Süper Lig
Amedspor vs 
Besiktas Corners
model probability
Expert AI analysis
Our model lands on Over 9.5 corners at 46.8%, its strongest read on the Corners market. Across the lines, the model goes from 71.7% for over 7.5 to 17.9% for over 12.5, with over 9.5 the closest line to a coin-flip at 47.7%. On the corner count, Amedspor are the model’s pick to win the corner count at 51.9%, with a level count at 10.8%. It is a calibrated model probability, graded out-of-sample, not a tip.
Corners
Total corners, every line
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 7.5 corners | 71.7% | 28.3% |
| 8.5 corners | 59.9% | 40.1% |
| 9.5 corners | 47.7% | 52.3% |
| 10.5 corners | 36.1% | 63.9% |
| 11.5 corners | 26.1% | 73.9% |
| 12.5 corners | 17.9% | 82.1% |
Who wins the corner count
Team corner lines
71.1%
55.4%
40.2%
61.3%
44.3%
29.5%
Corner handicap
| Amedspor line | Amedspor | Besiktas |
|---|---|---|
| -1.5 | 41.0% | 59.0% |
| -0.5 | 51.9% | 48.1% |
| +0.5 | 62.7% | 37.3% |
| +1.5 | 72.5% | 27.5% |
This season (2026/27)
5.0Amedspor corners won per game3.4Amedspor corners conceded per game8.0Besiktas corners won per game3.6Besiktas corners conceded per gameCorner counts follow pressure and wide play, below are the model total-corner probabilities. More corners are projected for Amedspor.
In-depth analysis
47.7%Over 9.5 corners55.4%Amedspor over 4.5 corners44.3%Besiktas over 4.5 corners50.0%Odd corner totalBy team, Amedspor over 4.5 corners sits at 55.4% and Besiktas at 44.3%. This season Amedspor have averaged 5.0 corners won a game and Besiktas 8.0.
We publish the model, not a sure thing. The track record is public, misses included.
Model lenses
The same numbers read in different ways by one model. These are not separate tipsters, and none of them is a tip.
FAQ
How many corners in Amedspor vs Besiktas?
The model rates over 9.5 total corners at 47.7% for Amedspor vs Besiktas.
Which team will win the corner count in Amedspor vs Besiktas?
The model rates Amedspor to win the corner count at 51.9%, with a level count at 10.8%.
How many corners do Amedspor and Besiktas average this season?
Amedspor have won 5.0 corners a game this season and Besiktas 8.0.
How is this probability calculated?
We fit a goals and markets model (Dixon-Coles plus an xG strength model and an ensemble) on real match data, then calibrate the output against out-of-sample results. It is a calibrated model probability, not an odds-derived tip.
Is this a betting tip?
No – these are calibrated model probabilities, graded against real results. We publish our full track record, including the misses, and never claim to beat the closing market.
Corners accuracy
How our Corners calls have actually done, each one scored against the real result on matches the model had never seen.
In 21,621 matches we rated like this one (40–50%), Corners actually happened 47.7% of the time.
Predictions & track record updated 19 Sep 2026. See the full, dated track record →
Our last 10 Corners calls
Our most recent Corners calls, each one scored against the result. The model had never seen these matches when it made them. Green means we got it right, red means we got it wrong, and the number is how sure we were.
More Süper Lig, Corners
Related
Model probabilities, calibration-graded, not a tip. We publish our track record, including the misses. 18+. For information only, not betting advice. If gambling is a problem, visit BeGambleAware.
