Bundesliga
HoffenheimHoffenheimLLLWL
Full time2-3Sat, 10 Oct 202610/1014:30UK15°C · Cloudy
HamburgHamburgDLLLW

Hoffenheim 2-3 Hamburg both teams to score: our prediction vs the result

Pre-match model estimates. Based on the Road2Sushi model. Not guaranteed outcomes.

Both teams to score: Yes61.7%
Both teams to score: No38.3%

Result

Hoffenheim2-3Hamburg
2 goals before half-timeHoffenheim 1, Hamburg 1
YesYes

We called Yes at 61.7% and it landed. We called Yes at 81.9% and it landed (2 in the match).

Model read

A moderate lean, nothing emphatic.

Conviction is how far the model's probability sits from an even 50/50: Strong at 18 points or more, Moderate at 8 points or more, Lean below that.

Conviction: Moderate

Both teams to score · Yes61.7%

Both Teams to Score

YesModel lean61.7%
No38.3%

Related market Over 2.5 goals 65.4%

Recent scoring & conceding

Goals scored and conceded per game over each side's recent matches. The bar runs from 0 to 3.5 goals per game.

Hoffenheim scored
1.4
Hoffenheim conceded
2.8
Hamburg scored
0.6
Hamburg conceded
2.8

Each team to score

Hoffenheim to score88.9%
Hoffenheim 2+ goals64.6%
Hamburg to score68.9%
Hamburg 2+ goals32.6%

By half

Both score in 1st half27.3%
Both score in 2nd half31.5%

Goals distribution

How likely each total number of goals is, according to the model. Every goals market on this page is built from these bars. The 5+ bar covers every result with five goals or more.

3.9%

0

10.7%

1

20.0%

2

21.9%

3

18.5%

4

22.4%

5+

Recent trends

How often both teams scored and the match went over 2.5 in each side's recent games.

HoffenheimBTTS 4/5Over 2.5 5/5
HamburgBTTS 2/5Over 2.5 3/5

Form & head-to-head

Recent form uses each club’s available results in their stored order. Select a W/D/L result for details.

Head-to-head figures use their own recorded sample. Where individual results are available, the figures and journal cover the same meetings. Missing results are never counted as draws.

HoffenheimHoffenheimLast 5
L
Loss · 0-4
L
Loss · 2-3
L
Loss · 2-3
W
Win · 2-1
L
Loss · 1-3

1 win · 0 draws · 4 losses

HamburgHamburgLast 5
D
Draw · 1-1
L
Loss · 0-2
L
Loss · 0-5
L
Loss · 0-5
W
Win · 2-1

1 win · 1 draw · 3 losses

W Win
D Draw
L Loss

Head-to-head

Last 5 meetings

3HoffenheimHoffenheim wins
0Draws
2HamburgHamburg wins
3.2Average goals
Date
Home team
Score
Away team
HamburgHamburg
1 – 2
HoffenheimHoffenheim
HoffenheimHoffenheim
4 – 1
HamburgHamburg
HoffenheimHoffenheim
2 – 0
HamburgHamburg
HamburgHamburg
3 – 0
HoffenheimHoffenheim
HamburgHamburg
2 – 1
HoffenheimHoffenheim

Match outlook

PickHoffenheim65.0%
Draw18.4%
Hamburg16.6%

The model leans Hoffenheim to win.

See the full prediction

Both Teams to Score accuracy

How our Both Teams to Score calls have actually done, each one scored against the real result on matches the model had never seen.

53.4%Best Both Teams to Score call, hit rate
0.0218Calibration error
72,238Matches graded

In 7,845 matches we rated like this one (60–70%), Both Teams to Score actually happened 58.7% of the time.

Predictions & track record updated 27 Oct 2026.

See the full, dated track record

Our last 10 Both Teams to Score calls

Our most recent Both Teams to Score calls, each one scored against the result. The model had never seen these matches when it made them. Green means we got it right, red means we got it wrong, and the number is how sure we were.

✓ 50.5%✗ 57.9%✗ 55.0%✗ 58.1%✓ 61.6%✓ 65.1%✓ 51.0%✗ 51.9%✗ 52.7%✗ 56.6%
4 of 10 recent calls hit.
Sevilla vs Osasuna2026-10-26No 50.5%Hit
Paris SG vs Lyon2026-10-26Yes 57.9%Miss
Santa Clara vs Benfica2026-10-26No 55.0%Miss
Besiktas vs Buyuksehyr2026-10-26Yes 58.1%Miss
Rizespor vs Trabzonspor2026-10-26Yes 61.6%Hit
Model analysis: reasoning, key facts and model lenses

Expert AI analysis

Our model lands on Both teams to score · Yes at 61.7%, its strongest read on the Both Teams to Score market. The goals picture is built on form: Hoffenheim have averaged 1.4 scored and 2.8 conceded, Hamburg 0.6 and 2.8 over their recent games. That fits an open goals environment: 65.4% for over 2.5 and 85.4% for at least two goals. Their last 5 meetings have averaged 3.2 goals a game. Hoffenheim have seen both teams score in 4 of their last 5, Hamburg in 2 of 5. This is a model estimate; validation depends on the market and available sample.

In-depth analysis

Looking at totals, the model sees 65.4% for three or more goals and 85.4% for at least two, painting a high-scoring picture. With Hoffenheim favoured at 65.0%, the scoreline often hinges on whether the favourite is made to chase.

We publish the model, not a sure thing. What we are good at is getting the percentage right, not at beating the bookmakers.

65.0%Favoured: Hoffenheim
61.7%Both Teams to Score
65.4%Over 2.5 goals

Model lenses

The same numbers read in different ways by one model. These are not separate tipsters, and none of them is a tip.

The ModelPublished estimate: 61.7% on Both Teams to Score. Validation depends on the market and sample; this percentage is not a measured hit rate.
The TacticianSees an open, higher-tempo game from the 65.4% over 2.5 read.
The ScoutHoffenheim are the model’s pick on the result at 65.0%, game state shapes how this market plays out.

Players to watch

Published player-market probabilities, shown in kickoff order. Model estimates, not confirmed lineups.

How our football predictions work →

HoffenheimHoffenheim (1)
Adam Hlozek
Watch list
Prediction markets
Model %
Fair odds
Save
To score
25.2%
3.97
1+ shot on target
55.3%
1.81
2+ shots
60.2%
1.66
Per 90 minutes (recent averages)
Shots3.00
On target1.19
Goals0.43
HamburgHamburg (1)
Terem Igobor Moffi
Watch list
Prediction markets
Model %
Fair odds
Save
To score
14.5%
6.90
1+ shot on target
52.2%
1.92
2+ shots
37.9%
2.64
Per 90 minutes (recent averages)
Shots3.19
On target1.79
Goals0.38

FAQ

Did both teams score in Hoffenheim vs Hamburg?
We rated Both Teams to Score at 61.7%. Both teams scored, final score 2-3.
How is this probability calculated?
The estimate comes from models fitted to recorded match data. Calibration and validation depend on the market, league and available sample; the percentage alone does not establish accuracy or a profitable price.
Is this a betting tip?
This is a model estimate, not a guarantee or a demonstrated profitable edge. Where the required result data is available, saved predictions are graded including misses. An unavailable market result stays ungraded.

More Bundesliga, Both Teams to Score

BTTS predictions today

Related

Model estimates; validation depends on the market and available sample. We publish our track record, including the misses. 18+. For information only, not betting advice. If gambling is a problem, visit BeGambleAware.