Süper Lig
KasimpasaKasimpasaWDLWW
Sun, 1 Nov 20261/1116:00UK
BesiktasBesiktasWLWLW

Kasimpasa vs Besiktas correct score prediction

Based on the Road2Sushi model. Not guaranteed outcomes.

1-1 correct score12.7%
0-1 correct score9.2%
1-2 correct score8.9%

Model read

No single outcome dominates, read the distribution.

Conviction: Open

Most likely · 12.7%1-1

Correct score

Score distribution: the model probability of each exact score.

Rows = Kasimpasa goals, columns = Besiktas goals. The most likely scoreline is 1-1 at 12.7%.

The grid is the model's full scoreline distribution, not a single tip, but the shape of every plausible result. Darker cells carry more probability.

Most likely scorelines

  1. 1-112.7%
  2. 0-19.2%
  3. 1-28.9%
  4. 1-07.7%
  5. 2-17.5%
  6. 0-07.3%
  7. 0-27.2%
  8. 2-25.5%

Score probability grid

H / A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 7.3% 9.2% 7.2% 3.5% 1.3% 0.4%
1 7.7% 12.7% 8.9% 4.4% 1.6% 0.5%
2 5.1% 7.5% 5.5% 2.7% 1% 0.3%
3 2.1% 3.1% 2.3% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1%
4 0.7% 1% 0.7% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Rows: Kasimpasa · Columns: Besiktas

Goals distribution

How likely each total number of goals is, according to the model. Every goals market on this page is built from these bars. The 5+ bar covers every result with five goals or more.

7.3%

0

16.8%

1

25.1%

2

22.1%

3

14.9%

4

13.3%

5+

Form & head-to-head

Recent form uses each club’s available results in their stored order. Select a W/D/L result for details.

Head-to-head figures use their own recorded sample. Where individual results are available, the figures and journal cover the same meetings. Missing results are never counted as draws.

KasimpasaKasimpasaLast 5
W
Win · 2-1
D
Draw · 0-0
L
Loss · 1-3
W
Win · 4-1
W
Win · 1-0

3 wins · 1 draw · 1 loss

BesiktasBesiktasLast 5
W
Win · 3-0
L
Loss · 2-3
W
Win · 2-1
L
Loss · 0-2
W
Win · 2-0

3 wins · 0 draws · 2 losses

W Win
D Draw
L Loss

Head-to-head

Last 5 meetings

2KasimpasaKasimpasa wins
2Draws
1BesiktasBesiktas wins
2.8Average goals
Date
Home team
Score
Away team
BesiktasBesiktas
2 – 1
KasimpasaKasimpasa
KasimpasaKasimpasa
1 – 1
BesiktasBesiktas
KasimpasaKasimpasa
1 – 1
BesiktasBesiktas
BesiktasBesiktas
1 – 3
KasimpasaKasimpasa
KasimpasaKasimpasa
2 – 1
BesiktasBesiktas

Overall model accuracy

We don't yet publish a graded Correct Score-specific track record, so this is our overall accuracy across every 1X2 call, graded out-of-sample, updated daily.

0.0106Calibration error (1X2)
47.7%Top-pick hit rate (1X2)
56,038Matches graded

Predictions & track record updated 28 Oct 2026.

See the full, dated track record

Model analysis: reasoning, key facts and model lenses

Expert AI analysis

The headline read is Most likely · 12.7% at 1-1, its strongest read on the Correct Score market. It is driven by both attacks and defences: Kasimpasa have averaged 1.6 scored and 1.0 conceded, Besiktas 1.8 and 1.2 over their recent games. That fits a balanced goals environment: 50.8% for over 2.5 and 75.9% for at least two goals. Their last 5 meetings have averaged 2.8 goals a game. The published percentage is an estimate, not a guarantee or a measured hit rate.

In-depth analysis

Looking at totals, the model sees 50.8% for three or more goals and 75.9% for at least two, painting a balanced picture. With Besiktas favoured at 41.8%, a competitive game tends to open up.

Every figure here is what the model thinks, not advice. What we are good at is getting the percentage right, not at beating the bookmakers.

41.8%Favoured: Besiktas
55.3%Both Teams to Score
50.8%Over 2.5 goals

Model lenses

The same numbers read in different ways by one model. These are not separate tipsters, and none of them is a tip.

The ModelPublished estimate: 1-1 on Correct Score. Validation depends on the market and sample; this percentage is not a measured hit rate.
The TacticianProjects a balanced game from the 50.8% over 2.5 read.
The ScoutBesiktas are the model’s pick on the result at 41.8%, context for how the goals may flow.
The RealistThis one sits near a coin-flip, the honest read is low conviction, no strong lean.

FAQ

What is the most likely score in Kasimpasa vs Besiktas?
The model's most likely scoreline for Kasimpasa vs Besiktas is 1-1 at 12.7%.
How is this probability calculated?
The estimate comes from models fitted to recorded match data. Calibration and validation depend on the market, league and available sample; the percentage alone does not establish accuracy or a profitable price.
Is this a betting tip?
This is a model estimate, not a guarantee or a demonstrated profitable edge. Where the required result data is available, saved predictions are graded including misses. An unavailable market result stays ungraded.

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Related

Model estimates; validation depends on the market and available sample. We publish our track record, including the misses. 18+. For information only, not betting advice. If gambling is a problem, visit BeGambleAware.