Bundesliga
M'gladbachM'gladbachLLLLL
Full time1-2Sun, 18 Oct 202618/1016:30UK10°C · Cloudy
HoffenheimHoffenheimLLWLL

Borussia Monchengladbach 1-2 Hoffenheim both teams to score: our prediction vs the result

Pre-match model estimates. Based on the Road2Sushi model. Not guaranteed outcomes.

Both teams to score: Yes67.6%
Both teams to score: No32.4%

Result

M'gladbach1-2Hoffenheim
Yes

We called Yes at 67.6% and it landed.

Model read

A moderate lean, nothing emphatic.

Conviction is how far the model's probability sits from an even 50/50: Strong at 18 points or more, Moderate at 8 points or more, Lean below that.

Conviction: Moderate

Both teams to score · Yes67.6%

Both Teams to Score

YesModel lean67.6%
No32.4%

Related market Over 2.5 goals 66.4%

Recent scoring & conceding

Goals scored and conceded per game over each side's recent matches. The bar runs from 0 to 3.5 goals per game.

M'gladbach scored
1.4
M'gladbach conceded
3.6
Hoffenheim scored
1.8
Hoffenheim conceded
2.6

Each team to score

M'gladbach to score81.7%
M'gladbach 2+ goals50.6%
Hoffenheim to score82.1%
Hoffenheim 2+ goals51.4%

By half

Both score in 1st half33.4%
Both score in 2nd half35.4%

Goals distribution

How likely each total number of goals is, according to the model. Every goals market on this page is built from these bars. The 5+ bar covers every result with five goals or more.

3.8%

0

10.3%

1

19.6%

2

21.7%

3

18.6%

4

24.3%

5+

Recent trends

How often both teams scored and the match went over 2.5 in each side's recent games.

M'gladbachBTTS 3/5Over 2.5 5/5
HoffenheimBTTS 5/5Over 2.5 5/5

Form & head-to-head

Recent form uses each club’s available results in their stored order. Select a W/D/L result for details.

Head-to-head figures use their own recorded sample. Where individual results are available, the figures and journal cover the same meetings. Missing results are never counted as draws.

M'gladbachM'gladbachLast 5
L
Loss · 0-3
L
Loss · 3-4
L
Loss · 0-5
L
Loss · 3-4
L
Loss · 1-2

0 wins · 0 draws · 5 losses

HoffenheimHoffenheimLast 5
L
Loss · 2-3
L
Loss · 2-3
W
Win · 2-1
L
Loss · 1-3
L
Loss · 2-3

1 win · 0 draws · 4 losses

W Win
D Draw
L Loss

Head-to-head

Last 5 meetings

2M'gladbachM'gladbach wins
1Draws
2HoffenheimHoffenheim wins
5.6Average goals
Date
Home team
Score
Away team
M'gladbachM'gladbach
4 – 0
HoffenheimHoffenheim
HoffenheimHoffenheim
5 – 1
M'gladbachM'gladbach
M'gladbachM'gladbach
4 – 4
HoffenheimHoffenheim
HoffenheimHoffenheim
1 – 2
M'gladbachM'gladbach
HoffenheimHoffenheim
4 – 3
M'gladbachM'gladbach

Match outlook

M'gladbach37.8%
Draw23.7%
PickHoffenheim38.6%

The model leans Hoffenheim to win.

See the full prediction

Both Teams to Score accuracy

How our Both Teams to Score calls have actually done, each one scored against the real result on matches the model had never seen.

53.4%Best Both Teams to Score call, hit rate
0.0218Calibration error
72,238Matches graded

In 7,845 matches we rated like this one (60–70%), Both Teams to Score actually happened 58.7% of the time.

Predictions & track record updated 27 Oct 2026.

See the full, dated track record

Our last 10 Both Teams to Score calls

Our most recent Both Teams to Score calls, each one scored against the result. The model had never seen these matches when it made them. Green means we got it right, red means we got it wrong, and the number is how sure we were.

