AI-Powered Match Intelligence· How our model works· updated 13 Oct 2026

Pro League
RAAL La LouviereLouviereLDLWL
Full time1-4Sat, 10 Oct 202610/1017:15UK
Club BruggeClub BruggeWLWWW

RAAL La Louviere 1-4 Club Brugge cards: our prediction vs the result

Pre-match model estimates. Based on the Road2Sushi model. Not guaranteed outcomes.

Under 3.5 cardsBoth teams combined55.1%
Over 3.5 cardsBoth teams combined44.9%

Result

RAAL La Louviere1-4Club Brugge
5 yellow cardsRAAL La Louviere 4, Club Brugge 1
0 red cardsRAAL La Louviere 0, Club Brugge 0
Under 3.5No

We called Under 3.5 at 55.1% and it missed (5 in the match). We called No at 80.5% and it landed (0 in the match).

Model read

Close to a coin-flip, barely a lean.

Conviction is how far the model's probability sits from an even 50/50: Strong at 18 points or more, Moderate at 8 points or more, Lean below that.

Conviction: Lean

Over 3.5 cards44.9%

Cards (bookings)

Model probabilities for this match. Over means more than the stated line; Under means fewer. For example, over 2.5 requires at least 3. These estimates are not bookmaker odds.

Yellow-card estimates use recorded match data; bookmaker settlement rules may differ, these are the model total-booking probabilities for RAAL La Louviere vs Club Brugge. Slightly more cards are projected for RAAL La Louviere for the most cards.

Total cards

Both teams combined.

Line Over Under
2.5 cards 66.5% 33.5%
3.5 cards 44.9% 55.1%
4.5 cards 26.5% 73.5%
5.5 cards 13.7% 86.3%

Who picks up more cards

RAAL La Louviere
40.7%
Level
22.3%
Club Brugge
37.0%

Team cards lines

RAAL La Louviere

Over 1.5
52.4%
Over 2.5
26.1%

Club Brugge

Over 1.5
49.6%
Over 2.5
23.7%

Card handicap

The four handicap lines closest to an even split. The line is RAAL La Louviere's; Club Brugge gets the opposite line. Half lines have no push.

RAAL La Louviere line RAAL La Louviere Club Brugge
-1.5 21.5% 78.5%
-0.5 40.7% 59.3%
+0.5 63.0% 37.0%
+1.5 81.3% 18.7%

Red card

Any red card19.5%
RAAL La Louviere red card15.6%
Club Brugge red card4.6%

Fouls

Line Over Under
20.5 fouls 55.2% 44.8%
22.5 fouls 40.4% 59.6%
24.5 fouls 27.3% 72.7%
RAAL La LouviereRAAL La Louviere

Card trends

2026/27 · Recorded results. At this venue means RAAL La Louviere at home and Club Brugge away. A rate appears only after five matches with the figure, three for the home or away split; a missing value is never zero.

Club BruggeClub Brugge
Statistic
RAAL La Louviere
Club Brugge
Cards per game at this venue
1.7
2.0

Opponent cards per game at this venue
1.3
2.0

Yellow cards per game
2.1
1.4

Red cards this season
3
1

Bar scales · Cards per game: 0–5. Each team uses the same scale for each metric.

Cards accuracy

How our Cards calls have actually done, each one scored against the real result on matches the model had never seen.

61.4%Best Cards call, hit rate
0.0222Calibration error
50,939Matches graded

In 10,293 matches we rated like this one (40–50%), Cards actually happened 48.5% of the time.

Predictions & track record updated 27 Oct 2026.

See the full, dated track record

Our last 10 Cards calls

Our most recent Cards calls, each one scored against the result. The model had never seen these matches when it made them. Green means we got it right, red means we got it wrong, and the number is how sure we were.

✗ 70.8%✓ 59.6%✓ 74.0%✗ 68.1%✓ 61.1%✓ 73.2%✓ 52.7%✓ 56.5%✗ 50.6%✗ 79.2%
6 of 10 recent calls hit.
Sevilla vs Osasuna2026-10-26Over 3.5 70.8%Miss
Paris SG vs Lyon2026-10-26Under 3.5 59.6%Hit
Santa Clara vs Benfica2026-10-26Over 3.5 74.0%Hit
Besiktas vs Buyuksehyr2026-10-26Over 3.5 68.1%Miss
Rizespor vs Trabzonspor2026-10-26Over 3.5 61.1%Hit
Model analysis: reasoning, key facts and model lenses

Expert AI analysis

The model makes Over 3.5 cards at 44.9%, its strongest read on the Cards market. Across the lines, the model goes from 66.5% for over 2.5 to 13.7% for over 5.5, with over 3.5 the closest line to a coin-flip at 44.9%. Between the two sides, RAAL La Louviere are the model’s pick to pick up more cards at 40.7%, with a level count at 22.3%. This is a model estimate; validation depends on the market and available sample.

In-depth analysis

Split by side, RAAL La Louviere over 1.5 cards sits at 52.4% and Club Brugge at 49.6%. A red card for either side is rated at 19.5% (RAAL La Louviere 15.6%, Club Brugge 4.6%). This season RAAL La Louviere have averaged 2.6 cards a game and Club Brugge 1.6.

Every figure here is what the model thinks, not advice. What we are good at is getting the percentage right, not at beating the bookmakers.

44.9%Over 3.5 cards
19.5%Any red card
40.7%Most cards: RAAL La Louviere
52.4%RAAL La Louviere over 1.5 cards
49.6%Club Brugge over 1.5 cards
40.4%Over 22.5 fouls

Model lenses

The same numbers read in different ways by one model. These are not separate tipsters, and none of them is a tip.

The ModelPublished estimate: 44.9% on Cards. Validation depends on the market and sample; this percentage is not a measured hit rate.
The FlashpointAny red card is rated at 19.5%, a low-probability event, but one that reshapes every line when it lands.
The DisciplinarianRAAL La Louviere are the pick to collect more cards at 40.7%, the side chasing the game tends to foul more.
The Line SetterThe fairest total line is 3.5 cards: over sits at 44.9%, the closest to a coin-flip on the ladder.
RAAL La LouviereRAAL La Louviere

This season

2026/27 · Recorded results.

Club BruggeClub Brugge
Statistic
RAAL La Louviere
Club Brugge
cards per game
2.6
1.6

fouls per game
12.3
7.9

Bar scales · Cards per game: 0–5 · Fouls per game: 0–20. Each team uses the same scale for each metric.

FAQ

How many cards in RAAL La Louviere vs Club Brugge?
Before kickoff, the model rated over 3.5 total cards at 44.9% for RAAL La Louviere vs Club Brugge.
Will there be a red card in RAAL La Louviere vs Club Brugge?
Before kickoff, the model rated a red card for either side at 19.5%.
Which team will pick up more cards in RAAL La Louviere vs Club Brugge?
Before kickoff, the model rated RAAL La Louviere to pick up more cards at 40.7%, with a level count at 22.3%.
How is this probability calculated?
The estimate comes from models fitted to recorded match data. Calibration and validation depend on the market, league and available sample; the percentage alone does not establish accuracy or a profitable price.
Is this a betting tip?
This is a model estimate, not a guarantee or a demonstrated profitable edge. Where the required result data is available, saved predictions are graded including misses. An unavailable market result stays ungraded.

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Related

Pro LeagueRAAL La Louviere fixtures and statsClub Brugge fixtures and statsTrack record

Model estimates; validation depends on the market and available sample. We publish our track record, including the misses. 18+. For information only, not betting advice. If gambling is a problem, visit BeGambleAware.