Super League Greece
PanetolikosPanetolikosLLLLL
Sun, 1 Nov 20261/1116:00UK
OFI CreteOFI CreteWDLLW

Panetolikos vs OFI Crete over / under 2.5 goals prediction

Based on the Road2Sushi model. Not guaranteed outcomes.

Under 2.5 goalsBoth teams combined54.7%
Over 2.5 goalsBoth teams combined45.3%

Model read

Close to a coin-flip, barely a lean.

Conviction is how far the model's probability sits from an even 50/50: Strong at 18 points or more, Moderate at 8 points or more, Lean below that.

Conviction: Lean

Under 2.5 goals54.7%

Over / Under 2.5 Goals

Over 2.545.3%
Model leanUnder 2.554.7%

Total goals, every line

Both teams combined. Over means more goals than the line, Under means fewer.

Line Over Under
0.5 goals 91.1% 9.0%
1.5 goals 71.7% 28.3%
2.5 goals 45.3% 54.7%
3.5 goals 24.0% 76.0%
4.5 goals 10.7% 89.3%
5.5 goals 4.1% 95.9%

Team goal lines

Panetolikos over 0.5
72.6%
Panetolikos over 1.5
37.1%
Panetolikos over 2.5
14.2%
OFI Crete over 0.5
69.7%
OFI Crete over 1.5
33.5%
OFI Crete over 2.5
11.9%

First-half goals

Line Over Under
0.5 goals 73.8% 26.2%
1.5 goals 38.7% 61.4%
2.5 goals 15.2% 84.8%

Second-half goals

Line Over Under
0.5 goals 75.6% 24.4%
1.5 goals 41.1% 58.9%
2.5 goals 16.9% 83.1%

Goals distribution

How likely each total number of goals is, according to the model. Every goals market on this page is built from these bars. The 5+ bar covers every result with five goals or more.

9.0%

0

19.4%

1

26.4%

2

21.3%

3

13.3%

4

10.4%

5+

Recent trends

How often both teams scored and the match went over 2.5 in each side's recent games.

PanetolikosBTTS 1/5Over 2.5 3/5
OFI CreteBTTS 3/5Over 2.5 4/5

Form & head-to-head

Recent form uses each club’s available results in their stored order. Select a W/D/L result for details.

Head-to-head figures use their own recorded sample. Where individual results are available, the figures and journal cover the same meetings. Missing results are never counted as draws.

PanetolikosPanetolikosLast 5
L
Loss · 0-3
L
Loss · 1-3
L
Loss · 0-2
L
Loss · 0-2
L
Loss · 0-5

0 wins · 0 draws · 5 losses

OFI CreteOFI CreteLast 5
W
Win · 1-0
D
Draw · 2-2
L
Loss · 0-3
L
Loss · 3-4
W
Win · 2-1

2 wins · 1 draw · 2 losses

W Win
D Draw
L Loss

Head-to-head

Last 5 meetings

4PanetolikosPanetolikos wins
0Draws
1OFI CreteOFI Crete wins
2.8Average goals
Date
Home team
Score
Away team
OFI CreteOFI Crete
1 – 0
PanetolikosPanetolikos
PanetolikosPanetolikos
4 – 2
OFI CreteOFI Crete
PanetolikosPanetolikos
1 – 0
OFI CreteOFI Crete
OFI CreteOFI Crete
1 – 2
PanetolikosPanetolikos
OFI CreteOFI Crete
1 – 2
PanetolikosPanetolikos

Match outlook

PickPanetolikos38.3%
Draw28.3%
OFI Crete33.4%

The model leans Panetolikos to win.

See the full prediction

Over / Under 2.5 Goals accuracy

How our Over / Under 2.5 Goals calls have actually done, each one scored against the real result on matches the model had never seen.

55.6%Best Over / Under 2.5 Goals call, hit rate
0.0189Calibration error
72,238Matches graded

In 27,162 matches we rated like this one (40–50%), Over / Under 2.5 Goals actually happened 47.1% of the time.

