Pro League
Lommel SKLommel SKLLDWD
Sun, 1 Nov 20261/1117:30UK
GentGentWDWWW

Lommel SK vs Gent corners prediction

Based on the Road2Sushi model. Not guaranteed outcomes.

Over 9.5 cornersBoth teams combined55.7%
Under 9.5 cornersBoth teams combined44.3%

Model read

Close to a coin-flip, barely a lean.

Conviction is how far the model's probability sits from an even 50/50: Strong at 18 points or more, Moderate at 8 points or more, Lean below that.

Conviction: Lean

Over 9.5 corners55.7%

Corners

Model probabilities for this match. Over means more than the stated line; Under means fewer. For example, over 2.5 requires at least 3. These estimates are not bookmaker odds.

The corners market rewards teams that camp in the final third, below are the model total-corner probabilities. The model edges Lommel SK.

Total corners

Both teams combined.

Line Over Under
7.5 corners 78.1% 21.9%
8.5 corners 67.5% 32.5%
9.5 corners 55.7% 44.3%
10.5 corners 43.9% 56.1%
11.5 corners 33.0% 67.0%
12.5 corners 23.6% 76.4%

Who wins the corner count

Lommel SK
52.8%
Level
10.5%
Gent
36.7%

Team corners lines

Lommel SK

Over 3.5
76.0%
Over 4.5
61.2%
Over 5.5
45.9%

Gent

Over 3.5
66.0%
Over 4.5
49.2%
Over 5.5
33.8%

Corner handicap

The four handicap lines closest to an even split. The line is Lommel SK's; Gent gets the opposite line. Half lines have no push.

Lommel SK line Lommel SK Gent
-1.5 42.2% 57.8%
-0.5 52.8% 47.2%
+0.5 63.3% 36.7%
+1.5 72.8% 27.2%

Corners accuracy

How our Corners calls have actually done, each one scored against the real result on matches the model had never seen.

54.0%Best Corners call, hit rate
0.0095Calibration error
50,938Matches graded

In 24,028 matches we rated like this one (50–60%), Corners actually happened 54.2% of the time.

Predictions & track record updated 28 Oct 2026.

See the full, dated track record

Our last 10 Corners calls

Our most recent Corners calls, each one scored against the result. The model had never seen these matches when it made them. Green means we got it right, red means we got it wrong, and the number is how sure we were.

✗ 55.9%✓ 52.1%✓ 53.5%✓ 50.6%✓ 53.9%✗ 51.1%✗ 50.7%✗ 58.3%✓ 55.7%✗ 59.5%
5 of 10 recent calls hit.
Sevilla vs Osasuna2026-10-26Under 9.5 55.9%Miss
Paris SG vs Lyon2026-10-26Over 9.5 52.1%Hit
Santa Clara vs Benfica2026-10-26Under 9.5 53.5%Hit
Besiktas vs Buyuksehyr2026-10-26Under 9.5 50.6%Hit
Rizespor vs Trabzonspor2026-10-26Under 9.5 53.9%Hit
Model analysis: reasoning, key facts and model lenses

Expert AI analysis

Our model lands on Over 9.5 corners at 55.7%, its strongest read on the Corners market. Across the lines, the model goes from 78.1% for over 7.5 to 23.6% for over 12.5, with over 9.5 the closest line to a coin-flip at 55.7%. On the corner count, Lommel SK are the model’s pick to win the corner count at 52.8%, with a level count at 10.5%. The published percentage is an estimate, not a guarantee or a measured hit rate.

In-depth analysis

Split by side, Lommel SK over 4.5 corners sits at 61.2% and Gent at 49.2%. This season Lommel SK have averaged 3.9 corners won a game and Gent 4.2.

These are the model’s own percentages, not tips. We score every call against the result after the match.

55.7%Over 9.5 corners
52.8%Most corners: Lommel SK
61.2%Lommel SK over 4.5 corners
49.2%Gent over 4.5 corners
50.0%Odd corner total

Model lenses

The same numbers read in different ways by one model. These are not separate tipsters, and none of them is a tip.

The ModelPublished estimate: 55.7% on Corners. Validation depends on the market and sample; this percentage is not a measured hit rate.
The Territory ReaderLommel SK are the pick to win the corner count at 52.8%, territory tends to follow the side forcing the play.
The Line SetterThe fairest total line is 9.5 corners: over sits at 55.7%, the closest to a coin-flip on the ladder.
Lommel SKLommel SK

This season

2026/27 · Recorded results.

GentGent
Statistic
Lommel SK
Gent
corners won per game
3.9
4.2

corners conceded per game
7.9
4.3

Bar scales · Corners per game: 0–10. Each team uses the same scale for each metric.

FAQ

How many corners in Lommel SK vs Gent?
The model rates over 9.5 total corners at 55.7% for Lommel SK vs Gent.
Which team will win the corner count in Lommel SK vs Gent?
The model rates Lommel SK to win the corner count at 52.8%, with a level count at 10.5%.
How many corners do Lommel SK and Gent average this season?
Lommel SK have won 3.9 corners a game this season and Gent 4.2.
How is this probability calculated?
The estimate comes from models fitted to recorded match data. Calibration and validation depend on the market, league and available sample; the percentage alone does not establish accuracy or a profitable price.
Is this a betting tip?
This is a model estimate, not a guarantee or a demonstrated profitable edge. Where the required result data is available, saved predictions are graded including misses. An unavailable market result stays ungraded.

More Pro League, Corners

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Model estimates; validation depends on the market and available sample. We publish our track record, including the misses. 18+. For information only, not betting advice. If gambling is a problem, visit BeGambleAware.