Süper Lig
KocaelisporKocaelisporLWLLW
Sat, 31 Oct 202631/1013:00UK
RizesporRizesporWDLLL

Kocaelispor vs Rizespor correct score prediction

Based on the Road2Sushi model. Not guaranteed outcomes.

1-1 correct score13.6%
1-0 correct score12.3%
0-0 correct score10.3%

Model read

No single outcome dominates, read the distribution.

Conviction: Open

Most likely · 13.6%1-1

Correct score

Score distribution: the model probability of each exact score.

Rows = Kocaelispor goals, columns = Rizespor goals. The most likely scoreline is 1-1 at 13.6%.

The grid is the model's full scoreline distribution, not a single tip, but the shape of every plausible result. Darker cells carry more probability.

Most likely scorelines

  1. 1-113.6%
  2. 1-012.3%
  3. 0-010.3%
  4. 0-19.0%
  5. 2-08.6%
  6. 2-18.6%
  7. 1-26.5%
  8. 0-24.8%

Score probability grid

H / A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 10.3% 9% 4.8% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1%
1 12.3% 13.6% 6.5% 2.2% 0.5% 0.1%
2 8.6% 8.6% 4.3% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1%
3 3.9% 3.9% 1.9% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0%
4 1.3% 1.3% 0.7% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.4% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Rows: Kocaelispor · Columns: Rizespor

Goals distribution

How likely each total number of goals is, according to the model. Every goals market on this page is built from these bars. The 5+ bar covers every result with five goals or more.

10.3%

0

21.3%

1

27.0%

2

20.6%

3

12.0%

4

8.5%

5+

Form & head-to-head

Recent form uses each club’s available results in their stored order. Select a W/D/L result for details.

Head-to-head figures use their own recorded sample. Where individual results are available, the figures and journal cover the same meetings. Missing results are never counted as draws.

KocaelisporKocaelisporLast 5
L
Loss · 0-1
W
Win · 2-0
L
Loss · 1-2
L
Loss · 1-2
W
Win · 2-1

2 wins · 0 draws · 3 losses

RizesporRizesporLast 5
W
Win · 2-0
D
Draw · 2-2
L
Loss · 0-3
L
Loss · 1-2
L
Loss · 3-4

1 win · 1 draw · 3 losses

W Win
D Draw
L Loss

Head-to-head

Last 2 meetings

0KocaelisporKocaelispor wins
1Draws
1RizesporRizespor wins
2.0Average goals
Date
Home team
Score
Away team
RizesporRizespor
2 – 0
KocaelisporKocaelispor
KocaelisporKocaelispor
1 – 1
RizesporRizespor

Overall model accuracy

We don't yet publish a graded Correct Score-specific track record, so this is our overall accuracy across every 1X2 call, graded out-of-sample, updated daily.

0.0106Calibration error (1X2)
47.7%Top-pick hit rate (1X2)
56,038Matches graded

Predictions & track record updated 27 Oct 2026.

See the full, dated track record

Model analysis: reasoning, key facts and model lenses

Expert AI analysis

Our model lands on Most likely · 13.6% at 1-1, its strongest read on the Correct Score market. It is driven by both attacks and defences: Kocaelispor have averaged 1.2 scored and 1.2 conceded, Rizespor 1.6 and 2.2 over their recent games. That fits a tighter goals environment: 41.4% for over 2.5 and 68.4% for at least two goals. Their last 2 meetings have averaged 2.0 goals a game. Read the recorded data and validation context alongside the estimate.

In-depth analysis

On the goals side, the model sees 41.4% for three or more goals and 68.4% for at least two, painting a lower-scoring picture. Given Kocaelispor favoured at 43.8%, neither side dominating can mean an end-to-end match.

Every figure here is what the model thinks, not advice. What we are good at is getting the percentage right, not at beating the bookmakers.

43.8%Favoured: Kocaelispor
47.3%Both Teams to Score
41.4%Over 2.5 goals

Model lenses

The same numbers read in different ways by one model. These are not separate tipsters, and none of them is a tip.

The ModelPublished estimate: 1-1 on Correct Score. Validation depends on the market and sample; this percentage is not a measured hit rate.
The TacticianReads a tighter, lower-scoring game from the 41.4% over 2.5 read.
The ScoutKocaelispor are the model’s pick on the result at 43.8%, game state shapes how this market plays out.
The RealistThis one sits near a coin-flip, the honest read is low conviction, no strong lean.

FAQ

What is the most likely score in Kocaelispor vs Rizespor?
The model's most likely scoreline for Kocaelispor vs Rizespor is 1-1 at 13.6%.
How is this probability calculated?
The estimate comes from models fitted to recorded match data. Calibration and validation depend on the market, league and available sample; the percentage alone does not establish accuracy or a profitable price.
Is this a betting tip?
This is a model estimate, not a guarantee or a demonstrated profitable edge. Where the required result data is available, saved predictions are graded including misses. An unavailable market result stays ungraded.

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Related

Model estimates; validation depends on the market and available sample. We publish our track record, including the misses. 18+. For information only, not betting advice. If gambling is a problem, visit BeGambleAware.