ChampionshipQPR vs Preston Corners
model probability
Expert AI analysis
The model makes Over 9.5 corners at 53.3%, its strongest read on the Corners market. The total-corners ladder runs from 77.4% for over 7.5 to 23.1% for over 12.5, with over 9.5 the closest line to a coin-flip at 54.9%. Head to head on corners, QPR are the model’s pick to win the corner count at 61.4%, with a level count at 10.0%. These are the model’s own calibrated numbers, not betting advice.
Corners
Total corners, every line
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 7.5 corners | 77.4% | 22.6% |
| 8.5 corners | 66.7% | 33.3% |
| 9.5 corners | 54.9% | 45.1% |
| 10.5 corners | 43.1% | 56.9% |
| 11.5 corners | 32.3% | 67.7% |
| 12.5 corners | 23.1% | 76.9% |
Who wins the corner count
Team corner lines
80.0%
66.4%
51.6%
59.2%
41.7%
26.9%
Corner handicap
| QPR line | QPR | Preston |
|---|---|---|
| -3.5 | 30.0% | 70.0% |
| -1.5 | 50.7% | 49.3% |
| -0.5 | 61.4% | 38.6% |
| +0.5 | 71.4% | 28.6% |
This season (2026/27)
6.4QPR corners won per game4.0QPR corners conceded per game5.6Preston corners won per game4.9Preston corners conceded per gameCorners track territory and shot volume more than the scoreline, below are the model total-corner probabilities. The model edges QPR.
In-depth analysis
These are calibrated model probabilities, not tips. Calibration is our edge, not beating the market.
54.9%Over 9.5 corners66.4%QPR over 4.5 corners41.7%Preston over 4.5 corners50.0%Odd corner totalSplit by side, QPR over 4.5 corners sits at 66.4% and Preston at 41.7%. This season QPR have averaged 6.4 corners won a game and Preston 5.6.
Model lenses
Different analytical lenses our model applies to the same calibrated data, not separate tipsters, and never a tip.
FAQ
How many corners in QPR vs Preston?
The model rates over 9.5 total corners at 54.9% for QPR vs Preston.
Which team will win the corner count in QPR vs Preston?
The model rates QPR to win the corner count at 61.4%, with a level count at 10.0%.
How many corners do QPR and Preston average this season?
QPR have won 6.4 corners a game this season and Preston 5.6.
How is this probability calculated?
We fit a goals and markets model (Dixon-Coles plus an xG strength model and an ensemble) on real match data, then calibrate the output against out-of-sample results. It is a calibrated model probability, not an odds-derived tip.
Is this a betting tip?
No – these are calibrated model probabilities, graded against real results. We publish our full track record, including the misses, and never claim to beat the closing market.
Corners accuracy
How our Corners calls have actually performed, graded out-of-sample against real results.
In 23,762 matches we rated like this one (50–60%), Corners actually happened 54.2% of the time.
Predictions & track record updated 19 Sep 2026. See the full, dated track record →
Our last 10 Corners calls
The model’s most recent graded Corners predictions, out-of-sample. Green means the call hit, red means it missed. The number is the model confidence on each.
More Championship, Corners
Related
Model probabilities, calibration-graded, not a tip. We publish our track record, including the misses. 18+. For information only, not betting advice. If gambling is a problem, visit BeGambleAware.
