, not confirmed lineups.

How our football predictions work →

PaderbornPaderborn (1)
Rayan Philippe
Watch list
Prediction markets
Model %
Fair odds
Save
To score
15.9%
6.29
1+ shot on target
41.9%
2.39
2+ shots
38.9%
2.57
Per 90 minutes (recent averages)
Shots3.02
On target1.22
Goals0.39
Ein FrankfurtEin Frankfurt (1)
Younes Ebnoutalib
Watch list
Prediction markets
Model %
Fair odds
Save
To score
39.3%
2.54
1+ shot on target
60.0%
1.67
2+ shots
59.4%
1.68
Per 90 minutes (recent averages)
Shots3.49
On target1.60
Goals0.87

FAQ

What is the most likely score in Paderborn vs Ein Frankfurt?
The model's most likely scoreline for Paderborn vs Ein Frankfurt is 1-1 at 10.5%.
How is this probability calculated?
The estimate comes from models fitted to recorded match data. Calibration and validation depend on the market, league and available sample; the percentage alone does not establish accuracy or a profitable price.
Is this a betting tip?
This is a model estimate, not a guarantee or a demonstrated profitable edge. Where the required result data is available, saved predictions are graded including misses. An unavailable market result stays ungraded.

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Related

Model estimates; validation depends on the market and available sample. We publish our track record, including the misses. 18+. For information only, not betting advice. If gambling is a problem, visit BeGambleAware.