RAAL La Louviere 3-0 Waregem cards: our prediction vs the result
Pre-match model estimates. Based on the Road2Sushi model. Not guaranteed outcomes.
Result
RAAL La Louviere3-0Waregem
We called Under 3.5 at 54.8% and it missed (5 in the match).
Model read
Close to a coin-flip, barely a lean.
Conviction is how far the model's probability sits from an even 50/50: Strong at 18 points or more, Moderate at 8 points or more, Lean below that.
Conviction: Lean
Over 3.5 cards45.2%
Match referee
The referee's own averages across every completed match with this referee in our data. A rate needs at least 5 matches with that figure. Previous referees are never used to guess an appointment.
Massimiliano Ledda
Recorded match referee.
| Per match | All matches | 2026/27 |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 14 | 3 |
| Goals | 2.14 | Not available |
| Yellow cards | 3.86 | Not available |
| Red cards | 0.29 | Not available |
| Corners | 9.5 | Not available |
| Fouls | 25.3 | Not available |
| Both teams scored | 36% | Not available |
| Over 2.5 goals | 29% | Not available |
| Home wins | 50% | Not available |
| Date | Match | Score | Goals | BTTS | Yellow | Red | Corners | Fouls |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct 2026 | RAAL La Louviere vs Waregem | 3-0 | 3 | No | 5 | 0 | 8 | 32 |
| 20 Sep 2026 | St Truiden vs Westerlo | 0-2 | 2 | No | 2 | 0 | 9 | 21 |
| 29 Aug 2026 | Cercle Brugge vs Lommel SK | 0-1 | 1 | No | 5 | 0 | 13 | 20 |
| 23 May 2026 | Antwerp vs Westerlo | 2-0 | 2 | No | 5 | 0 | 12 | 24 |
| 26 Apr 2026 | Waregem vs RAAL La Louviere | 4-0 | 4 | No | 2 | 0 | 11 | 28 |
| 30 Jan 2026 | RAAL La Louviere vs Gent | 1-1 | 2 | Yes | 0 | 0 | 11 | 25 |
| 18 Jan 2026 | St Truiden vs Oud-Heverlee Leuven | 1-0 | 1 | No | 9 | 0 | 5 | 28 |
| 27 Dec 2025 | Mechelen vs Dender | 1-1 | 2 | Yes | 7 | 1 | 11 | 24 |
| 12 Dec 2025 | Standard vs Oud-Heverlee Leuven | 0-1 | 1 | No | 4 | 0 | 9 | 27 |
| 29 Nov 2025 | Waregem vs Cercle Brugge | 1-1 | 2 | Yes | 3 | 0 | 13 | 26 |
Cards (bookings)
Model probabilities for this match. Over means more than the stated line; Under means fewer. For example, over 2.5 requires at least 3. These estimates are not bookmaker odds.
Yellow-card estimates use recorded match data; bookmaker settlement rules may differ, these are the model total-booking probabilities for RAAL La Louviere vs Waregem. The model leans toward RAAL La Louviere for the most cards.
Total cards
Both teams combined.
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 2.5 cards | 66.7% | 33.3% |
| 3.5 cards | 45.2% | 54.8% |
| 4.5 cards | 26.7% | 73.3% |
| 5.5 cards | 13.9% | 86.1% |
Who picks up more cards
RAAL La LouviereWaregemTeam cards lines
RAAL La Louviere
Waregem
Card handicap
The four handicap lines closest to an even split. The line is RAAL La Louviere's; Waregem gets the opposite line. Half lines have no push.
| RAAL La Louviere line | RAAL La Louviere | Waregem |
|---|---|---|
| -1.5 | 23.0% | 77.0% |
| -0.5 | 42.5% | 57.5% |
| +0.5 | 64.7% | 35.3% |
| +1.5 | 82.4% | 17.6% |
Red card
Fouls
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 20.5 fouls | 66.0% | 34.0% |
| 22.5 fouls | 51.7% | 48.3% |
| 24.5 fouls | 37.7% | 62.3% |
Recent referees
The referees each side has met most this season, with cards per game overall and for that team. This history does not establish who officiates this match. The main match page shows a saved match referee when available.
| Team | Referee | Games | Cards/g | Team cards/g |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| RAAL La Louviere | L. Visser | 2 | 5.0 | 3.0 |
| Waregem | Simon Bourdeaud'hui | 2 | 2.0 | 0.5 |
Swipe to see all referee stats →
Card trends
2026/27 · Recorded results. At this venue means RAAL La Louviere at home and Waregem away. A rate appears only after five matches with the figure, three for the home or away split; a missing value is never zero.
Bar scales · Cards per game: 0–5. Each team uses the same scale for each metric.
Cards accuracy
How our Cards calls have actually done, each one scored against the real result on matches the model had never seen.
In 10,293 matches we rated like this one (40–50%), Cards actually happened 48.5% of the time.
Predictions & track record updated 27 Oct 2026.
Our last 10 Cards calls
Our most recent Cards calls, each one scored against the result. The model had never seen these matches when it made them. Green means we got it right, red means we got it wrong, and the number is how sure we were.
Model analysis: reasoning, key facts and model lenses
Expert AI analysis
The headline read is Over 3.5 cards at 45.2%, its strongest read on the Cards market. The total-cards ladder runs from 66.7% for over 2.5 to 13.9% for over 5.5, with over 3.5 the closest line to a coin-flip at 45.2%. Head to head on cards, RAAL La Louviere are the model’s pick to pick up more cards at 42.5%, with a level count at 22.2%. The published percentage is an estimate, not a guarantee or a measured hit rate.
In-depth analysis
Split by side, RAAL La Louviere over 1.5 cards sits at 53.9% and Waregem at 48.5%. A red card for either side is rated at 19.6% (RAAL La Louviere 14.7%, Waregem 5.8%). RAAL La Louviere’s most frequent referee this season, L. Visser, has averaged 5.0 cards a game across 2 of their matches; the appointment for this game is not known before kickoff.
We publish the model, not a sure thing. We score every call against the result after the match.
Model lenses
The same numbers read in different ways by one model. These are not separate tipsters, and none of them is a tip.
This season
2026/27 · Recorded results.
Bar scales · Fouls per game: 0–20. Each team uses the same scale for each metric.
FAQ
How many cards in RAAL La Louviere vs Waregem?
Will there be a red card in RAAL La Louviere vs Waregem?
Which team will pick up more cards in RAAL La Louviere vs Waregem?
How is this probability calculated?
Is this a betting tip?
More Pro League, Cards
Related
Model estimates; validation depends on the market and available sample. We publish our track record, including the misses. 18+. For information only, not betting advice. If gambling is a problem, visit BeGambleAware.