Predictions & track record updated 27 Oct 2026.

See the full, dated track record

Our last 10 Over / Under 2.5 Goals calls

Our most recent Over / Under 2.5 Goals calls, each one scored against the result. The model had never seen these matches when it made them. Green means we got it right, red means we got it wrong, and the number is how sure we were.

✓ 56.5%✗ 62.3%✗ 52.0%✗ 55.7%✓ 58.7%✓ 65.3%✗ 55.1%✓ 56.0%✗ 58.7%✗ 63.6%
4 of 10 recent calls hit.
Sevilla vs Osasuna2026-10-26Under 56.5%Hit
Paris SG vs Lyon2026-10-26Over 62.3%Miss
Santa Clara vs Benfica2026-10-26Under 52.0%Miss
Besiktas vs Buyuksehyr2026-10-26Over 55.7%Miss
Rizespor vs Trabzonspor2026-10-26Over 58.7%Hit
Model analysis: reasoning, key facts and model lenses

Expert AI analysis

Our model lands on Under 2.5 goals at 54.7%, its strongest read on the Over / Under 2.5 Goals market. The goals picture is built on form: Panetolikos have averaged 0.2 scored and 3.0 conceded, OFI Crete 1.6 and 2.0 over their recent games. That fits a balanced goals environment: 45.3% for over 2.5 and 71.7% for at least two goals. Their last 5 meetings have averaged 2.8 goals a game. Panetolikos have gone over 2.5 in 3 of their last 5, OFI Crete in 4 of 5. This is a model estimate; validation depends on the market and available sample.

In-depth analysis

For the goal environment, the model sees 45.3% for three or more goals and 71.7% for at least two, painting a balanced picture. Given Panetolikos favoured at 38.3%, neither side dominating can mean an end-to-end match.

These are the model’s own percentages, not tips. What we are good at is getting the percentage right, not at beating the bookmakers.

38.3%Favoured: Panetolikos
51.2%Both Teams to Score
45.3%Over 2.5 goals

Model lenses

The same numbers read in different ways by one model. These are not separate tipsters, and none of them is a tip.

The ModelPublished estimate: 54.7% on Over / Under 2.5 Goals. Validation depends on the market and sample; this percentage is not a measured hit rate.
The TacticianProjects a balanced game from the 45.3% over 2.5 read.
The ScoutPanetolikos are the model’s pick on the result at 38.3%, context for how the goals may flow.
The RealistThis one sits near a coin-flip, the honest read is low conviction, no strong lean.
PanetolikosPanetolikos

This season

2026/27 · Recorded results.

OFI CreteOFI Crete
Statistic
Panetolikos
OFI Crete
goals scored per game
1.0
1.6

goals conceded per game
2.0
1.5

Over 2.5 rate
50.0%
62.5%

1st-half goals per game
0.3
0.8

Bar scales · Goals per game: 0–3 · Recorded rate (%): 0–100. Each team uses the same scale for each metric.

FAQ

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Panetolikos vs OFI Crete?
Our model rates Over 2.5 goals at 45.3% for Panetolikos vs OFI Crete.
Will there be a first-half goal in Panetolikos vs OFI Crete?
The model rates at least one goal before half-time at 73.8%.
How often have Panetolikos gone over 2.5 recently?
Panetolikos have gone over 2.5 in 3 of their last 5, OFI Crete in 4 of 5.
How is this probability calculated?
The estimate comes from models fitted to recorded match data. Calibration and validation depend on the market, league and available sample; the percentage alone does not establish accuracy or a profitable price.
Is this a betting tip?
This is a model estimate, not a guarantee or a demonstrated profitable edge. Where the required result data is available, saved predictions are graded including misses. An unavailable market result stays ungraded.

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Model estimates; validation depends on the market and available sample. We publish our track record, including the misses. 18+. For information only, not betting advice. If gambling is a problem, visit BeGambleAware.