AI-Powered Match Intelligence· How our model works· updated 27 Oct 2026

Super League Greece
PanetolikosPanetolikosLLLLL
Sun, 1 Nov 20261/1116:00UK
OFI CreteOFI CreteWDLLW

Panetolikos vs OFI Crete cards prediction

Based on the Road2Sushi model. Not guaranteed outcomes.

Over 3.5 cardsBoth teams combined70.9%
Under 3.5 cardsBoth teams combined29.1%

Model read

A clear lean on the model's numbers.

Conviction is how far the model's probability sits from an even 50/50: Strong at 18 points or more, Moderate at 8 points or more, Lean below that.

Conviction: Strong

Over 3.5 cards70.9%

Cards (bookings)

Model probabilities for this match. Over means more than the stated line; Under means fewer. For example, over 2.5 requires at least 3. These estimates are not bookmaker odds.

Yellow-card estimates use recorded match data; bookmaker settlement rules may differ, these are the model total-booking probabilities for Panetolikos vs OFI Crete. Slightly more cards are projected for OFI Crete for the most cards.

Total cards

Both teams combined.

Line Over Under
2.5 cards 86.0% 14.0%
3.5 cards 70.9% 29.1%
4.5 cards 52.8% 47.2%
5.5 cards 35.3% 64.7%

Who picks up more cards

Panetolikos
38.1%
Level
18.7%
OFI Crete
43.2%

Team cards lines

Panetolikos

Over 1.5
67.8%
Over 2.5
41.4%

OFI Crete

Over 1.5
70.9%
Over 2.5
45.2%

Card handicap

The four handicap lines closest to an even split. The line is Panetolikos's; OFI Crete gets the opposite line. Half lines have no push.

Panetolikos line Panetolikos OFI Crete
-1.5 22.0% 78.0%
-0.5 38.1% 61.9%
+0.5 56.8% 43.2%
+1.5 73.9% 26.1%

Red card

Any red card16.8%
Panetolikos red card6.7%
OFI Crete red card10.7%

Fouls

Line Over Under
20.5 fouls 91.1% 8.9%
22.5 fouls 83.9% 16.1%
24.5 fouls 74.0% 26.0%
PanetolikosPanetolikos

Card trends

2026/27 · Recorded results. At this venue means Panetolikos at home and OFI Crete away. A rate appears only after five matches with the figure, three for the home or away split; a missing value is never zero.

OFI CreteOFI Crete
Statistic
Panetolikos
OFI Crete
Yellow cards per game
3.0
1.6

First-half yellow cards per game
1.4
0.3

Second-half yellow cards per game
1.6
1.3

Matches with more cards than the opponent
80.0%
·

Matches with card data
5
3
Red cards this season
0
·

Bar scales · Cards per game: 0–5 · Recorded rate (%): 0–100. Each team uses the same scale for each metric.

Cards accuracy

How our Cards calls have actually done, each one scored against the real result on matches the model had never seen.

61.4%Best Cards call, hit rate
0.0222Calibration error
50,939Matches graded

In 8,516 matches we rated like this one (70–80%), Cards actually happened 73.2% of the time.

Predictions & track record updated 27 Oct 2026.

See the full, dated track record

Our last 10 Cards calls

Our most recent Cards calls, each one scored against the result. The model had never seen these matches when it made them. Green means we got it right, red means we got it wrong, and the number is how sure we were.

✗ 70.8%✓ 59.6%✓ 74.0%✗ 68.1%✓ 61.1%✓ 73.2%✓ 52.7%✓ 56.5%✗ 50.6%✗ 79.2%
6 of 10 recent calls hit.
Sevilla vs Osasuna2026-10-26Over 3.5 70.8%Miss
Paris SG vs Lyon2026-10-26Under 3.5 59.6%Hit
Santa Clara vs Benfica2026-10-26Over 3.5 74.0%Hit
Besiktas vs Buyuksehyr2026-10-26Over 3.5 68.1%Miss
Rizespor vs Trabzonspor2026-10-26Over 3.5 61.1%Hit
Model analysis: reasoning, key facts and model lenses

Expert AI analysis

The model makes Over 3.5 cards at 70.9%, its strongest read on the Cards market. Across the lines, the model goes from 86.0% for over 2.5 to 35.3% for over 5.5, with over 4.5 the closest line to a coin-flip at 52.8%. Head to head on cards, OFI Crete are the model’s pick to pick up more cards at 43.2%, with a level count at 18.7%. Read the recorded data and validation context alongside the estimate.

In-depth analysis

For the team lines, Panetolikos over 1.5 cards sits at 67.8% and OFI Crete at 70.9%. A red card for either side is rated at 16.8% (Panetolikos 6.7%, OFI Crete 10.7%).

We publish the model, not a sure thing. What we are good at is getting the percentage right, not at beating the bookmakers.

70.9%Over 3.5 cards
16.8%Any red card
43.2%Most cards: OFI Crete
67.8%Panetolikos over 1.5 cards
70.9%OFI Crete over 1.5 cards
83.9%Over 22.5 fouls

Model lenses

The same numbers read in different ways by one model. These are not separate tipsters, and none of them is a tip.

The ModelPublished estimate: 70.9% on Cards. Validation depends on the market and sample; this percentage is not a measured hit rate.
The FlashpointAny red card is rated at 16.8%, a low-probability event, but one that reshapes every line when it lands.
The DisciplinarianOFI Crete are the pick to collect more cards at 43.2%, bookings follow the side defending under pressure.
The Line SetterThe fairest total line is 4.5 cards: over sits at 52.8%, the closest to a coin-flip on the ladder.
PanetolikosPanetolikos

This season

2026/27 · Recorded results.

OFI CreteOFI Crete
Statistic
Panetolikos
OFI Crete
cards per game
3.0
·

fouls per game
16.0
11.7

Bar scales · Cards per game: 0–5 · Fouls per game: 0–20. Each team uses the same scale for each metric.

FAQ

How many cards in Panetolikos vs OFI Crete?
The model rates over 3.5 total cards at 70.9% for Panetolikos vs OFI Crete.
Will there be a red card in Panetolikos vs OFI Crete?
The model rates a red card for either side at 16.8%.
Which team will pick up more cards in Panetolikos vs OFI Crete?
The model rates OFI Crete to pick up more cards at 43.2%, with a level count at 18.7%.
How is this probability calculated?
The estimate comes from models fitted to recorded match data. Calibration and validation depend on the market, league and available sample; the percentage alone does not establish accuracy or a profitable price.
Is this a betting tip?
This is a model estimate, not a guarantee or a demonstrated profitable edge. Where the required result data is available, saved predictions are graded including misses. An unavailable market result stays ungraded.

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Super League GreecePanetolikos fixtures and statsOFI Crete fixtures and statsTrack record

Model estimates; validation depends on the market and available sample. We publish our track record, including the misses. 18+. For information only, not betting advice. If gambling is a problem, visit BeGambleAware.