Serie A
SassuoloSassuoloWLDLL
Full time2-6Tue, 27 Oct 202627/1017:30UK15°C · Clearing
LazioLazioDWWWW

Sassuolo 2-6 Lazio both teams to score: our prediction vs the result

Pre-match model estimates. Based on the Road2Sushi model. Not guaranteed outcomes.

Both teams to score: Yes53.6%
Both teams to score: No46.4%

Result

Sassuolo2-6Lazio
Yes

We called Yes at 53.6% and it landed.

Model read

Close to a coin-flip, barely a lean.

Conviction is how far the model's probability sits from an even 50/50: Strong at 18 points or more, Moderate at 8 points or more, Lean below that.

Conviction: Lean

Both teams to score · Yes53.6%

Both Teams to Score

YesModel lean53.6%
No46.4%

Related market Over 2.5 goals 49.2%

Recent scoring & conceding

Goals scored and conceded per game over each side's recent matches. The bar runs from 0 to 3.5 goals per game.

Sassuolo scored
1.4
Sassuolo conceded
2.2
Lazio scored
2.4
Lazio conceded
0.8

Each team to score

Sassuolo to score68.5%
Sassuolo 2+ goals32.2%
Lazio to score77.3%
Lazio 2+ goals43.7%

By half

Both score in 1st half14.6%
Both score in 2nd half31.2%

Goals distribution

How likely each total number of goals is, according to the model. Every goals market on this page is built from these bars. The 5+ bar covers every result with five goals or more.

7.8%

0

17.6%

1

25.4%

2

21.8%

3

14.5%

4

12.3%

5+

Recent trends

How often both teams scored and the match went over 2.5 in each side's recent games.

SassuoloBTTS 4/5Over 2.5 3/5
LazioBTTS 3/5Over 2.5 4/5

Form & head-to-head

Recent form uses each club’s available results in their stored order. Select a W/D/L result for details.

Head-to-head figures use their own recorded sample. Where individual results are available, the figures and journal cover the same meetings. Missing results are never counted as draws.

SassuoloSassuoloLast 5
W
Win · 3-2
L
Loss · 1-2
D
Draw · 1-1
L
Loss · 2-4
L
Loss · 0-2

1 win · 1 draw · 3 losses

LazioLazioLast 5
D
Draw · 2-2
W
Win · 2-0
W
Win · 3-1
W
Win · 3-0
W
Win · 2-1

4 wins · 1 draw · 0 losses

W Win
D Draw
L Loss

Head-to-head

Last 5 meetings

1SassuoloSassuolo wins
1Draws
3LazioLazio wins
2.0Average goals
Date
Home team
Score
Away team
LazioLazio
2 – 1
SassuoloSassuolo
SassuoloSassuolo
1 – 0
LazioLazio
LazioLazio
1 – 1
SassuoloSassuolo
SassuoloSassuolo
0 – 2
LazioLazio
LazioLazio
2 – 0
SassuoloSassuolo

Match outlook

Sassuolo28.4%
Draw26.1%
PickLazio45.6%

The model leans Lazio to win.

See the full prediction

Both Teams to Score accuracy

How our Both Teams to Score calls have actually done, each one scored against the real result on matches the model had never seen.

53.4%Best Both Teams to Score call, hit rate
0.0218Calibration error
72,243Matches graded

In 34,665 matches we rated like this one (50–60%), Both Teams to Score actually happened 54.3% of the time.

Predictions & track record updated 28 Oct 2026.

See the full, dated track record

Our last 10 Both Teams to Score calls

Our most recent Both Teams to Score calls, each one scored against the result. The model had never seen these matches when it made them. Green means we got it right, red means we got it wrong, and the number is how sure we were.

✓ 50.4%✗ 52.0%✓ 50.8%✓ 51.2%✓ 57.4%✓ 50.5%✗ 57.9%✗ 55.0%✗ 58.1%✓ 61.6%
6 of 10 recent calls hit.
Sassuolo vs Lazio2026-10-27Yes 50.4%Hit
Roma vs Cagliari2026-10-27No 52.0%Miss
Torino vs Como2026-10-27Yes 50.8%Hit
Barnet vs York2026-10-27Yes 51.2%Hit
AIK vs Elfsborg2026-10-27Yes 57.4%Hit
Model analysis: reasoning, key facts and model lenses

Expert AI analysis

The model makes Both teams to score · Yes at 53.6%, its strongest read on the Both Teams to Score market. Recent output points the same way: Sassuolo have averaged 1.4 scored and 2.2 conceded, Lazio 2.4 and 0.8 over their recent games. That fits a balanced goals environment: 49.2% for over 2.5 and 74.7% for at least two goals. Their last 5 meetings have averaged 2.0 goals a game. Sassuolo have seen both teams score in 4 of their last 5, Lazio in 3 of 5. Read the recorded data and validation context alongside the estimate.

In-depth analysis

On the goals side, the model sees 49.2% for three or more goals and 74.7% for at least two, painting a balanced picture. With Lazio favoured at 45.6%, neither side dominating can mean an end-to-end match.

These are the model’s own percentages, not tips. The track record is public, misses included.

45.6%Favoured: Lazio
53.6%Both Teams to Score
49.2%Over 2.5 goals

Model lenses

The same numbers read in different ways by one model. These are not separate tipsters, and none of them is a tip.

The ModelPublished estimate: 53.6% on Both Teams to Score. Validation depends on the market and sample; this percentage is not a measured hit rate.
The TacticianReads a balanced game from the 49.2% over 2.5 read.
The ScoutLazio are the model’s pick on the result at 45.6%, context for how the goals may flow.
The RealistThis one sits near a coin-flip, the honest read is low conviction, no strong lean.
SassuoloSassuolo

This season

2026/27 · Recorded results.

LazioLazio
Statistic
Sassuolo
Lazio
BTTS rate
87.5%
50.0%

clean sheets
0.0%
50.0%

goals scored per game
1.5
2.0

Bar scales · Recorded rate (%): 0–100 · Goals per game: 0–3. Each team uses the same scale for each metric.

Players to watch

Published player-market probabilities, shown in kickoff order. Model estimates, not confirmed lineups.

How our football predictions work →

SassuoloSassuolo (1)
Vasilije Adzic
Watch list
Prediction markets
Model %
Fair odds
Save
To score
16.7%
5.99
1+ shot on target
33.5%
2.99
2+ shots
19.8%
5.05
Per 90 minutes (recent averages)
Shots3.01
On target1.50
Goals0.67
LazioLazio (1)
Andrea Pinamonti
Watch list
Prediction markets
Model %
Fair odds
Save
To score
21.3%
4.69
1+ shot on target
54.6%
1.83
2+ shots
58.6%
1.71
Per 90 minutes (recent averages)
Shots2.47
On target0.99
Goals0.30

FAQ

Did both teams score in Sassuolo vs Lazio?
We rated Both Teams to Score at 53.6%. Both teams scored, final score 2-6.
How is this probability calculated?
The estimate comes from models fitted to recorded match data. Calibration and validation depend on the market, league and available sample; the percentage alone does not establish accuracy or a profitable price.
Is this a betting tip?
This is a model estimate, not a guarantee or a demonstrated profitable edge. Where the required result data is available, saved predictions are graded including misses. An unavailable market result stays ungraded.

More Serie A, Both Teams to Score

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Related

Model estimates; validation depends on the market and available sample. We publish our track record, including the misses. 18+. For information only, not betting advice. If gambling is a problem, visit BeGambleAware.