✓ 50.5%✗ 57.9%✗ 55.0%✗ 58.1%✓ 61.6%✓ 65.1%✓ 51.0%✗ 51.9%✗ 52.7%✗ 56.6%
4 of 10 recent calls hit.
Sevilla vs Osasuna2026-10-26No 50.5%Hit
Paris SG vs Lyon2026-10-26Yes 57.9%Miss
Santa Clara vs Benfica2026-10-26No 55.0%Miss
Besiktas vs Buyuksehyr2026-10-26Yes 58.1%Miss
Rizespor vs Trabzonspor2026-10-26Yes 61.6%Hit
Model analysis: reasoning, key facts and model lenses

Expert AI analysis

The model makes Both teams to score · Yes at 67.6%, its strongest read on the Both Teams to Score market. The goals picture is built on form: M'gladbach have averaged 1.4 scored and 3.6 conceded, Hoffenheim 1.8 and 2.6 over their recent games. That fits an open goals environment: 66.4% for over 2.5 and 86.0% for at least two goals. Their last 5 meetings have averaged 5.6 goals a game. M'gladbach have seen both teams score in 3 of their last 5, Hoffenheim in 5 of 5. The published percentage is an estimate, not a guarantee or a measured hit rate.

In-depth analysis

For the goal environment, the model sees 66.4% for three or more goals and 86.0% for at least two, painting a high-scoring picture. Given Hoffenheim favoured at 38.6%, neither side dominating can mean an end-to-end match.

We publish the model, not a sure thing. What we are good at is getting the percentage right, not at beating the bookmakers.

38.6%Favoured: Hoffenheim
67.6%Both Teams to Score
66.4%Over 2.5 goals

Model lenses

The same numbers read in different ways by one model. These are not separate tipsters, and none of them is a tip.

The ModelPublished estimate: 67.6% on Both Teams to Score. Validation depends on the market and sample; this percentage is not a measured hit rate.
The TacticianReads an open, higher-tempo game from the 66.4% over 2.5 read.
The ScoutHoffenheim are the model’s pick on the result at 38.6%, context for how the goals may flow.
M'gladbachM'gladbach

This season

2026/27 · Recorded results.

HoffenheimHoffenheim
Statistic
M'gladbach
Hoffenheim
BTTS rate
60.0%
100.0%

clean sheets
0.0%
0.0%

goals scored per game
1.4
1.8

Bar scales · Recorded rate (%): 0–100 · Goals per game: 0–3. Each team uses the same scale for each metric.

Players to watch

Published player-market probabilities, shown in kickoff order. Model estimates, not confirmed lineups.

How our football predictions work →

M'gladbachM'gladbach (1)
Tim Kleindienst
Watch list
Prediction markets
Model %
Fair odds
Save
To score
34.4%
2.91
1+ shot on target
63.3%
1.58
2+ shots
58.5%
1.71
Per 90 minutes (recent averages)
Shots2.24
On target1.14
Goals0.48
HoffenheimHoffenheim (1)
Adam Hlozek
Watch list
Prediction markets
Model %
Fair odds
Save
To score
24.3%
4.12
1+ shot on target
54.2%
1.85
2+ shots
58.5%
1.71
Per 90 minutes (recent averages)
Shots2.97
On target1.18
Goals0.42

FAQ

Did both teams score in M'gladbach vs Hoffenheim?
We rated Both Teams to Score at 67.6%. Both teams scored, final score 1-2.
How is this probability calculated?
The estimate comes from models fitted to recorded match data. Calibration and validation depend on the market, league and available sample; the percentage alone does not establish accuracy or a profitable price.
Is this a betting tip?
This is a model estimate, not a guarantee or a demonstrated profitable edge. Where the required result data is available, saved predictions are graded including misses. An unavailable market result stays ungraded.

More Bundesliga, Both Teams to Score

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Related

Model estimates; validation depends on the market and available sample. We publish our track record, including the misses. 18+. For information only, not betting advice. If gambling is a problem, visit BeGambleAware.