Süper Lig
FenerbahceFenerbahceDWWWL
Sat, 31 Oct 202631/1016:00UK
GoztepGoztepDDWWW

Fenerbahce vs Goztep correct score prediction

Based on the Road2Sushi model. Not guaranteed outcomes.

2-1 correct score9.6%
1-1 correct score8.7%
2-0 correct score8.6%

Model read

No single outcome dominates, read the distribution.

Conviction: Open

Most likely · 9.6%2-1

Correct score

Score distribution: the model probability of each exact score.

Rows = Fenerbahce goals, columns = Goztep goals. The most likely scoreline is 2-1 at 9.6%.

The grid is the model's full scoreline distribution, not a single tip, but the shape of every plausible result. Read the heatmap as a map of likelihood, not a prediction of one score.

Most likely scorelines

  1. 2-19.6%
  2. 1-18.7%
  3. 2-08.6%
  4. 3-17.5%
  5. 1-07.0%
  6. 3-06.7%
  7. 2-25.4%
  8. 1-24.7%

Score probability grid

H / A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 3.6% 3.2% 2% 0.8% 0.2% 0.1%
1 7% 8.7% 4.7% 1.7% 0.5% 0.1%
2 8.6% 9.6% 5.4% 2% 0.6% 0.1%
3 6.7% 7.5% 4.2% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1%
4 3.9% 4.4% 2.4% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1%
5 1.8% 2% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%

Rows: Fenerbahce · Columns: Goztep

Goals distribution

How likely each total number of goals is, according to the model. Every goals market on this page is built from these bars. The 5+ bar covers every result with five goals or more.

3.6%

0

10.2%

1

19.4%

2

21.7%

3

18.7%

4

23.1%

5+

Form & head-to-head

Recent form uses each club’s available results in their stored order. Select a W/D/L result for details.

Head-to-head figures use their own recorded sample. Where individual results are available, the figures and journal cover the same meetings. Missing results are never counted as draws.

FenerbahceFenerbahceLast 5
D
Draw · 0-0
W
Win · 8-0
W
Win · 3-0
W
Win · 3-0
L
Loss · 1-2

3 wins · 1 draw · 1 loss

GoztepGoztepLast 5
D
Draw · 2-2
D
Draw · 2-2
W
Win · 4-0
W
Win · 2-1
W
Win · 2-0

3 wins · 2 draws · 0 losses

W Win
D Draw
L Loss

Head-to-head

Last 5 meetings

2FenerbahceFenerbahce wins
3Draws
0GoztepGoztep wins
2.6Average goals
Date
Home team
Score
Away team
FenerbahceFenerbahce
1 – 1
GoztepGoztep
GoztepGoztep
0 – 0
FenerbahceFenerbahce
FenerbahceFenerbahce
3 – 2
GoztepGoztep
GoztepGoztep
2 – 2
FenerbahceFenerbahce
FenerbahceFenerbahce
2 – 0
GoztepGoztep

Overall model accuracy

We don't yet publish a graded Correct Score-specific track record, so this is our overall accuracy across every 1X2 call, graded out-of-sample, updated daily.

0.0106Calibration error (1X2)
47.7%Top-pick hit rate (1X2)
56,038Matches graded

Predictions & track record updated 27 Oct 2026.

See the full, dated track record

Model analysis: reasoning, key facts and model lenses

Expert AI analysis

The model makes Most likely · 9.6% at 2-1, its strongest read on the Correct Score market. The goals picture is built on form: Fenerbahce have averaged 3.0 scored and 0.4 conceded, Goztep 2.4 and 1.0 over their recent games. That fits an open goals environment: 66.8% for over 2.5 and 86.2% for at least two goals. Their last 5 meetings have averaged 2.6 goals a game. This is a model estimate; validation depends on the market and available sample.

In-depth analysis

Looking at totals, the model sees 66.8% for three or more goals and 86.2% for at least two, painting a high-scoring picture. Given Fenerbahce favoured at 63.9%, the scoreline often hinges on whether the favourite is made to chase.

63.9%Favoured: Fenerbahce
61.1%Both Teams to Score
66.8%Over 2.5 goals

We publish the model, not a sure thing. The track record is public, misses included.

Model lenses

The same numbers read in different ways by one model. These are not separate tipsters, and none of them is a tip.

The ModelPublished estimate: 2-1 on Correct Score. Validation depends on the market and sample; this percentage is not a measured hit rate.
The TacticianReads an open, higher-tempo game from the 66.8% over 2.5 read.
The ScoutFenerbahce are the model’s pick on the result at 63.9%, a lean on probability, never on price.

FAQ

What is the most likely score in Fenerbahce vs Goztep?
The model's most likely scoreline for Fenerbahce vs Goztep is 2-1 at 9.6%.
How is this probability calculated?
The estimate comes from models fitted to recorded match data. Calibration and validation depend on the market, league and available sample; the percentage alone does not establish accuracy or a profitable price.
Is this a betting tip?
This is a model estimate, not a guarantee or a demonstrated profitable edge. Where the required result data is available, saved predictions are graded including misses. An unavailable market result stays ungraded.

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Related

Model estimates; validation depends on the market and available sample. We publish our track record, including the misses. 18+. For information only, not betting advice. If gambling is a problem, visit BeGambleAware.