AI-Powered Match Intelligence· How our model works· updated 13 Oct 2026

Ligue 2
Pau FCPau FCLDDLW
Full time3-2Fri, 9 Oct 20269/1019:00UK
LavalLavalDLLLD

Pau FC 3-2 Laval corners: our prediction vs the result

Pre-match model estimates. Based on the Road2Sushi model. Not guaranteed outcomes.

Under 9.5 cornersBoth teams combined56%
Over 9.5 cornersBoth teams combined44%

Result

Pau FC3-2Laval
8 cornersPau FC 3, Laval 5
Under 9.5

We called Under 9.5 at 56.0% and it landed (8 in the match).

Model read

Close to a coin-flip, barely a lean.

Conviction is how far the model's probability sits from an even 50/50: Strong at 18 points or more, Moderate at 8 points or more, Lean below that.

Conviction: Lean

Over 9.5 corners44.0%

Corners

Model probabilities for this match. Over means more than the stated line; Under means fewer. For example, over 2.5 requires at least 3. These estimates are not bookmaker odds.

Corner counts follow pressure and wide play, below are the model total-corner probabilities. The model edges Pau FC.

Total corners

Both teams combined.

Line Over Under
7.5 corners 68.4% 31.6%
8.5 corners 56.3% 43.8%
9.5 corners 44.0% 56.0%
10.5 corners 32.8% 67.2%
11.5 corners 23.2% 76.8%
12.5 corners 15.7% 84.3%

Who wins the corner count

Pau FC
58.0%
Level
10.7%
Laval
31.3%

Team corners lines

Pau FC

Over 3.5
72.7%
Over 4.5
57.3%
Over 5.5
42.1%

Laval

Over 3.5
54.2%
Over 4.5
36.9%
Over 5.5
23.0%

Corner handicap

The four handicap lines closest to an even split. The line is Pau FC's; Laval gets the opposite line. Half lines have no push.

Pau FC line Pau FC Laval
-3.5 26.0% 74.0%
-1.5 46.7% 53.3%
-0.5 58.0% 42.0%
+0.5 68.7% 31.3%
Pau FCPau FC

Corner trends

2026/27 · Recorded results. At this venue means Pau FC at home and Laval away. A rate appears only after five matches with the figure, three for the home or away split; a missing value is never zero.

LavalLaval
Statistic
Pau FC
Laval
Corners won per game at this venue
6.3
6.0

Corners conceded per game at this venue
2.8
4.7

Bar scales · Corners per game: 0–10. Each team uses the same scale for each metric.

Corners accuracy

How our Corners calls have actually done, each one scored against the real result on matches the model had never seen.

54.0%Best Corners call, hit rate
0.0095Calibration error
50,938Matches graded

In 21,932 matches we rated like this one (40–50%), Corners actually happened 47.7% of the time.

Predictions & track record updated 27 Oct 2026.

See the full, dated track record

Our last 10 Corners calls

Our most recent Corners calls, each one scored against the result. The model had never seen these matches when it made them. Green means we got it right, red means we got it wrong, and the number is how sure we were.

✗ 55.9%✓ 52.1%✓ 53.5%✓ 50.6%✓ 53.9%✗ 51.1%✗ 50.7%✗ 58.3%✓ 55.7%✗ 59.5%
5 of 10 recent calls hit.
Sevilla vs Osasuna2026-10-26Under 9.5 55.9%Miss
Paris SG vs Lyon2026-10-26Over 9.5 52.1%Hit
Santa Clara vs Benfica2026-10-26Under 9.5 53.5%Hit
Besiktas vs Buyuksehyr2026-10-26Under 9.5 50.6%Hit
Rizespor vs Trabzonspor2026-10-26Under 9.5 53.9%Hit
Model analysis: reasoning, key facts and model lenses

Expert AI analysis

The headline read is Over 9.5 corners at 44.0%, its strongest read on the Corners market. The total-corners ladder runs from 68.4% for over 7.5 to 15.7% for over 12.5, with over 9.5 the closest line to a coin-flip at 44.0%. Between the two sides, Pau FC are the model’s pick to win the corner count at 58.0%, with a level count at 10.7%. This is a model estimate; validation depends on the market and available sample.

In-depth analysis

Split by side, Pau FC over 4.5 corners sits at 57.3% and Laval at 36.9%. This season Pau FC have averaged 4.7 corners won a game and Laval 5.6.

We publish the model, not a sure thing. We score every call against the result after the match.

44.0%Over 9.5 corners
58.0%Most corners: Pau FC
57.3%Pau FC over 4.5 corners
36.9%Laval over 4.5 corners
50.0%Odd corner total

Model lenses

The same numbers read in different ways by one model. These are not separate tipsters, and none of them is a tip.

The ModelPublished estimate: 44.0% on Corners. Validation depends on the market and sample; this percentage is not a measured hit rate.
The Territory ReaderPau FC are the pick to win the corner count at 58.0%, the count usually goes the way of the side doing the attacking.
The Line SetterThe fairest total line is 9.5 corners: over sits at 44.0%, the closest to a coin-flip on the ladder.
Pau FCPau FC

This season

2026/27 · Recorded results.

LavalLaval
Statistic
Pau FC
Laval
corners won per game
4.7
5.6

corners conceded per game
4.0
4.3

Bar scales · Corners per game: 0–10. Each team uses the same scale for each metric.

FAQ

How many corners in Pau FC vs Laval?
Before kickoff, the model rated over 9.5 total corners at 44.0% for Pau FC vs Laval.
Which team will win the corner count in Pau FC vs Laval?
Before kickoff, the model rated Pau FC to win the corner count at 58.0%, with a level count at 10.7%.
How many corners do Pau FC and Laval average this season?
Pau FC have won 4.7 corners a game this season and Laval 5.6.
How is this probability calculated?
The estimate comes from models fitted to recorded match data. Calibration and validation depend on the market, league and available sample; the percentage alone does not establish accuracy or a profitable price.
Is this a betting tip?
This is a model estimate, not a guarantee or a demonstrated profitable edge. Where the required result data is available, saved predictions are graded including misses. An unavailable market result stays ungraded.

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Corner predictions today

Related

Ligue 2Pau FC fixtures and statsLaval fixtures and statsTrack record

Model estimates; validation depends on the market and available sample. We publish our track record, including the misses. 18+. For information only, not betting advice. If gambling is a problem, visit BeGambleAware.