AI-Powered Match Intelligence· How our model works· updated 26 Oct 2026

Pro League
St. GilloiseSt. GilloiseWWWWD
Full time5-2Sun, 25 Oct 202625/1018:15UK
Cercle BruggeCercle BruggeLLDLL

Union Saint-Gilloise 5-2 Cercle Brugge corners: our prediction vs the result

Pre-match model estimates. Based on the Road2Sushi model. Not guaranteed outcomes.

Over 9.5 cornersBoth teams combined55.3%
Under 9.5 cornersBoth teams combined44.7%

Result

St. Gilloise5-2Cercle Brugge
14 cornersSt. Gilloise 13, Cercle Brugge 1
Over 9.5

We called Over 9.5 at 55.3% and it landed (14 in the match).

Model read

Close to a coin-flip, barely a lean.

Conviction is how far the model's probability sits from an even 50/50: Strong at 18 points or more, Moderate at 8 points or more, Lean below that.

Conviction: Lean

Over 9.5 corners55.3%

Corners

Model probabilities for this match. Over means more than the stated line; Under means fewer. For example, over 2.5 requires at least 3. These estimates are not bookmaker odds.

The corners market rewards teams that camp in the final third, below are the model total-corner probabilities. More corners are projected for St. Gilloise.

Total corners

Both teams combined.

Line Over Under
7.5 corners 77.8% 22.2%
8.5 corners 67.1% 32.9%
9.5 corners 55.3% 44.7%
10.5 corners 43.5% 56.5%
11.5 corners 32.6% 67.4%
12.5 corners 23.3% 76.7%

Who wins the corner count

St. Gilloise
56.9%
Level
10.2%
Cercle Brugge
32.9%

Team corners lines

St. Gilloise

Over 3.5
77.9%
Over 4.5
63.7%
Over 5.5
48.6%

Cercle Brugge

Over 3.5
62.8%
Over 4.5
45.6%
Over 5.5
30.5%

Corner handicap

The four handicap lines closest to an even split. The line is St. Gilloise's; Cercle Brugge gets the opposite line. Half lines have no push.

St. Gilloise line St. Gilloise Cercle Brugge
-3.5 26.5% 73.5%
-1.5 46.2% 53.8%
-0.5 56.9% 43.1%
+0.5 67.1% 32.9%
St. GilloiseSt. Gilloise

Corner trends

2026/27 · Recorded results. At this venue means St. Gilloise at home and Cercle Brugge away. A rate appears only after five matches with the figure, three for the home or away split; a missing value is never zero.

Cercle BruggeCercle Brugge
Statistic
St. Gilloise
Cercle Brugge
Corners won per game at this venue
6.3
8.7

Corners conceded per game at this venue
3.3
6.0

Matches with more corners than the opponent
83.3%
83.3%

Matches with corner data
6
6

Bar scales · Corners per game: 0–10 · Recorded rate (%): 0–100. Each team uses the same scale for each metric.

Corners accuracy

How our Corners calls have actually done, each one scored against the real result on matches the model had never seen.

54.0%Best Corners call, hit rate
0.0095Calibration error
50,938Matches graded

In 24,028 matches we rated like this one (50–60%), Corners actually happened 54.2% of the time.

Predictions & track record updated 27 Oct 2026.

See the full, dated track record

Our last 10 Corners calls

Our most recent Corners calls, each one scored against the result. The model had never seen these matches when it made them. Green means we got it right, red means we got it wrong, and the number is how sure we were.

✗ 55.9%✓ 52.1%✓ 53.5%✓ 50.6%✓ 53.9%✗ 51.1%✗ 50.7%✗ 58.3%✓ 55.7%✗ 59.5%
5 of 10 recent calls hit.
Sevilla vs Osasuna2026-10-26Under 9.5 55.9%Miss
Paris SG vs Lyon2026-10-26Over 9.5 52.1%Hit
Santa Clara vs Benfica2026-10-26Under 9.5 53.5%Hit
Besiktas vs Buyuksehyr2026-10-26Under 9.5 50.6%Hit
Rizespor vs Trabzonspor2026-10-26Under 9.5 53.9%Hit
Model analysis: reasoning, key facts and model lenses

Expert AI analysis

The headline read is Over 9.5 corners at 55.3%, its strongest read on the Corners market. The total-corners ladder runs from 77.8% for over 7.5 to 23.3% for over 12.5, with over 9.5 the closest line to a coin-flip at 55.3%. Between the two sides, St. Gilloise are the model’s pick to win the corner count at 56.9%, with a level count at 10.2%. The published percentage is an estimate, not a guarantee or a measured hit rate.

In-depth analysis

By team, St. Gilloise over 4.5 corners sits at 63.7% and Cercle Brugge at 45.6%. This season St. Gilloise have averaged 5.2 corners won a game and Cercle Brugge 8.8.

Every figure here is what the model thinks, not advice. What we are good at is getting the percentage right, not at beating the bookmakers.

55.3%Over 9.5 corners
56.9%Most corners: St. Gilloise
63.7%St. Gilloise over 4.5 corners
45.6%Cercle Brugge over 4.5 corners
50.0%Odd corner total

Model lenses

The same numbers read in different ways by one model. These are not separate tipsters, and none of them is a tip.

The ModelPublished estimate: 55.3% on Corners. Validation depends on the market and sample; this percentage is not a measured hit rate.
The Territory ReaderSt. Gilloise are the pick to win the corner count at 56.9%, corners follow pressure, and pressure follows the side with the ball in the final third.
The Line SetterThe fairest total line is 9.5 corners: over sits at 55.3%, the closest to a coin-flip on the ladder.
St. GilloiseSt. Gilloise

This season

2026/27 · Recorded results.

Cercle BruggeCercle Brugge
Statistic
St. Gilloise
Cercle Brugge
corners won per game
5.2
8.8

corners conceded per game
3.7
4.2

Bar scales · Corners per game: 0–10. Each team uses the same scale for each metric.

FAQ

How many corners in St. Gilloise vs Cercle Brugge?
Before kickoff, the model rated over 9.5 total corners at 55.3% for St. Gilloise vs Cercle Brugge.
Which team will win the corner count in St. Gilloise vs Cercle Brugge?
Before kickoff, the model rated St. Gilloise to win the corner count at 56.9%, with a level count at 10.2%.
How many corners do St. Gilloise and Cercle Brugge average this season?
St. Gilloise have won 5.2 corners a game this season and Cercle Brugge 8.8.
How is this probability calculated?
The estimate comes from models fitted to recorded match data. Calibration and validation depend on the market, league and available sample; the percentage alone does not establish accuracy or a profitable price.
Is this a betting tip?
This is a model estimate, not a guarantee or a demonstrated profitable edge. Where the required result data is available, saved predictions are graded including misses. An unavailable market result stays ungraded.

More Pro League, Corners

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Corner predictions today

Related

Pro LeagueUnion Saint-Gilloise fixtures and statsCercle Brugge fixtures and statsTrack record

Model estimates; validation depends on the market and available sample. We publish our track record, including the misses. 18+. For information only, not betting advice. If gambling is a problem, visit BeGambleAware.