Süper Lig
BuyuksehyrBuyuksehyrLWDWL
Sun, 1 Nov 20261/1113:00UK
SamsunsporSamsunsporLLLLL

Basaksehir vs Samsunspor correct score prediction

Based on the Road2Sushi model. Not guaranteed outcomes.

1-1 correct score10.7%
2-1 correct score9.9%
2-0 correct score9.6%

Model read

No single outcome dominates, read the distribution.

Conviction: Open

Most likely · 10.7%1-1

Correct score

Score distribution: the model probability of each exact score.

Rows = Buyuksehyr goals, columns = Samsunspor goals. The most likely scoreline is 1-1 at 10.7%.

Rather than one score, the model spreads probability across the whole grid, that distribution is the real signal. Read the heatmap as a map of likelihood, not a prediction of one score.

Most likely scorelines

  1. 1-110.7%
  2. 2-19.9%
  3. 2-09.6%
  4. 1-09.4%
  5. 3-16.5%
  6. 3-06.3%
  7. 0-05.6%
  8. 1-25.2%

Score probability grid

H / A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 5.6% 4.7% 2.7% 0.9% 0.2% 0.1%
1 9.4% 10.7% 5.2% 1.8% 0.5% 0.1%
2 9.6% 9.9% 5.1% 1.8% 0.4% 0.1%
3 6.3% 6.5% 3.3% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1%
4 3.1% 3.2% 1.6% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
5 1.2% 1.3% 0.7% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%

Rows: Buyuksehyr · Columns: Samsunspor

Goals distribution

How likely each total number of goals is, according to the model. Every goals market on this page is built from these bars. The 5+ bar covers every result with five goals or more.

5.6%

0

14.1%

1

23.0%

2

22.4%

3

16.7%

4

16.7%

5+

Form & head-to-head

Recent form uses each club’s available results in their stored order. Select a W/D/L result for details.

Head-to-head figures use their own recorded sample. Where individual results are available, the figures and journal cover the same meetings. Missing results are never counted as draws.

BuyuksehyrBuyuksehyrLast 5
L
Loss · 0-5
W
Win · 4-0
D
Draw · 0-0
W
Win · 2-1
L
Loss · 0-2

2 wins · 1 draw · 2 losses

SamsunsporSamsunsporLast 5
L
Loss · 1-5
L
Loss · 0-1
L
Loss · 0-3
L
Loss · 1-4
L
Loss · 1-2

0 wins · 0 draws · 5 losses

W Win
D Draw
L Loss

Head-to-head

Last 5 meetings

4BuyuksehyrBuyuksehyr wins
0Draws
1SamsunsporSamsunspor wins
2.4Average goals
Date
Home team
Score
Away team
BuyuksehyrBuyuksehyr
3 – 0
SamsunsporSamsunspor
SamsunsporSamsunspor
0 – 2
BuyuksehyrBuyuksehyr
BuyuksehyrBuyuksehyr
4 – 0
SamsunsporSamsunspor
SamsunsporSamsunspor
2 – 0
BuyuksehyrBuyuksehyr
BuyuksehyrBuyuksehyr
1 – 0
SamsunsporSamsunspor

Overall model accuracy

We don't yet publish a graded Correct Score-specific track record, so this is our overall accuracy across every 1X2 call, graded out-of-sample, updated daily.

0.0106Calibration error (1X2)
47.7%Top-pick hit rate (1X2)
56,038Matches graded

Predictions & track record updated 27 Oct 2026.

See the full, dated track record

Model analysis: reasoning, key facts and model lenses

Expert AI analysis

The model makes Most likely · 10.7% at 1-1, its strongest read on the Correct Score market. It is driven by both attacks and defences: Buyuksehyr have averaged 1.2 scored and 1.6 conceded, Samsunspor 0.6 and 3.0 over their recent games. That fits an open goals environment: 57.4% for over 2.5 and 80.4% for at least two goals. Their last 5 meetings have averaged 2.4 goals a game. The published percentage is an estimate, not a guarantee or a measured hit rate.

In-depth analysis

Looking at totals, the model sees 57.4% for three or more goals and 80.4% for at least two, painting a balanced picture. Given Buyuksehyr favoured at 58.5%, neither side dominating can mean an end-to-end match.

We publish the model, not a sure thing. What we are good at is getting the percentage right, not at beating the bookmakers.

58.5%Favoured: Buyuksehyr
55.7%Both Teams to Score
57.4%Over 2.5 goals

Model lenses

The same numbers read in different ways by one model. These are not separate tipsters, and none of them is a tip.

The ModelPublished estimate: 1-1 on Correct Score. Validation depends on the market and sample; this percentage is not a measured hit rate.
The TacticianReads an open, higher-tempo game from the 57.4% over 2.5 read.
The ScoutBuyuksehyr are the model’s pick on the result at 58.5%, a lean on probability, never on price.
The RealistThis one sits near a coin-flip, the honest read is low conviction, no strong lean.

FAQ

What is the most likely score in Buyuksehyr vs Samsunspor?
The model's most likely scoreline for Buyuksehyr vs Samsunspor is 1-1 at 10.7%.
How is this probability calculated?
The estimate comes from models fitted to recorded match data. Calibration and validation depend on the market, league and available sample; the percentage alone does not establish accuracy or a profitable price.
Is this a betting tip?
This is a model estimate, not a guarantee or a demonstrated profitable edge. Where the required result data is available, saved predictions are graded including misses. An unavailable market result stays ungraded.

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Related

Model estimates; validation depends on the market and available sample. We publish our track record, including the misses. 18+. For information only, not betting advice. If gambling is a problem, visit BeGambleAware.